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Distribution through Repeated Market with Buying Rights

Sychrovský, David, Černý, Jakub, Loebl, Martin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Resource distribution is a fundamental problem in economic and policy design, particularly when demand and supply are not naturally aligned. Without regulation, wealthier individuals may monopolize this resource, leaving the needs of others unsatisfied. While centralized distribution can ensure fairer division, it can struggle to manage logistics efficiently, and adapt to changing conditions, often leading to shortages, surpluses, and bureaucratic inefficiencies. Building on previous research on market-based redistribution, we examine a repeated hybrid market that incorporates buying rights. These rights, distributed iteratively by a central authority (for instance, as digital tokens), are intended to enhance fairness in the system - a unit of right is required to acquire a unit of the resource, but the rights themselves can also be traded alongside the resource in the market. We analyze how this regulatory mechanism influences the distribution of the scarce resource in the hybrid market over time. Unlike past works that relied on empirical methods, we explore the exact analytical properties of a system in which traders optimize over multiple rounds. We identify its market equilibrium, which is a natural generalization of the free market equilibrium, and show that it is coalition-proof. To assess the fairness in the system, we use the concept of frustration, which measures the gap between the resources a buyer is entitled to through their buying rights and what they actually obtain through trading. Our main theoretical result shows that using buying rights reduces the frustration by at least half compared to the free market. Empirical evaluations further support our findings, suggesting the system performs well even beyond the theoretically studied assumptions.


Things Are Getting More Expensive. There's an Easy Way to Save a Lot of Money.

Slate

Sign up for the Slatest to get the most insightful analysis, criticism, and advice out there, delivered to your inbox daily. Americans are mad as hell about high food prices. They hate paying more at the supermarket even more than they hate paying more at the pump. Food inflation was arguably their main reason for President Donald Trump's win, and Trump's failure to reverse it (while imposing tariffs that accelerate it) is arguably the main reason for his sinking approval ratings. Cost-conscious consumers have been clipping more coupons, dining out less, buying more generic brands, and generally changing their grocery shopping habits to save money.


Routing for Large ML Models

Cohen, Ofir, Schapira, Jose Yallouz Michael, Belkar, Shahar, Mizrahi, Tal

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The communication Our aim is to devise methodologies for the online adaptation patterns induced by these training process exhibit of routing configurations in ML training clusters that high regularity and persistence, giving rise to significant improve global training efficiency and fairness. Our approach opportunities for optimizing the manner in which flows are builds on two characteristics of ML training and modern networking: routed across the network. We present an algorithmic framework for quantifying network-wide efficiency in the context of training LLMs (and other large-scale ML models), and for periodically optimizing routing with respect to this global Traffic patterns induced by ML training tend to exhibit metric.


Hierarchical Trajectory (Re)Planning for a Large Scale Swarm

Pan, Lishuo, Wang, Yutong, Ayanian, Nora

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the trajectory replanning problem for a large-scale swarm in a cluttered environment. Our path planner replans for robots by utilizing a hierarchical approach, dividing the workspace, and computing collision-free paths for robots within each cell in parallel. Distributed trajectory optimization generates a deadlock-free trajectory for efficient execution and maintains the control feasibility even when the optimization fails. Our hierarchical approach combines the benefits of both centralized and decentralized methods, achieving a high task success rate while providing real-time replanning capability. Compared to decentralized approaches, our approach effectively avoids deadlocks and collisions, significantly increasing the task success rate. We demonstrate the real-time performance of our algorithm with up to 142 robots in simulation, and a representative 24 physical Crazyflie nano-quadrotor experiment.


Coop: Memory is not a Commodity

Neural Information Processing Systems

Tensor rematerialization allows the training of deep neural networks (DNNs) under limited memory budgets by checkpointing the models and recomputing the evicted tensors as needed. However, the existing tensor rematerialization techniques overlook the memory system in deep learning frameworks and implicitly assume that free memory blocks at different addresses are identical. Under this flawed assumption, discontiguous tensors are evicted, among which some are not used to allocate the new tensor. This leads to severe memory fragmentation and increases the cost of potential rematerializations.To address this issue, we propose to evict tensors within a sliding window to ensure all evictions are contiguous and are immediately used. Furthermore, we proposed cheap tensor partitioning and recomputable in-place to further reduce the rematerialization cost by optimizing the tensor allocation.We named our method Coop as it is a co-optimization of tensor allocation and tensor rematerialization.


Achilles, Neural Network to Predict the Gold Vs US Dollar Integration with Trading Bot for Automatic Trading

Varela, Angel

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Predicting the stock market is a big challenge for the machine learning world. It is known how difficult it is to have accurate and consistent predictions with ML models. Some architectures are able to capture the movement of stocks but almost never are able to be launched to the production world. We present Achilles, with a classical architecture of LSTM(Long Short Term Memory) neural network this model is able to predict the Gold vs USD commodity. With the predictions minute-per-minute of this model we implemented a trading bot to run during 23 days of testing excluding weekends. At the end of the testing period we generated $1623.52 in profit with the methodology used. The results of our method demonstrate Machine Learning can successfully be implemented to predict the Gold vs USD commodity.


Hierarchical Large Scale Multirobot Path (Re)Planning

Pan, Lishuo, Hsu, Kevin, Ayanian, Nora

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider a large-scale multi-robot path planning problem in a cluttered environment. Our approach achieves real-time replanning by dividing the workspace into cells and utilizing a hierarchical planner. Specifically, we propose novel multi-commodity flow-based high-level planners that route robots through cells with reduced congestion, along with an anytime low-level planner that computes collision-free paths for robots within each cell in parallel. A highlight of our method is a significant improvement in computation time. Specifically, we show empirical results of a 500-times speedup in computation time compared to the baseline multi-agent pathfinding approach on the environments we study. We account for the robot's embodiment and support non-stop execution with continuous replanning. We demonstrate the real-time performance of our algorithm with up to 142 robots in simulation, and a representative 32 physical Crazyflie nano-quadrotor experiment.


Machine-Learned Prediction Equilibrium for Dynamic Traffic Assignment

Graf, Lukas, Harks, Tobias, Kollias, Kostas, Markl, Michael

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study a dynamic traffic assignment model, where agents base their instantaneous routing decisions on real-time delay predictions. We formulate a mathematically concise model and define dynamic prediction equilibrium (DPE) in which no agent can at any point during their journey improve their predicted travel time by switching to a different route. We demonstrate the versatility of our framework by showing that it subsumes the well-known full information and instantaneous information models, in addition to admitting further realistic predictors as special cases. We then proceed to derive properties of the predictors that ensure a dynamic prediction equilibrium exists. Additionally, we define $\varepsilon$-approximate DPE wherein no agent can improve their predicted travel time by more than $\varepsilon$ and provide further conditions of the predictors under which such an approximate equilibrium can be computed. Finally, we complement our theoretical analysis by an experimental study, in which we systematically compare the induced average travel times of different predictors, including two machine-learning based models trained on data gained from previously computed approximate equilibrium flows, both on synthetic and real world road networks.


NourishNet: Proactive Severity State Forecasting of Food Commodity Prices for Global Warning Systems

Balboni, Sydney, Ivey, Grace, Storoe, Brett, Cisler, John, Plater, Tyge, Grant, Caitlyn, Bruce, Ella, Paulson, Benjamin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Price volatility in global food commodities is a critical signal indicating potential disruptions in the food market. Understanding forthcoming changes in these prices is essential for bolstering food security, particularly for nations at risk. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) previously developed sophisticated statistical frameworks for the proactive prediction of food commodity prices, aiding in the creation of global early warning systems. These frameworks utilize food security indicators to produce accurate forecasts, thereby facilitating preparations against potential food shortages. Our research builds on these foundations by integrating robust price security indicators with cutting-edge deep learning (DL) methodologies to reveal complex interdependencies. DL techniques examine intricate dynamics among diverse factors affecting food prices. Through sophisticated time-series forecasting models coupled with a classification model, our approach enhances existing models to better support communities worldwide in advancing their food security initiatives.


A community palm model

Clinton, Nicholas, Vollrath, Andreas, D'annunzio, Remi, Liu, Desheng, Glick, Henry B., Descals, Adrià, Sullivan, Alicia, Guinan, Oliver, Abramowitz, Jacob, Stolle, Fred, Goodman, Chris, Birch, Tanya, Quinn, David, Danylo, Olga, Lips, Tijs, Coelho, Daniel, Bihari, Enikoe, Cronkite-Ratcliff, Bryce, Poortinga, Ate, Haghighattalab, Atena, Notman, Evan, DeWitt, Michael, Yonas, Aaron, Donchyts, Gennadii, Shah, Devaja, Saah, David, Tenneson, Karis, Quyen, Nguyen Hanh, Verma, Megha, Wilcox, Andrew

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Palm oil production has been identified as one of the major drivers of deforestation for tropical countries. To meet supply chain objectives, commodity producers and other stakeholders need timely information of land cover dynamics in their supply shed. However, such data are difficult to obtain from suppliers who may lack digital geographic representations of their supply sheds and production locations. Here we present a "community model," a machine learning model trained on pooled data sourced from many different stakeholders, to develop a specific land cover probability map, in this case a semi-global oil palm map. An advantage of this method is the inclusion of varied inputs, the ability to easily update the model as new training data becomes available and run the model on any year that input imagery is available. Inclusion of diverse data sources into one probability map can help establish a shared understanding across stakeholders on the presence and absence of a land cover or commodity (in this case oil palm). The model predictors are annual composites built from publicly available satellite imagery provided by Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and ALOS DSM. We provide map outputs as the probability of palm in a given pixel, to reflect the uncertainty of the underlying state (palm or not palm). The initial version of this model provides global accuracy estimated to be approximately 90% (at 0.5 probability threshold) from spatially partitioned test data. This model, and resulting oil palm probability map products are useful for accurately identifying the geographic footprint of palm cultivation. Used in conjunction with timely deforestation information, this palm model is useful for understanding the risk of continued oil palm plantation expansion in sensitive forest areas.