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Bayesian Graph Traversal

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research considers Bayesian decision-analytic approaches toward the traversal of an uncertain graph. Namely, a traveler progresses over a graph in which rewards are gained upon a node's first visit and costs are incurred for every edge traversal. The traveler knows the graph's adjacency matrix and his starting position but does not know the rewards and costs. The traveler is a Bayesian who encodes his beliefs about these values using a Gaussian process prior and who seeks to maximize his expected utility over these beliefs. Adopting a decision-analytic perspective, we develop sequential decision-making solution strategies for this coupled information-collection and network-routing problem. We show that the problem is NP-Hard and derive properties of the optimal walk. These properties provide heuristics for the traveler's problem that balance exploration and exploitation. We provide a practical case study focused on the use of unmanned aerial systems for public safety and empirically study policy performance in myriad Erdos-Renyi settings.


Contextual Bandits with Budgeted Information Reveal

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Contextual bandit algorithms are commonly used in digital health to recommend personalized treatments. However, to ensure the effectiveness of the treatments, patients are often requested to take actions that have no immediate benefit to them, which we refer to as pro-treatment actions. In practice, clinicians have a limited budget to encourage patients to take these actions and collect additional information. We introduce a novel optimization and learning algorithm to address this problem. This algorithm effectively combines the strengths of two algorithmic approaches in a seamless manner, including 1) an online primal-dual algorithm for deciding the optimal timing to reach out to patients, and 2) a contextual bandit learning algorithm to deliver personalized treatment to the patient. We prove that this algorithm admits a sub-linear regret bound. We illustrate the usefulness of this algorithm on both synthetic and real-world data.


Banking Brands Need AI to Keep Pace With Digital Giants

#artificialintelligence

Even though the acronym AI is now well-embedded in banking industry consciousness, actual use of artificial intelligence, and its cousins machine learning and data analytics, has been limited except with a handful of the largest financial institutions. According to an MIT Sloan report cited by IBM, 81% of all enterprises do not understand what data is required for AI, or how to access it. Still, the report found that 83% agree that driving AI across the enterprise is a strategic opportunity. Meanwhile the big tech firms, notably Amazon, Google and Facebook, have built big leads in this area, powering their ecommerce empires, which increasingly include financial services. There are options, however, to enable a wider range of financial institutions to take advantage of AI for use in marketing, personalization, user experience, payments, and more.