d-dimer
Rapid and Accurate Diagnosis of Acute Aortic Syndrome using Non-contrast CT: A Large-scale, Retrospective, Multi-center and AI-based Study
Hu, Yujian, Xiang, Yilang, Zhou, Yan-Jie, He, Yangyan, Yang, Shifeng, Du, Xiaolong, Den, Chunlan, Xu, Youyao, Wang, Gaofeng, Ding, Zhengyao, Huang, Jingyong, Zhao, Wenjun, Wu, Xuejun, Li, Donglin, Zhu, Qianqian, Li, Zhenjiang, Qiu, Chenyang, Wu, Ziheng, He, Yunjun, Tian, Chen, Qiu, Yihui, Lin, Zuodong, Zhang, Xiaolong, He, Yuan, Yuan, Zhenpeng, Zhou, Xiaoxiang, Fan, Rong, Chen, Ruihan, Guo, Wenchao, Zhang, Jianpeng, Mok, Tony C. W., Li, Zi, Lu, Le, Lang, Dehai, Li, Xiaoqiang, Wang, Guofu, Lu, Wei, Huang, Zhengxing, Xu, Minfeng, Zhang, Hongkun
Chest pain symptoms are highly prevalent in emergency departments (EDs), where acute aortic syndrome (AAS) is a catastrophic cardiovascular emergency with a high fatality rate, especially when timely and accurate treatment is not administered. However, current triage practices in the ED can cause up to approximately half of patients with AAS to have an initially missed diagnosis or be misdiagnosed as having other acute chest pain conditions. Subsequently, these AAS patients will undergo clinically inaccurate or suboptimal differential diagnosis. Fortunately, even under these suboptimal protocols, nearly all these patients underwent non-contrast CT covering the aorta anatomy at the early stage of differential diagnosis. In this study, we developed an artificial intelligence model (DeepAAS) using non-contrast CT, which is highly accurate for identifying AAS and provides interpretable results to assist in clinical decision-making. Performance was assessed in two major phases: a multi-center retrospective study (n = 20,750) and an exploration in real-world emergency scenarios (n = 137,525). In the multi-center cohort, DeepAAS achieved a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.958 (95% CI 0.950-0.967). In the real-world cohort, DeepAAS detected 109 AAS patients with misguided initial suspicion, achieving 92.6% (95% CI 76.2%-97.5%) in mean sensitivity and 99.2% (95% CI 99.1%-99.3%) in mean specificity. Our AI model performed well on non-contrast CT at all applicable early stages of differential diagnosis workflows, effectively reduced the overall missed diagnosis and misdiagnosis rate from 48.8% to 4.8% and shortened the diagnosis time for patients with misguided initial suspicion from an average of 681.8 (74-11,820) mins to 68.5 (23-195) mins. DeepAAS could effectively fill the gap in the current clinical workflow without requiring additional tests.
Explanation of Machine Learning Models Using Shapley Additive Explanation and Application for Real Data in Hospital
Nohara, Yasunobu, Matsumoto, Koutarou, Soejima, Hidehisa, Nakashima, Naoki
When using machine learning techniques in decision-making processes, the interpretability of the models is important. In the present paper, we adopted the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP), which is based on fair profit allocation among many stakeholders depending on their contribution, for interpreting a gradient-boosting decision tree model using hospital data. For better interpretability, we propose two novel techniques as follows: (1) a new metric of feature importance using SHAP and (2) a technique termed feature packing, which packs multiple similar features into one grouped feature to allow an easier understanding of the model without reconstruction of the model. We then compared the explanation results between the SHAP framework and existing methods. In addition, we showed how the A/G ratio works as an important prognostic factor for cerebral infarction using our hospital data and proposed techniques.