One of AI's Fiercest Critics Says All the Doom Talk Is'Meant to Distract Us' Timnit Gebru argues that AI companies are stoking fears of extinction to avoid discussing actual harms, like autonomous weapons. Here at WIRED we've been trying to make sense of at least two incidents in the AI industry this week: First, the major fight over a million-dollar math problem and whether OpenAI surreptitiously borrowed the work of other researchers to solve the problem first. A day later, an Anthropic researcher--who had previously worked at OpenAI--very publicly quit his job, citing concerns about how both companies were handling AI safety. Another technical staffer at Anthropic said in response that people at the company "really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade."

A startup called Mostik has a wild new approach to combining the capabilities of AI models. I recently met with some brilliant Russian mathematicians who showed me a way for artificial intelligence models to communicate via something akin to machine telepathy. The mathematicians work for a startup called Mostik--the Russian word for bridge. It's a nod to the group's approach, which allows different models to interact using the mathematical values found in their weights --the things that determine how a prompt gets turned into an output. In practice, this means the capabilities of a larger model can be fed to a smaller model to ramp up its intelligence much more efficiently.

A driver said he was left perturbed after receiving a fine for crossing a toll bridge more than 270 miles from his home despite insisting he had never been near it. Graham Parsons, from Plymouth, Devon, received an unpaid toll charge for using the Warburton Toll Bridge, which links Cheshire and Greater Manchester. His case is one of a number raised by motorists who have complained about the bridge's payment and enforcement system. Peel Ports said there had been some genuine customer experience issues, but the evidence did not indicate a systemic failure of the system. The bridge previously cost 12p a crossing, but the charge was increased to £1 following refurbishment works in recent years .

Building on a two-parameter Weibull framework for diagnosing transformer weight distributions, we study why the Weibull weight-scale parameter $λ$ grows, overshoots, and then relaxes during AdamW training. We derive a leading-order three-force decomposition of the squared weight norm from the AdamW update: an alignment force measuring the correlation between weights and the adaptive update direction, an injection force from adaptive step magnitude, and a decay force from decoupled weight decay. On self-trained Pythia-70M models with ground-truth optimizer moments, alignment dominates the rise phase, contributing 88-94% of the absolute force budget across four random seeds and remaining robust to super-weight removal. Near saturation, alignment and decay approach balance, explaining the transition from weight-scale growth to relaxation. These force dynamics directly govern the squared-norm component underlying $λ(t)$; the remaining RMS-to-Weibull reconstruction offset is measurable and decomposes into bridge and integration components, totaling approximately 5-6% in densely sampled regions. To extend the analysis to real models where optimizer moments are unavailable, we introduce a spline displacement method that recovers the alignment force from sparse checkpoints with approximately 92-94% accuracy, about twice the naive two-point baseline. We further observe that the peak value of $λ(t)$ varies with training-data coherence in our experiments, suggesting a data-dependent component of weight-scale growth that we leave to a controlled follow-up study. Code and data are available at https://github.com/tiexinding/NPM-Weibull-public.

Singular learning theory characterises the complexity of a deep network through the geometry of its loss singularities. The local learning coefficient (LLC), the standard estimator of Watanabe's real log canonical threshold (RLCT, $λ$), reads this geometry as an integrated Bayesian scalar through SGLD, which needs per-task calibration and $10^4$-$10^6$ forward-backward passes per checkpoint. We introduce Dead-Direction Signatures (DDS), a family of cheap closed-form spectral readings of singular structure: each reads a network's activation matrix or per-sample-gradient Fisher-Gram at a chosen layer, replacing the SGLD posterior chain with spectral linear algebra. The readings rest on a dead-direction framework that predicts a structural correlation between activation- and Fisher-side spectra at any singular minimum, and a rank-multiplicative volume identity that single-eigenvalue monitors cannot produce: the active-volume $\log\det^{+}(G)$ slope counts the dead directions, tracking the rank-deficit $r$ across $r \in \{1,2,3,4\}$ (slope ratios $2.0, 3.1, 4.0$ at $r{=}2,3,4$ against the predicted $2,3,4$), where the smallest eigenvalue is rank-blind. On reduced-rank regression with closed-form $λ$, calibrated LLC recovers $λ$ at $99\%$ mean and the DDS observables rank-track it at the framework-predicted sign; on a non-linear modular-addition transformer DDS separates $d_{\mathrm{model}}$ across eighteen orders of magnitude where calibrated LLC at the protocol budget is rank-flat. Complementary to LLC's integrated posterior reading, DDS gives a directional, layer-local handle on a network's dead directions, read in closed form from its activation and gradient spectra.

Recent advances in generative modeling have positioned diffusion models as stateof-the-art tools for sampling from complex data distributions. While these models have shown remarkable success across single-modality domains such as images and audio, extending their capabilities to Modality Translation (MT), translating information across different sensory modalities, remains an open challenge. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, including shared dimensionality, Gaussian source priors, and modality-specific architectures, which limit their generality and theoretical grounding. In this work, we propose the Latent Denoising Diffusion Bridge Model (LDDBM), a general-purpose framework for modality translation based on a latent-variable extension of Denoising Diffusion Bridge Models. By operating in a shared latent space, our method learns a bridge between arbitrary modalities without requiring aligned dimensions. We introduce a contrastive alignment loss to enforce semantic consistency between paired samples and design a domain-agnostic encoder-decoder architecture tailored for noise prediction in latent space. Additionally, we propose a predictive loss to guide training toward accurate cross-domain translation and explore several training strategies to improve stability. Our approach supports arbitrary modality pairs and performs strongly on diverse MT tasks, including multi-view to 3D shape generation, image super-resolution, and multi-view scene synthesis.

Recent advances in flow-based generative modelling have provided scalable methods for computing the Schr odinger Bridge (SB) between distributions, a dynamic form of entropy-regularised Optimal Transport (OT) for the quadratic cost. The successful Iterative Markovian Fitting (IMF) procedure solves the SB problem via sequential bridge-matching steps, presenting an elegant and practical approach with many favourable properties over the more traditional Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) procedure. Beyond the standard setting, optimal transport can be generalised to the multi-marginal case in which the objective is to minimise a cost defined over several marginal distributions. Of particular importance are costs defined over a tree structure, from which Wasserstein barycentres can be recovered as a special case. In this work, we extend the IMF procedure to solve for the tree-structured SB problem. Our resulting algorithm inherits the many advantages of IMF over IPF approaches in the tree-based setting. In the case of Wasserstein barycentres, our approach can be viewed as extending the widely used fixed-point approach to use flow-based entropic OT solvers, while requiring only simple bridge-matching steps at each iteration.

Understanding complex systems by inferring trajectories from sparse sample snapshots is a fundamental challenge in a wide range of domains, e.g., single-cell biology, meteorology, and economics. Despite advancements in Bridge and Flow matching frameworks, current methodologies rely on pairwise interpolation between adjacent snapshots. This hinders their ability to capture long-range temporal dependencies and potentially affects the coherence of the inferred trajectories. To address these issues, we introduce Momentum Multi-Marginal Schrödinger Bridge Matching (3MSBM), a novel matching framework that learns smooth measure-valued splines for stochastic systems that satisfy multiple positional constraints. This is achieved by lifting the dynamics to phase space and generalizing stochastic bridges to be conditioned on several points, forming a multi-marginal conditional stochastic optimal control problem. The underlying dynamics are then learned by minimizing a variational objective, having fixed the path induced by the multi-marginal conditional bridge. As a matching approach, 3MSBM learns transport maps that preserve intermediate marginals throughout training, significantly improving convergence and scalability. Extensive experimentation in a series of real-world applications validates the superior performance of 3MSBM compared to existing methods in capturing complex dynamics with temporal dependencies, opening new avenues for training matching frameworks in multi-marginal settings.

We introduce, to our knowledge, the first deep generative modeling framework for probability distributions continuously supported on compact metric graphs. Given source and target measures on a metric graph, our method embeds the graph into a smooth ambient space, solves an entropic Kantorovich problem via a neural semidual parameterization, and projects generated samples back onto the original graph. We study two embedded geometries: an extrinsic Euclidean realization and the intrinsic tropical Abel--Jacobi embedding into the Jacobian torus. In both cases, the resulting generator is graph-supported by construction. We prove that, in the joint limit of increasing neural expressivity, the learned generator converges weakly to a valid transport coupling between the original graph measures. Empirically, across a range of geometrically distinct graphs, our method matches or improves upon heuristic transport baselines based on discrete graph OT, while scaling more favorably. Finally, we demonstrate scalability on real-world urban mobility data by training our model on one million Uber pickup locations in Manhattan, New York City.

Gradient clipping is increasingly important in centralized learning (CL) and federated learning (FL). Many works focus on its optimization properties under strong assumptions involving Gaussian noise and standard smoothness. However, practical machine learning tasks often only satisfy weaker conditions, such as heavy-tailed noise and $(L_0, L_1)$-smoothness. To bridge this gap, we propose a high-probability analysis for clipped Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) under these weaker assumptions. Our findings show a better convergence rate than existing ones can be achieved, and our high-probability analysis does not rely on the bounded gradient assumption. Moreover, we extend our analysis to FL, where a gap remains between expected and high-probability convergence, which the naive clipped SGD cannot bridge. Thus, we design a new \underline{Fed}erated \underline{C}lipped \underline{B}atched \underline{G}radient (FedCBG) algorithm, and prove the convergence and generalization bounds with high probability for the first time. Our analysis reveals the trade-offs between the optimization and generalization performance. Extensive experiments demonstrate that \methodname{} can generalize better to unseen client distributions than state-of-the-art baselines.