From the conditional intensity function (CIF) defined in Eq. 1, we can obtain the survival function The terms over-or underdispersion describe empirical quantile distributions that do not match the point process model. A.3 Renewal processes A.3.1 Firing rates and ISIs The law of large numbers for renewal processes [24] shows that for a Markov renewal process lim Below we give the parametric densities for renewal processes used in the paper. To evaluate the CIF for renewal processes, we need to compute the hazard function as discussed above. Gamma The cumulative density function is C ( τ) = 1 Γ(α) γ ( α,τ) (32) where γ (,) denotes the lower incomplete Gamma function. B.1 Sparse variational Gaussian processes B.1.1 Gaussian processes as priors over functions In addition, closed-form inference and prediction are not possible for non-Gaussian likelihoods as used in this paper.

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The automatic classification of medical time series signals, such as electroencephalogram (EEG) and electrocardiogram (ECG), plays a pivotal role in clinical decision support and early detection of diseases. Although Transformer based models have achieved notable performance by implicitly modeling temporal dependencies through self-attention mechanisms, their inherently complex architectures and opaque reasoning processes undermine their trustworthiness in high stakes clinical settings. In response to these limitations, this study shifts focus toward a modeling paradigm that emphasizes structural transparency, aligning more closely with the intrinsic characteristics of medical data. We propose a novel method, Channel Imposed Fusion (CIF), which enhances the signal-to-noise ratio through cross-channel information fusion, effectively reduces redundancy, and improves classification performance. Furthermore, we integrate CIF with the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), known for its structural simplicity and controllable receptive field, to construct an efficient and explicit classification framework. Experimental results on multiple publicly available EEG and ECG datasets demonstrate that the proposed method not only outperforms existing state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches in terms of various classification metrics, but also significantly enhances the transparency of the classification process, offering a novel perspective for medical time series classification.

Temporal point process as the stochastic process on continuous domain of time is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring with occurrence timestamps. Thanks to the strong expressivity of deep neural networks, they are emerging as a promising choice for capturing the patterns in asynchronous sequences, in the context of temporal point process. In this paper, we first review recent research emphasis and difficulties in modeling asynchronous event sequences with deep temporal point process, which can be concluded into four fields: encoding of history sequence, formulation of conditional intensity function, relational discovery of events and learning approaches for optimization. We introduce most of recently proposed models by dismantling them into the four parts, and conduct experiments by remodularizing the first three parts with the same learning strategy for a fair empirical evaluation. Besides, we extend the history encoders and conditional intensity function family, and propose a Granger causality discovery framework for exploiting the relations among multi-types of events. Because the Granger causality can be represented by the Granger causality graph, discrete graph structure learning in the framework of Variational Inference is employed to reveal latent structures of the graph. Further experiments show that the proposed framework with latent graph discovery can both capture the relations and achieve an improved fitting and predicting performance.

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most likely event, a less explored area known as competing risks. Classic competing risks models couple architecture and loss, limiting scalability.To address these issues, we design a strictly proper censoring-adjusted separable scoring rule, allowing optimization on a subset of the data as each observation is evaluated independently. The loss estimates outcome probabilities and enables stochastic optimization for competing risks, which we use for efficient gradient boosting trees. SurvivalBoost not only outperforms 12 state-of-the-art models across several metrics on 4 real-life datasets, both in competing risks and survival settings, but also provides great calibration, the ability to predict across any time horizon, and computation times faster than existing methods.

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most likely event, known as competing risks, which has been less studied. To build a loss that estimates outcome probabilities for such settings, we introduce a strictly proper censoring-adjusted separable scoring rule that can be optimized on a subpart of the data because the evaluation is made independently of observations. It enables stochastic optimization for competing risks which we use to train gradient boosting trees. Compared to 11 state-of-the-art models, this model, MultiIncidence, performs best in estimating the probability of outcomes in survival and competing risks. It can predict at any time horizon and is much faster than existing alternatives.

Critical Infrastructure Facilities (CIFs), such as healthcare and transportation facilities, are vital for the functioning of a community, especially during large-scale emergencies. In this paper, we explore a potential application of Large Language Models (LLMs) to monitor the status of CIFs affected by natural disasters through information disseminated in social media networks. To this end, we analyze social media data from two disaster events in two different countries to identify reported impacts to CIFs as well as their impact severity and operational status. We employ state-of-the-art open-source LLMs to perform computational tasks including retrieval, classification, and inference, all in a zero-shot setting. Through extensive experimentation, we report the results of these tasks using standard evaluation metrics and reveal insights into the strengths and weaknesses of LLMs. We note that although LLMs perform well in classification tasks, they encounter challenges with inference tasks, especially when the context/prompt is complex and lengthy. Additionally, we outline various potential directions for future exploration that can be beneficial during the initial adoption phase of LLMs for disaster response tasks.

The recently proposed visually grounded speech model SpeechCLIP is an innovative framework that bridges speech and text through images via CLIP without relying on text transcription. On this basis, this paper introduces two extensions to SpeechCLIP. First, we apply the Continuous Integrate-and-Fire (CIF) module to replace a fixed number of CLS tokens in the cascaded architecture. Second, we propose a new hybrid architecture that merges the cascaded and parallel architectures of SpeechCLIP into a multi-task learning framework. Our experimental evaluation is performed on the Flickr8k and SpokenCOCO datasets. The results show that in the speech keyword extraction task, the CIF-based cascaded SpeechCLIP model outperforms the previous cascaded SpeechCLIP model using a fixed number of CLS tokens. Furthermore, through our hybrid architecture, cascaded task learning boosts the performance of the parallel branch in image-speech retrieval tasks.

Deep learning methods have achieved great success in solving computer vision tasks, and they have been widely utilized in artificially intelligent systems for image processing, analysis, and understanding. However, deep neural networks have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial perturbations in input data. The security issues of deep neural networks have thus come to the fore. It is imperative to study the adversarial robustness of deep vision algorithms comprehensively. This talk focuses on the adversarial robustness of image classification models and image denoisers. We will discuss the robustness of deep vision algorithms from three perspectives: 1) robustness evaluation (we propose the ObsAtk to evaluate the robustness of denoisers), 2) robustness improvement (HAT, TisODE, and CIFS are developed to robustify vision models), and 3) the connection between adversarial robustness and generalization capability to new domains (we find that adversarially robust denoisers can deal with unseen types of real-world noise).

Simultaneous speech translation (SimulST) is a challenging task aiming to translate streaming speech before the complete input is observed. A SimulST system generally includes two components: the pre-decision that aggregates the speech information and the policy that decides to read or write. While recent works had proposed various strategies to improve the pre-decision, they mainly adopt the fixed wait-k policy, leaving the adaptive policies rarely explored. This paper proposes to model the adaptive policy by adapting the Continuous Integrate-and-Fire (CIF). Compared with monotonic multihead attention (MMA), our method has the advantage of simpler computation, superior quality at low latency, and better generalization to long utterances. We conduct experiments on the MuST-C V2 dataset and show the effectiveness of our approach.