bottleneck
The Download: AI bottleneck debates, and BCI trials take off
Plus: Amazon workers who backed data center limits face potential termination. A startup claims it broke through a bottleneck that's holding back LLMs AI startup Subquadratic came out of stealth last month with a huge claim: it had solved a mathematical bottleneck that had held back large language models for almost a decade. The purported breakthrough comes from slashing the number of computations transformers need to carry out to generate answers. The result is a faster and cheaper LLM that uses far less energy than any other model on the market. Many experts remained skeptical--but Subquadratic has started to share the receipts. They suggest that their approach might be worth paying attention to.
A startup claims it broke through a bottleneck that's holding back LLMs
Miami-based AI startup Subquadratic came out of stealth mode last month with a huge claim. It announced that it had solved a mathematical bottleneck that had been holding back large language models for almost a decade. The details were thin, and many people were unconvinced. But Subquadratic has started to bring the receipts, sharing the results of an independent evaluation of its new tech. The results suggest that the company's claims might be worth paying attention to.
Reduction-based Pseudo-label Generation for Instance-dependent Partial Label Learning
Instance-dependent Partial Label Learning (ID-PLL) aims to learn a multi-class predictive model given training instances annotated with candidate labels related to features, among which correct labels are hidden fixed but unknown. The previous works involve leveraging the identification capability of the training model itself to iteratively refine supervision information. However, these methods overlook a critical aspect of ID-PLL: within the original label space, the model may fail to distinguish some incorrect candidate labels that are strongly correlated with features from correct labels. This leads to poor-quality supervision signals and creates a bottleneck in the training process. In this paper, we propose to leverage reduction-based pseudo-labels to alleviate the influence of incorrect candidate labels and train our predictive model to overcome this bottleneck. Specifically, reduction-based pseudo-labels are generated by performing weighted aggregation on the outputs of a multi-branch auxiliary model, with each branch trained in a label subspace that excludes certain labels. This approach ensures that each branch explicitly avoids the disturbance of the excluded labels, allowing the pseudo-labels provided for instances troubled by these excluded labels to benefit from the unaffected branches. Theoretically, we demonstrate that reduction-based pseudo-labels exhibit greater consistency with the Bayes optimal classifier compared to pseudo-labels directly generated from the training predictive model.
Three Costs of Amortizing Gaussian Process Inference with Neural Processes
Neural processes amortize Gaussian process inference, replacing the exact $O(n^3)$ posterior with a learned $O(n)$ map from context sets to predictive distributions. For a class of latent neural processes, we bound the Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence between the GP and LNP predictives, decomposing it into three interpretable sources, namely label contamination as the neural process uses label values to estimate a quantity that is label-independent in the exact GP, an information bottleneck because the finite-dimensional representation cannot resolve the full context geometry, and amortization error from a single encoder network shared across all contexts. The bottleneck truncation term decays in the representation dimension $d$ as $O(e^{-cd^{2/d_x}})$ for squared-exponential kernels on $\mathbb{R}^{d_x}$ where $c > 0$ is a kernel-dependent constant and as $O(d^{-2ν/d_x})$ for Matérn-$ν$ kernels, directly linking architecture sizing to kernel smoothness and input dimension. The label contamination term is $O(1)$ in general, with only the observation-noise component decaying as $O(1/n)$, identifying a persistent cost of routing uncertainty estimation through a label-dependent representation. These results characterize the costs of amortization within the analyzed class and yield architectural recommendations to predict variance from context locations alone in the GP-amortization regime, and replace mean aggregation with second-order pooling to close the dominant amortization gap.
cuRegOT: A GPU-Accelerated Solver for Entropic-Regularized Optimal Transport
Optimal transport (OT) has emerged as a fundamental tool in modern machine learning, yet its computational cost remains a significant bottleneck for large-scale applications. While harnessing the massive parallelism of modern GPU hardware is critical for efficiency, the de facto standard Sinkhorn algorithm, despite its ease of parallelization, often suffers from slow convergence in challenging problems. More recently, the sparse-plus-low-rank quasi-Newton method offers a balance between convergence rate and per-iteration complexity; however, its efficiency on GPUs is severely hindered by the serial nature of sparse matrix symbolic analysis and irregular memory access patterns. To bridge this gap, we present cuRegOT, a high-performance GPU solver tailored for entropic-regularized OT. We introduce a suite of algorithmic and architectural optimizations, including an amortized symbolic analysis strategy to mitigate CPU bottlenecks, an asynchronous Sinkhorn iterates generation mechanism, and a fused kernel for bandwidth-efficient gradient evaluation. These strategies are backed by rigorous theoretical guarantees ensuring algorithmic convergence. Extensive numerical experiments demonstrate that cuRegOT achieves significant speedups over state-of-the-art GPU-based solvers across a variety of benchmark tasks.
Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics
Dahlem, Dominik, Maniloff, Diego, Misiura, Mac
Large language models hallucinate in predictable ways: attention routing fails by over-concentrating on a narrow set of positions, or by spreading so diffusely that relevance is diluted, and the shape of the failure carries diagnostic signal. A widely used family of spectral methods analyzes the symmetric component of the degree-normalized attention operator, which governs transport capacity; we prove that every transpose-invariant spectral diagnostic of this operator is structurally orientation-blind (it cannot distinguish an operator from its transpose, and therefore cannot detect information-flow direction), with a quantitative converse establishing the asymmetry coefficient $G$ as the unique control parameter for direction. Pairing this with a closed-form bipartite-Cheeger landscape for canonical causal architectures, we show that uniform causal attention satisfies an $n$-independent floor $ϕ\ge 1/5$ with worst cut at $t^\ast/n \approx 0.32$, while window attention pierces the floor as $O(w/n)$; failure modes are shape-different, not just value-different. The resulting two-axis diagnostic ($ϕ$ for capacity, $G$ for direction) yields a falsifiable polarity prediction: bottleneck- and diffuse-dominated benchmarks should exhibit opposite polarity. Under length-controlled evaluation, transport features retain interpretable signal (LC-AUROC from 0.62 to 0.84) on tested models up to 8B parameters, with polarity reversing as predicted between HaluEval and MedHallu.
e150e6d0a1e5214740c39c6e4503ba7a-Supplemental-Conference.pdf
Appendix382 AAdditional Experiments3383 A.1 Experiments on the ETT datasets384 In the main body, we present a comparison of the benchmark methods on the ETTm2 dataset. In this385 section, we extend our analysis to the remaining three ETT datasets, namely ETTh1, ETTh2, and386 ETTm1, as summarized in Table 7. Our experimental results reveal that Basisformer outperforms all387 other methods in terms of MSE and MAE. In all experiments, lower MSE values indicate better model performance, and we present the best results in boldface. Experimental results with longer length input setting391 Throughout our research, we maintain consistency in our experimental settings by fixing the input392 length to be 96(with a reduced input length of 36for the illness dataset), instead of using a longer393 length.
Goal-Conditioned Predictive Coding for Offline Reinforcement Learning
Recent work has demonstrated the effectiveness of formulating decision making as supervised learning on offline-collected trajectories. Powerful sequence models, such as GPT or BERT, are often employed to encode the trajectories. However, the benefits of performing sequence modeling on trajectory data remain unclear. In this work, we investigate whether sequence modeling has the ability to condense trajectories into useful representations that enhance policy learning. We adopt a two-stage framework that first leverages sequence models to encode trajectory-level representations, and then learns a goal-conditioned policy employing the encoded representations as its input.