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Causal Inference with Cocycles

Dance, Hugh, Bloem-Reddy, Benjamin

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many interventions in causal inference can be represented as transformations. We identify a local symmetry property satisfied by a large class of causal models under such interventions. Where present, this symmetry can be characterized by a type of map called a cocycle, an object that is central to dynamical systems theory. We show that such cocycles exist under general conditions and are sufficient to identify interventional and counterfactual distributions. We use these results to derive cocycle-based estimators for causal estimands and show they achieve semiparametric efficiency under typical conditions. Since (infinitely) many distributions can share the same cocycle, these estimators make causal inference robust to mis-specification by sidestepping superfluous modelling assumptions. We demonstrate both robustness and state-of-the-art performance in several simulations, and apply our method to estimate the effects of 401(k) pension plan eligibility on asset accumulation using a real dataset.


Global optimality under amenable symmetry constraints

Orbanz, Peter

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We ask whether there exists a function or measure that (1) minimizes a given convex functional or risk and (2) satisfies a symmetry property specified by an amenable group of transformations. Examples of such symmetry properties are invariance, equivariance, or quasi-invariance. Our results draw on old ideas of Stein and Le Cam and on approximate group averages that appear in ergodic theorems for amenable groups. A class of convex sets known as orbitopes in convex analysis emerges as crucial, and we establish properties of such orbitopes in nonparametric settings. We also show how a simple device called a cocycle can be used to reduce different forms of symmetry to a single problem. As applications, we obtain results on invariant kernel mean embeddings and a Monge-Kantorovich theorem on optimality of transport plans under symmetry constraints. We also explain connections to the Hunt-Stein theorem on invariant tests.


Algebraic Topological Networks via the Persistent Local Homology Sheaf

Cesa, Gabriele, Behboodi, Arash

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we introduce a novel approach based on algebraic topology to enhance graph convolution and attention modules by incorporating local topological properties of the data. To do so, we consider the framework of sheaf neural networks, which has been previously leveraged to incorporate additional structure into graph neural networks' features and construct more expressive, non-isotropic messages. Specifically, given an input simplicial complex (e.g. generated by the cliques of a graph or the neighbors in a point cloud), we construct its local homology sheaf, which assigns to each node the vector space of its local homology. The intermediate features of our networks live in these vector spaces and we leverage the associated sheaf Laplacian to construct more complex linear messages between them. Moreover, we extend this approach by considering the persistent version of local homology associated with a weighted simplicial complex (e.g., built from pairwise distances of nodes embeddings). This i) solves the problem of the lack of a natural choice of basis for the local homology vector spaces and ii) makes the sheaf itself differentiable, which enables our models to directly optimize the topology of their intermediate features.


Cycles and Intractability in a Large Class of Aggregation Rules

Zwicker, William S.

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We introduce the (j, k)-Kemeny rule - a generalization of Kemeny's voting rule that aggregates j-chotomous weak orders into a k-chotomous weak order. Special cases of (j, k)- Kemeny include approval voting, the mean rule and Borda mean rule, as well as the Borda count and plurality voting. Why, then, is the winner problem computationally tractable for each of these other rules, but intractable for Kemeny? We show that intractability of winner determination for the (j, k)-Kemeny rule first appears at the j 3, k 3 level. The proof rests on a reduction of max cut to a related problem on weighted tournaments, and reveals that computational complexity arises from the cyclic part in the fundamental decomposition of a weighted tournament into cyclic and cocyclic components. Thus the existence of majority cycles - the engine driving both Arrow's impossibility theorem and the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem - also serves as a source of computational complexity in social choice.