certificate
The Condition-Number Principle for Prototype Clustering
We develop a geometric framework that links objective accuracy to structural recovery in prototype-based clustering. The analysis is algorithm-agnostic and applies to a broad class of admissible loss functions. We define a clustering condition number that compares within-cluster scale to the minimum loss increase required to move a point across a cluster boundary. When this quantity is small, any solution with a small suboptimality gap must also have a small misclassification error relative to a benchmark partition. The framework also clarifies a fundamental trade-off between robustness and sensitivity to cluster imbalance, leading to sharp phase transitions for exact recovery under different objectives. The guarantees are deterministic and non-asymptotic, and they separate the role of algorithmic accuracy from the intrinsic geometric difficulty of the instance. We further show that errors concentrate near cluster boundaries and that sufficiently deep cluster cores are recovered exactly under strengthened local margins. Together, these results provide a geometric principle for interpreting low objective values as reliable evidence of meaningful clustering structure.
PAC-Bayesian Reward-Certified Outcome Weighted Learning
Estimating optimal individualized treatment rules (ITRs) via outcome weighted learning (OWL) often relies on observed rewards that are noisy or optimistic proxies for the true latent utility. Ignoring this reward uncertainty leads to the selection of policies with inflated apparent performance, yet existing OWL frameworks lack the finite-sample guarantees required to systematically embed such uncertainty into the learning objective. To address this issue, we propose PAC-Bayesian Reward-Certified Outcome Weighted Learning (PROWL). Given a one-sided uncertainty certificate, PROWL constructs a conservative reward and a strictly policy-dependent lower bound on the true expected value. Theoretically, we prove an exact certified reduction that transforms robust policy learning into a unified, split-free cost-sensitive classification task. This formulation enables the derivation of a nonasymptotic PAC-Bayes lower bound for randomized ITRs, where we establish that the optimal posterior maximizing this bound is exactly characterized by a general Bayes update. To overcome the learning-rate selection problem inherent in generalized Bayesian inference, we introduce a fully automated, bounds-based calibration procedure, coupled with a Fisher-consistent certified hinge surrogate for efficient optimization. Our experiments demonstrate that PROWL achieves improvements in estimating robust, high-value treatment regimes under severe reward uncertainty compared to standard methods for ITR estimation.
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- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.14)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Chūbu > Toyama Prefecture > Toyama (0.04)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Uncertainty > Bayesian Inference (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.67)
- North America > United States > Illinois (0.04)
- North America > Canada (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- North America > United States > Maryland (0.05)
- North America > Canada (0.04)
- North America > United States (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > West Midlands > Birmingham (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Greater London > London (0.04)
- Europe > France > Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes > Isère > Grenoble (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Europe > France > Île-de-France > Paris > Paris (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Alameda County > Berkeley (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Asia > India > Karnataka > Bengaluru (0.04)
- Europe > Germany > Bavaria > Upper Bavaria > Munich (0.04)
- Europe > Germany > North Rhine-Westphalia > Cologne Region > Cologne (0.04)
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.04)