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Optimistic posterior sampling for reinforcement learning: worst-case regret bounds

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present an algorithm based on posterior sampling (aka Thompson sampling) that achieves near-optimal worst-case regret bounds when the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP) is communicating with a finite, though unknown, diameter. Our main result is a high probability regret upper bound of $\tilde{O}(D\sqrt{SAT})$ for any communicating MDP with $S$ states, $A$ actions and diameter $D$, when $T\ge S^5A$. Here, regret compares the total reward achieved by the algorithm to the total expected reward of an optimal infinite-horizon undiscounted average reward policy, in time horizon $T$. This result improves over the best previously known upper bound of $\tilde{O}(DS\sqrt{AT})$ achieved by any algorithm in this setting, and matches the dependence on $S$ in the established lower bound of $\Omega(\sqrt{DSAT})$ for this problem. Our techniques involve proving some novel results about the anti-concentration of Dirichlet distribution, which may be of independent interest.





NearOptimalExploration-Exploitationin Non-CommunicatingMarkovDecisionProcesses

Neural Information Processing Systems

Reinforcement learning (RL) [1] studies the problem of learning in sequential decision-making problems where the dynamics of the environment is unknown, but can be learnt by performing actions andobserving their outcome inanonline fashion. Asample-efficient RLagent must trade off the explorationneeded to collect information about the environment, and theexploitation of the experience gathered so far to gain as much reward as possible.