dropout
Improving Patient Subtyping on Longitudinal Data using Representations from Mamba-based Architecture
Mottalib, Md Mozaharul, Beheshti, Rahmatollah
Effective sub-typing (also known as grouping or clustering) of patients using their electronic health record (EHR) data can greatly inform precision medicine efforts. However, subtyping temporal EHR datasets is known to be challenging due to inherent EHR issues, including complexity and irregularity. In this study, we propose a self-supervised Mamba-based model that learns effective EHR representations and enables enhanced patient subtyping. We evaluate the proposed model on public and private real-world EHR datasets to classify the data based on the available labels and subtype patients based on the representations learned from the model. Through an extensive set of experiments, we demonstrate that our model's design choices lead to better performance compared to competitive baseline models for prediction. Moreover, we evaluate several clustering techniques to demonstrate that our findings offer valuable insights into subtyping patients based on temporal records from EHR models\footnote{Our implementations are available at https://github.com/healthylaife/triplet_mamba.
Uncertainty Quantification for Physics-Informed Neural Networks with Extended Fiducial Inference
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning is increasingly critical as neural networks are widely adopted to tackle complex problems across diverse scientific disciplines. For physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), a prominent model in scientific machine learning, uncertainty is typically quantified using Bayesian or dropout methods. However, both approaches suffer from a fundamental limitation: the prior distribution or dropout rate required to construct honest confidence sets cannot be determined without additional information. In this paper, we propose a novel method within the framework of extended fiducial inference (EFI) to provide rigorous uncertainty quantification for PINNs. The proposed method leverages a narrow-neck hyper-network to learn the parameters of the PINN and quantify their uncertainty based on imputed random errors in the observations. This approach overcomes the limitations of Bayesian and dropout methods, enabling the construction of honest confidence sets based solely on observed data. This advancement represents a significant breakthrough for PINNs, greatly enhancing their reliability, interpretability, and applicability to real-world scientific and engineering challenges. Moreover, it establishes a new theoretical framework for EFI, extending its application to large-scale models, eliminating the need for sparse hyper-networks, and significantly improving the automaticity and robustness of statistical inference.
Progressive Data Dropout: An Embarrassingly Simple Approach to Train Faster
The success of the machine learning field has reliably depended on training on large datasets. While effective, this trend comes at an extraordinary cost. This is due to two deeply intertwined factors: the size of models and the size of datasets. While promising research efforts focus on reducing the size of models, the other half of the equation remains fairly mysterious. Indeed, it is surprising that the standard approach to training remains to iterate over and over, uniformly sampling the training dataset.
VQ-Seg: Vector-Quantized Token Perturbation for Semi-Supervised Medical Image Segmentation
Consistency learning with feature perturbation is a widely used strategy in semi-supervised medical image segmentation. However, many existing perturbation methods rely on dropout, and thus require a careful manual tuning of the dropout rate, which is a sensitive hyperparameter and often difficult to optimize and may lead to suboptimal regularization. To overcome this limitation, we propose VQ-Seg, the first approach to employ vector quantization (VQ) to discretize the feature space and introduce a novel and controllable Quantized Perturbation Module (QPM) that replaces dropout.
Dirichlet-Based Monte Carlo Dropout for Uncertainty Estimation in Neural Networks
Hoblos, Rouaa, Dridi, Noura, Zerhouni, Noureddine, Masry, Zeina Al
Traditional neural networks provide deterministic predictions without inherent uncertainty estimates. While Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled approach to uncertainty quantification, their computational complexity limits scalability. Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout, initially introduced as a regularization technique, has been shown to approximate Bayesian inference by enabling probabilistic modeling through multiple stochastic forward passes. In this work, we enhance uncertainty estimation in deep learning by integrating a Dirichlet-based framework within MC Dropout. Specifically, we leverage the formulation proposed by Sensoy et al. (2018), where class probabilities are modeled using a Dirichlet distribution, allowing for a more informative uncertainty representation. The proposed approach maintains the computational efficiency of MC Dropout while improving the quality of uncertainty estimates. We discuss the theoretical foundations of our method and compare it with existing uncertainty quantification techniques. The results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed method in producing well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, offering a practical solution for uncertainty-aware deep learning models.
Dropout Universality: Scaling Laws and Optimal Scheduling at the Edge-of-Chaos
We develop a mean-field theory of dropout as a perturbation of critical signal propagation at the edge of chaos. Dropout shifts the perfect-alignment fixed point, making the depth scale for information propagation finite even at critical initialization. We derive critical and crossover scaling laws for correlation decay and establish that smooth activations and kinked, ReLU-like activations constitute distinct universality classes, with different critical exponents and a universal two-parameter scaling collapse in detuning and dropout strength. The distinction traces to the analytic structure of the correlation map: smooth activations admit a Taylor expansion near perfect alignment, while kinked activations develop a branch point with universal non-analyticity. As a corollary, the framework yields saturated dropout profiles under fixed budget; a rank-flow tie-breaker then selects front-loaded schedules, substantially reducing held-out test loss at no extra computational cost, with accuracy gains as a consistent secondary effect. We test the predictions in MLPs and Vision Transformers and discuss CNN/ResNet extensions.
When Does Gene Regulatory Network Inference Break? A Controlled Diagnostic Study of Causal and Correlational Methods on Single-Cell Data
Fernandez-de-Retana, Miguel, Sanchez-Corcuera, Ruben, Zulaika, Unai, Bilbao-Jayo, Aritz, Almeida, Aitor
Despite theoretical advantages, causal methods for Gene Regulatory Network (GRN) inference from single-cell RNA-seq data consistently fail to match or outperform correlation-based baselines in many realistic benchmarks, a persistent puzzle which casts doubt on the value of causality for this task. We argue that existing benchmarks are insufficiently controlled to answer this question because they evaluate on real or semi-real data where multiple pathologies co-occur, confounding failure modes, and obscuring the specific conditions under which different inference methods excel or fail. To address this gap, we introduce a controlled diagnostic framework that isolates seven biologically motivated pathologies (dropout, latent confounders, cell-type mixing, feedback loops, network density, sample size, and pseudotime drift) and measure how six representative methods spanning three inference paradigms degrade as each pathology intensifies. Across 6,120 controlled experiments, we find that causal methods genuinely dominate in clean and structurally favorable regimes, but specific pathologies (notably dropout and latent confounders) selectively neutralize their advantages. We further introduce an errortype decomposition that reveals methods with similar aggregate accuracy commit qualitatively different errors. To probe whether single-pathology effects persist when multiple stressors co-occur, we perform an interaction sweep over the three most impactful pathologies and find that their joint effects are sub-additive, while also exposing density-conditional cross-overs invisible to single-dial analysis. Our findings offer a nuanced understanding of when and why different methods succeed or fail for GRN inference, providing actionable insights for method development and practical guidance for practitioners.3
White-Box Transformers via Sparse Rate Reduction
In this paper, we contend that the objective of representation learning is to compress and transform the distribution of the data, say sets of tokens, towards a mixture of low-dimensional Gaussian distributions supported on incoherent subspaces. The quality of the final representation can be measured by a unified objective function called sparse rate reduction. From this perspective, popular deep networks such as transformers can be naturally viewed as realizing iterative schemes to optimize this objective incrementally. Particularly, we show that the standard transformer block can be derived from alternating optimization on complementary parts of this objective: the multi-head self-attention operator can be viewed as a gradient descent step to compress the token sets by minimizing their lossy coding rate, and the subsequent multi-layer perceptron can be viewed as attempting to sparsify the representation of the tokens. This leads to a family of white-box transformer-like deep network architectures which are mathematically fully interpretable. Despite their simplicity, experiments show that these networks indeed learn to optimize the designed objective: they compress and sparsify representations of large-scale real-world vision datasets such as ImageNet, and achieve performance very close to thoroughly engineered transformers such as ViT.