cause-effect
Large Scale Passenger Detection with Smartphone/Bus Implicit Interaction and Multisensory Unsupervised Cause-effect Learning
Servizi, Valentino, Persson, Dan R., Pereira, Francisco C., Villadsen, Hannah, Bækgaard, Per, Rich, Jeppe, Nielsen, Otto A.
Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) underpin the concept of Mobility as a Service (MaaS), which requires universal and seamless users' access across multiple public and private transportation systems while allowing operators' proportional revenue sharing. Current user sensing technologies such as Walk-in/Walk-out (WIWO) and Check-in/Check-out (CICO) have limited scalability for large-scale deployments. These limitations prevent ITS from supporting analysis, optimization, calculation of revenue sharing, and control of MaaS comfort, safety, and efficiency. We focus on the concept of implicit Be-in/Be-out (BIBO) smartphone-sensing and classification. To close the gap and enhance smartphones towards MaaS, we developed a proprietary smartphone-sensing platform collecting contemporary Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) signals from BLE devices installed on buses and Global Positioning System (GPS) locations of both buses and smartphones. To enable the training of a model based on GPS features against the BLE pseudo-label, we propose the Cause-Effect Multitask Wasserstein Autoencoder (CEMWA). CEMWA combines and extends several frameworks around Wasserstein autoencoders and neural networks. As a dimensionality reduction tool, CEMWA obtains an auto-validated representation of a latent space describing users' smartphones within the transport system. This representation allows BIBO clustering via DBSCAN. We perform an ablation study of CEMWA's alternative architectures and benchmark against the best available supervised methods. We analyze performance's sensitivity to label quality. Under the naïve assumption of accurate ground truth, XGBoost outperforms CEMWA. Although XGBoost and Random Forest prove to be tolerant to label noise, CEMWA is agnostic to label noise by design and provides the best performance with an 88\% F1 score.
Causal-BERT : Language models for causality detection between events expressed in text
Khetan, Vivek, Ramnani, Roshni, Anand, Mayuresh, Sengupta, Shubhashis, Fano, Andrew E.
Causality understanding between events is a critical natural language processing task that is helpful in many areas, including health care, business risk management and finance. On close examination, one can find a huge amount of textual content both in the form of formal documents or in content arising from social media like twitter, dedicated to communicating and exploring various types of causality in the real world. Recognizing these "Cause-Effect" relationships between natural language events continues to remain a challenge simply because it is often expressed implicitly. Implicit causality is hard to detect through most of the techniques employed in literature and can also, at times be perceived as ambiguous or vague. Also, although well known datasets do exist for this problem, the examples in them are limited in the range and complexity of the causal relationships they depict especially when related to implicit relationships. Most of the contemporary methods are either based on lexico-semantic pattern matching or are feature-driven supervised methods. Therefore, as expected these methods are more geared towards handling explicit causal relationships leading to limited coverage for implicit relationships and are hard to generalize. In this paper, we investigate the language model's capabilities for causal association among events expressed in natural language text using sentence context combined with event information, and by leveraging masked event context with in-domain and out-of-domain data distribution. Our proposed methods achieve the state-of-art performance in three different data distributions and can be leveraged for extraction of a causal diagram and/or building a chain of events from unstructured text.