certificate
Your PC's trust in Windows has an expiration date
PCWorld reports that Windows 11 PCs face a critical Secure Boot certificate expiration in June 2026 that could compromise system security. Current certificates from 2011 will stop receiving boot-critical updates and malware blacklists, potentially causing boot failures or blocking future Windows feature updates. Microsoft is rolling out new certificates to prevent these issues, making timely updates essential for maintaining PC security and functionality. Microsoft has clarified what will happen to Windows 11 PCs if Secure Boot certificates are not updated before they expire in June 2026. Secure Boot is a security standard developed by the PC industry.
Algorithms with Polynomially-Improved Approximation Factors for the $2 \rightarrow q$ Norm, and Applications
Hopkins, Samuel B., Tiegel, Stefan
The $2 \rightarrow q$ norm of a matrix $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ is defined as $\lVert X \rVert_{2 \rightarrow q} = \sup_{\lVert v \rVert_2 = 1} \lVert Xv \rVert_q$. We give polynomial-time multiplicative approximation algorithms for this norm when $q > 2$ (i.e. in the hypercontractive setting). This problem either directly captures or is closely related to long-standing open problems in combinatorial optimization and hardness of approximation (e.g. Small Set Expansion), quantum information (e.g. Best Separable State), and algorithmic statistics. Very little is known about what approximation factors we can achieve for this problem in polynomial time, even though such approximations have significant downstream consequences. Barak, Brandรฃo, Harrow, Kelner, Steurer, and Zhou showed that no polynomial-time algorithm can achieve an approximation factor better than $2^{\sqrt{\log n}}$, assuming the Exponential Time Hypothesis (FOCS'12). On the other hand, a simple spectral algorithm gives a $d^{1/4}$-approximation as a baseline. We give, to the best of our knowledge, the first polynomial-time approximation algorithm beating this baseline by polynomial factors. For the important special case of $q = 4$ it achieves a $d^{1/8}$-approximation. All previous algorithms required additional assumptions on $X$, or only surpassed the baseline for small values of $n$. Moreover, we construct sum-of-squares certificates for the $2 \rightarrow q$ norm. This directly implies improved algorithms for robust mean and covariance estimation, robust regression, and clustering, when the data only satisfies a bound on its $q$-th moment.
Do Not Trust The Auctioneer: Learning to Bid in Feedback-Manipulated Auctions
Foscari, Luigi, Tullii, Matilde, Perchet, Vianney
Shilling is the use of artificial bids to make competition appear stronger and push prices upward. We study repeated first-price auctions in which shilling affects feedback but not allocation: the learner wins or loses against the real competing bid, but after a loss observes the maximum of the real bid and an independent shill bid. Thus the manipulation changes what the learner observes and hence how it learns to bid, without changing the outcome of the current auction. We analyze regret with respect to the best bid benchmark, assuming that the shill-bid distribution is known. Even then, shilling can mask the real bid, while useful side information appears only through intermittent low-shill events. Our algorithm combines a robust interval-elimination branch, which ignores the shilled report and achieves the dynamic-pricing rate $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(T^{2/3})$, with an optimistic branch that debiases losing-side reports and exploits the resulting suffix information when it is reliable and achieves the first-price auctions rate $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$. A validation and racing procedure lets the algorithm use these optimistic updates without knowing the right scale or feedback geometry in advance. We complement the upper bounds with a matching lower bound, up to logarithmic factors, in the single-active-region case. Overall, the results show that even feedback-only shilling can sharply alter the statistical difficulty of repeated bidding.
Contradiction Graphs Determine VC Dimension
Campbell, Jesse, Ibaibarriaga, Daniel, Reyzin, Lev
The Vapnik-Chervonenkis dimension is the fundamental combinatorial parameter of distribution-free binary classification. Introduced by Vapnik and Chervonenkis in their work on uniform convergence [VC71], and closely connected to the Sauer-Shelah lemma [Sau72, She72], it characterizes classical PAC learnability [Val84, BEHW89, EHKV89]. In particular, finite VC dimension is equivalent to distribution-free learnability. This paper asks whether that finite-versus-infinite VC dichotomy is still visible after replacing a concept class by its contradiction graphs. For a binary class H {0,1}X, the order-m contradiction graph Gm(H) has as vertices the H-realizable labeled samples of length m, with an edge between two samples if they assign opposite labels to some common domain point. Throughout, samples are ordered sequences, and repetitions of domain points are allowed, subject to consistent labeling. We use the contradiction-graph framework introduced by Alon et al. in their graph-theoretic characterization of private learnability [AMSY24]. They ask whether two binary classes can have isomorphic contradiction graphs at every level while one has finite VC dimension and the other has infinite VC dimension.
Regret Analysis of Guided Diffusion for Black-Box Optimization over Structured Inputs
Adachi, Masaki, Yang, Anita, Wang, Yakun, Liu, Song
Guided-diffusion black-box optimization (BO) has shown strong empirical performance on structured design problems such as molecules and crystals, but its regret behavior remains poorly understood. Existing BO regret analyses typically rely on maximum information gain, non-pretrained surrogate models, or exact acquisition maximization -- assumptions that break down in modern diffusion -- BO pipelines, where pretrained diffusion models serve as powerful priors over valid structures and acquisition maximization is replaced by approximate sampling over astronomically large discrete spaces. We develop a first certificate-based expected simple-regret framework for guided-diffusion BO that avoids maximum-information-gain bounds, RKHS assumptions, and exact acquisition maximization. The central quantity in our analysis is mass lift: the increase in probability mass assigned to near-optimal designs relative to the pretrained generator. This view explains how exponential-looking finite-budget convergence and polynomial acceleration can all arise from the same mechanism. We also give practical diagnostics for estimating search exponents from finite candidate pools and a proposal-corrected resampling construction that provides a fully certified sampler instance.
When Does Trimming Help Conformal Prediction? A Retained-Law Diagnostic under Calibration Contamination
Trimming suspicious calibration points is a common response to contamination in conformal prediction. Its effect on clean-target coverage, however, is governed by the retained law induced by trimming, not by the contamination level alone. We analyse fixed-threshold trimming as conditioning rather than purification. It replaces the contaminated calibration law with a retained law, reducing clean-target coverage to a one-dimensional score-CDF transfer problem with an exact finite-sample identity. A componentwise bound on the transfer gap gives a population-level diagnostic. This separates a clean-side covariance cost from a retained-contamination cost, governed by the dirty-to-clean retention ratio. Trimming helps when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities while remaining score-neutral on the clean population. Otherwise, it cannot substantially reduce contamination through the retained mixture coefficient. We also give finite-sample certificate templates that provide numerical guarantees under independent audit.
Adaptive Confidence Intervals in Efron's Gaussian Two-Groups Model
Wang, Qiaosen, Chai, Shuwen, Gao, Chao
Robust uncertainty quantification is increasingly important in modern data analysis and is often formalized under Huber's model, which allows an $\varepsilon$-fraction of arbitrary corruptions. In many experimental sciences, however, the measurement protocol is well controlled, and contamination is more plausibly introduced upstream. Motivated by this noise-oblivious nature of adversaries, we study confidence intervals for the null location parameter $ฮธ$ in Efron's Gaussian two-groups model, where an unknown fraction $\varepsilon$ of observations have arbitrarily shifted means, but all samples share the same law of additive Gaussian measurement noise with variance $ฯ^2$. We characterize the minimax-optimal length among confidence intervals with a prescribed coverage level uniformly over the unknown contamination proportion and all noise-oblivious adversaries. Although prior work has shown that the minimax point estimation rate of theta does not deteriorate when $\varepsilon$ becomes unknown, our results reveal that, with a given $ฯ^2$, the minimax-optimal length of confidence intervals that are adaptive to unknown $\varepsilon$ is of order $ฯ(n^{-1/4}+\varepsilon^{1/2}/\max\{1, \log(en \varepsilon^2)\}^{1/2})$, which is polynomially worse than the optimal length when $\varepsilon$ is known. When the variance $ฯ^2$ is also unknown, we show a further degradation: no adaptive confidence interval can be shorter than $ฮฉ(ฯn^{-1/8})$. Algorithmically, we introduce a Fourier-based certification procedure built on Carathรฉodory's positive-semidefiniteness constraints. By scanning candidate points and accepting those whose residual characteristic function is certifiably consistent with a Gaussian location mixture, our algorithm attains the minimax lower bound in the known-variance setting and is computable in polynomial time.
Stable GFlowNets with Probabilistic Guarantees
Lei, Zengxiang, Shreekumar, Ananth, Rosenthal, Jonathan, Song, Ruoyu, Cardenas, Alvaro A., Fremont, Daniel J., Xu, Dongyan, Ukkusuri, Satish, Celik, Z. Berkay
Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) learn to sample states proportional to an unnormalized reward. Despite their theoretical promise, practical training is often unstable, exhibiting severe loss spikes and mode collapse. To tackle this, we first assess the sensitivity of GFlowNet objectives, demonstrating that a small Total Variation (TV) distance between the learned and target distributions does not preclude unbounded training loss. Motivated by this mismatch, we establish converse guarantees by deriving loss-to-TV bounds that certify global fidelity from bounded trajectory balance losses. Lastly, we propose Stable GFlowNets, an algorithm that leverages our theoretical results to stabilize training, and empirically demonstrate improved training behavior and superior distributional fidelity.