The new study of almost 900 dogs aims to help owners pinpoint breathing issues. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. Despite their popularity, for their seemingly helpless-looking eyes and flat faces, short-skulled (or brachycephalic) dogs like the French bulldog often have serious difficulty breathing. A study published today in the journal found that in 12 breeds, a flat face, collapsing nostrils, and rounded physique puts them at a higher risk for developing common breathing conditions. Pekingese and Japanese chins were noted to be the highest risk.

We present a winning method of the IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting: Post-COVID Paradigm. The day-ahead load forecasting approach is based on online forecast combination of multiple point prediction models. It contains four steps: i) data cleaning and preprocessing, ii) a holiday adjustment procedure, iii) training of individual forecasting models, iv) forecast combination by smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA). The approach is flexible and can quickly adopt to new energy system situations as they occurred during and after COVID-19 shutdowns. The pool of individual prediction models ranges from rather simple time series models to sophisticated models like generalized additive models (GAMs) and high-dimensional linear models estimated by lasso. They incorporate autoregressive, calendar and weather effects efficiently. All steps contain novel concepts that contribute to the excellent forecasting performance of the proposed method. This holds particularly for the holiday adjustment procedure and the fully adaptive smoothed BOA approach.

A key challenge in solving a combinatorial optimization problem is how to guide the agent (i.e., solver) to efficiently explore the enormous search space. Conventional approaches often rely on enumeration (e.g., exhaustive, random, or tabu search) or have to restrict the exploration to rather limited regions (e.g., a single path as in iterative algorithms). In this paper, we show it is possible to use machine learning to speedup the exploration. In particular, a value network is trained to evaluate solution candidates, which provides a useful structure (i.e., an approximate value surface) over the search space; this value network is then used to screen solutions to help a black-box optimization agent to initialize or restart so as to navigate through the search space towards desirable solutions. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed ``Learn to Restart'' algorithm achieves promising results in solving Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problems (CVRPs).

Although basins of attraction (BoA) diagrams are an insightful tool for understanding the behavior of nonlinear systems, generating these diagrams is either computationally expensive with simulation or difficult and cost prohibitive experimentally. This paper introduces a data-efficient sampling method for estimating BoA. The proposed method is based upon hybrid active learning (HAL) and is designed to find and label the "informative" samples, which efficiently determine the boundary of BoA. It consists of three primary parts: 1) additional sampling on trajectories (AST) to maximize the number of samples obtained from each simulation or experiment; 2) an active learning (AL) algorithm to exploit the local boundary of BoA; and 3) a density-based sampling (DBS) method to explore the global boundary of BoA. An example of estimating the BoA for a bistable nonlinear system is presented to show the high efficiency of our HAL sampling method.

The Bayesian Optimisation Algorithm (BOA) is an Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) that uses a Bayesian network as probabilistic graphical model (PGM). Determining the optimal Bayesian network structure given a solution sample is an NP-hard problem. This step should be completed at each iteration of BOA, resulting in a very time-consuming process. For this reason most implementations use greedy estimation algorithms such as K2. However, we show in this paper that significant changes in PGM structure do not occur so frequently, and can be particularly sparse at the end of evolution. A statistical study of BOA is thus presented to characterise a pattern of PGM adjustments that can be used as a guide to reduce the frequency of PGM updates during the evolutionary process. This is accomplished by proposing a new BOA-based optimisation approach (FBOA) whose PGM is not updated at each iteration. This new approach avoids the computational burden usually found in the standard BOA. The results compare the performances of both algorithms on an NK-landscape optimisation problem using the correlation between the ruggedness and the expected runtime over enumerated instances. The experiments show that FBOA presents competitive results while significantly saving computational time.