Daniel Whiteson is a particle physicist, who uses machine learning and statistical tools to analyze high-energy particle collisions. He is also a dedicated science communicator, having published books and comics, and is co-host of a science podcast. In his invited talk at the Fortieth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-26), Daniel shared insights on both these aspects of his career. Daniel works at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN, primarily looking at proton-proton collisions, which occur at 13 TeV, a massive 13,000 times the energy stored in a single proton. The majority of collisions result in known particles, such as electrons or muons.

We introduce the Hiremath Early Detection (HED) Score, a principled, measure-theoretic evaluation criterion for quantifying the time-value of information in systems operating over non-stationary stochastic processes subject to abrupt regime transitions. Existing evaluation paradigms, chiefly the ROC/AUC framework and its downstream variants, are temporally agnostic: they assign identical credit to a detection at t + 1 and a detection at t + tau for arbitrarily large tau. This indifference to latency is a fundamental inadequacy in time-critical domains including cyber-physical security, algorithmic surveillance, and epidemiological monitoring. The HED Score resolves this by integrating a baseline-neutral, exponentially decaying kernel over the posterior probability stream of a target regime, beginning precisely at the onset of the regime shift. The resulting scalar simultaneously encodes detection acuity, temporal lead, and pre-transition calibration quality. We prove that the HED Score satisfies three axiomatic requirements: (A1) Temporal Monotonicity, (A2) Invariance to Pre-Attack Bias, and (A3) Sensitivity Decomposability. We further demonstrate that the HED Score admits a natural parametric family indexed by the Hiremath Decay Constant (lambda_H), whose domain-specific calibration constitutes the Hiremath Standard Table. As an empirical vehicle, we present PARD-SSM (Probabilistic Anomaly and Regime Detection via Switching State-Space Models), which couples fractional Stochastic Differential Equations (fSDEs) with a Switching Linear Dynamical System (S-LDS) inference backend. On the NSL-KDD benchmark, PARD-SSM achieves a HED Score of 0.0643, representing a 388.8 percent improvement over a Random Forest baseline (0.0132), with statistical significance confirmed via block-bootstrap resampling (p < 0.001). We propose the HED Score as the successor evaluation standard to ROC/AUC.

We propose a simple detection mechanism for the Gumbel watermarking scheme proposed by Aaronson (2022). The new mechanism is proven to be near-optimal in a problem-dependent sense among all model-agnostic watermarking schemes under the assumption that the next-token distribution is sampled i.i.d.

In High Energy Physics, detailed calorimeter simulations and reconstructions are essential for accurate energy measurements and particle identification, but their high granularity makes them computationally expensive. Developing data-driven techniques capable of recovering fine-grained information from coarser readouts, a task known as calorimeter superresolution, offers a promising way to reduce both computational and hardware costs while preserving detector performance. This thesis investigates whether a generative model originally designed for fast simulation can be effectively applied to calorimeter superresolution. Specifically, the model proposed in arXiv:2308.11700 is re-implemented independently and trained on the CaloChallenge 2022 dataset based on the Geant4 Par04 calorimeter geometry. Finally, the model's performance is assessed through a rigorous statistical evaluation framework, following the methodology introduced in arXiv:2409.16336, to quantitatively test its ability to reproduce the reference distributions.

Anomaly and failure detection methods are crucial in identifying deviations from normal system operational conditions, which allows for actions to be taken in advance, usually preventing more serious damages. Long-lasting deviations indicate failures, while sudden, isolated changes in the data indicate anomalies. However, in many practical applications, changes in the data do not always represent abnormal system states. Such changes may be recognized incorrectly as failures, while being a normal evolution of the system, e.g. referring to characteristics of starting the processing of a new product, i.e. realizing a domain shift. Therefore, distinguishing between failures and such ''healthy'' changes in data distribution is critical to ensure the practical robustness of the system. In this paper, we propose a method that not only detects changes in the data distribution and anomalies but also allows us to distinguish between failures and normal domain shifts inherent to a given process. The proposed method consists of a modified Page-Hinkley changepoint detector for identification of the domain shift and possible failures and supervised domain-adaptation-based algorithms for fast, online anomaly detection. These two are coupled with an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) component that aims at helping the human operator to finally differentiate between domain shifts and failures. The method is illustrated by an experiment on a data stream from the steel factory.

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered around the empirical distribution defined via Wasserstein metric, thus our approach is data-driven and free of distributional assumptions. We develop a convex safe approximation of the minimax formulation and show that such approximation renders a nearly-optimal detector among the family of all possible tests. By exploiting the structure of the least favorable distribution, we also develop a tractable reformulation of such approximation, with complexity independent of the dimension of observation space and can be nearly sample-size-independent in general. Real-data example using human activity data demonstrated the excellent performance of the new robust detector.

Practitioners monitoring deployed probabilistic models face a fundamental trap: any fixed-sample test applied repeatedly over an unbounded stream will eventually raise a false alarm, even when the model remains perfectly stable. Existing methods typically lack formal error guarantees, conflate alarm time with changepoint location, and monitor indirect signals that do not fully characterize calibration. We present PITMonitor, an anytime-valid calibration-specific monitor that detects distributional shifts in probability integral transforms via a mixture e-process, providing Type I error control over an unbounded monitoring horizon as well as Bayesian changepoint estimation. On river's FriedmanDrift benchmark, PITMonitor achieves detection rates competitive with the strongest baselines across all three scenarios, although detection delay is substantially longer under local drift.

The proliferation of Large Language Models (LLMs) necessitates efficient mechanisms to distinguish machine-generated content from human text. While statistical watermarking has emerged as a promising solution, existing methods suffer from two critical limitations: the lack of a principled approach for selecting sampling distributions and the reliance on fixed-horizon hypothesis testing, which precludes valid early stopping. In this paper, we bridge this gap by developing the first e-value-based watermarking framework, Anchored E-Watermarking, that unifies optimal sampling with anytime-valid inference. Unlike traditional approaches where optional stopping invalidates Type-I error guarantees, our framework enables valid, anytime-inference by constructing a test supermartingale for the detection process. By leveraging an anchor distribution to approximate the target model, we characterize the optimal e-value with respect to the worst-case log-growth rate and derive the optimal expected stopping time. Our theoretical claims are substantiated by simulations and evaluations on established benchmarks, showing that our framework can significantly enhance sample efficiency, reducing the average token budget required for detection by 13-15% relative to state-of-the-art baselines.

This protocol is often regarded as a "golden compass" for navigating SoT A detectors. But can these stand-out "winners" be