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 conversion model


Contextual Bandits with Knapsacks for a Conversion Model

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider contextual bandits with knapsacks, with an underlying structure between rewards generated and cost vectors suffered. We do so motivated by sales with commercial discounts. At each round, given the stochastic i.i.d.\ context $\mathbf{x}_t$ and the arm picked $a_t$ (corresponding, e.g., to a discount level), a customer conversion may be obtained, in which case a reward $r(a,\mathbf{x}_t)$ is gained and vector costs $\mathbf{c}(a_t,\mathbf{x}_t)$ are suffered (corresponding, e.g., to losses of earnings). Otherwise, in the absence of a conversion, the reward and costs are null. The reward and costs achieved are thus coupled through the binary variable measuring conversion or the absence thereof. This underlying structure between rewards and costs is different from the linear structures considered by Agrawal and Devanur [2016] (but we show that the techniques introduced in the present article may also be applied to the case of these linear structures). The adaptive policies exhibited in this article solve at each round a linear program based on upper-confidence estimates of the probabilities of conversion given $a$ and $\mathbf{x}$. This kind of policy is most natural and achieves a regret bound of the typical order $(\mathrm{OPT}/B) \smash{\sqrt{T}}$, where $B$ is the total budget allowed, $\mathrm{OPT}$ is the optimal expected reward achievable by a static policy, and $T$ is the number of rounds.


Contextual Bandits with Knapsacks for a Conversion Model

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider contextual bandits with knapsacks, with an underlying structure between rewards generated and cost vectors suffered. We do so motivated by sales with commercial discounts. At each round, given the stochastic i.i.d.\ context \mathbf{x}_t and the arm picked a_t (corresponding, e.g., to a discount level), a customer conversion may be obtained, in which case a reward r(a,\mathbf{x}_t) is gained and vector costs \mathbf{c}(a_t,\mathbf{x}_t) are suffered (corresponding, e.g., to losses of earnings). Otherwise, in the absence of a conversion, the reward and costs are null. The reward and costs achieved are thus coupled through the binary variable measuring conversion or the absence thereof.


Convert and Speak: Zero-shot Accent Conversion with Minimum Supervision

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Low resource of parallel data is the key challenge of accent conversion(AC) problem in which both the pronunciation units and prosody pattern need to be converted. We propose a two-stage generative framework "convert-and-speak" in which the conversion is only operated on the semantic token level and the speech is synthesized conditioned on the converted semantic token with a speech generative model in target accent domain. The decoupling design enables the "speaking" module to use massive amount of target accent speech and relieves the parallel data required for the "conversion" module. Conversion with the bridge of semantic token also relieves the requirement for the data with text transcriptions and unlocks the usage of language pre-training technology to further efficiently reduce the need of parallel accent speech data. To reduce the complexity and latency of "speaking", a single-stage AR generative model is designed to achieve good quality as well as lower computation cost. Experiments on Indian-English to general American-English conversion show that the proposed framework achieves state-of-the-art performance in accent similarity, speech quality, and speaker maintenance with only 15 minutes of weakly parallel data which is not constrained to the same speaker. Extensive experimentation with diverse accent types suggests that this framework possesses a high degree of adaptability, making it readily scalable to accommodate other accents with low-resource data. Audio samples are available at https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/project/convert-and-speak-zero-shot-accent-conversion-with-minimumsupervision/.


Uncertainty-Aware PPG-2-ECG for Enhanced Cardiovascular Diagnosis using Diffusion Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Analyzing the cardiovascular system condition via Electrocardiography (ECG) is a common and highly effective approach, and it has been practiced and perfected over many decades. ECG sensing is non-invasive and relatively easy to acquire, and yet it is still cumbersome for holter monitoring tests that may span over hours and even days. A possible alternative in this context is Photoplethysmography (PPG): An optically-based signal that measures blood volume fluctuations, as typically sensed by conventional ``wearable devices''. While PPG presents clear advantages in acquisition, convenience, and cost-effectiveness, ECG provides more comprehensive information, allowing for a more precise detection of heart conditions. This implies that a conversion from PPG to ECG, as recently discussed in the literature, inherently involves an unavoidable level of uncertainty. In this paper we introduce a novel methodology for addressing the PPG-2-ECG conversion, and offer an enhanced classification of cardiovascular conditions using the given PPG, all while taking into account the uncertainties arising from the conversion process. We provide a mathematical justification for our proposed computational approach, and present empirical studies demonstrating its superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baseline methods.


Insurance pricing on price comparison websites via reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The emergence of price comparison websites (PCWs) has presented insurers with unique challenges in formulating effective pricing strategies. Operating on PCWs requires insurers to strike a delicate balance between competitive premiums and profitability, amidst obstacles such as low historical conversion rates, limited visibility of competitors' actions, and a dynamic market environment. In addition to this, the capital intensive nature of the business means pricing below the risk levels of customers can result in solvency issues for the insurer. To address these challenges, this paper introduces reinforcement learning (RL) framework that learns the optimal pricing policy by integrating model-based and model-free methods. The model-based component is used to train agents in an offline setting, avoiding cold-start issues, while model-free algorithms are then employed in a contextual bandit (CB) manner to dynamically update the pricing policy to maximise the expected revenue. This facilitates quick adaptation to evolving market dynamics and enhances algorithm efficiency and decision interpretability. The paper also highlights the importance of evaluating pricing policies using an offline dataset in a consistent fashion and demonstrates the superiority of the proposed methodology over existing off-the-shelf RL/CB approaches. We validate our methodology using synthetic data, generated to reflect private commercially available data within real-world insurers, and compare against 6 other benchmark approaches. Our hybrid agent outperforms these benchmarks in terms of sample efficiency and cumulative reward with the exception of an agent that has access to perfect market information which would not be available in a real-world set-up.


Why Machine Learning In Ad Tech Is Ready For Liftoff

#artificialintelligence

Yunshi Zhao is a Machine Learning Engineer at Liftoff, a mobile app optimization platform for marketing and monetizing apps at scale. Her responsibilities range from researching and training models to deployment and monitoring models in production. She is also part of the diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) committee at Liftoff, focusing on representation in engineering. Before transitioning to startup life, she worked as a data scientist and aerospace engineer. Here, she talks about machine learning development, best practices, use cases, and ML in production.


Strategy for Boosting Pair Comparison and Improving Quality Assessment Accuracy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The development of rigorous quality assessment model relies on the collection of reliable subjective data, where the perceived quality of visual multimedia is rated by the human observers. Different subjective assessment protocols can be used according to the objectives, which determine the discriminability and accuracy of the subjective data. Single stimulus methodology, e.g., the Absolute Category Rating (ACR) has been widely adopted due to its simplicity and efficiency. However, Pair Comparison (PC) is of significant advantage over ACR in terms of discriminability. In addition, PC avoids the influence of observers' bias regarding their understanding of the quality scale. Nevertheless, full pair comparison is much more time-consuming. In this study, we therefore 1) employ a generic model to bridge the pair comparison data and ACR data, where the variance term could be recovered and the obtained information is more complete; 2) propose a fusion strategy to boost pair comparisons by utilizing the ACR results as initialization information; 3) develop a novel active batch sampling strategy based on Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) for PC. In such a way, the proposed methodology could achieve the same accuracy of pair comparison but with the compelxity as low as ACR. Extensive experimental results demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed approach, which outperforms the state of the art approaches.