Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques continue to broaden across governmental and public sectors, such as power and energy - which serve as critical infrastructures for most societal operations. However, due to the requirements of reliability, accountability, and explainability, it is risky to directly apply AI-based methods to power systems because society cannot afford cascading failures and large-scale blackouts, which easily cost billions of dollars. To meet society requirements, this paper proposes a methodology to develop, deploy, and evaluate AI systems in the energy sector by: (1) understanding the power system measurements with physics, (2) designing AI algorithms to forecast the need, (3) developing robust and accountable AI methods, and (4) creating reliable measures to evaluate the performance of the AI model. The goal is to provide a high level of confidence to energy utility users. For illustration purposes, the paper uses power system event forecasting (PEF) as an example, which carefully analyzes synchrophasor patterns measured by the Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs). Such a physical understanding leads to a data-driven framework that reduces the dimensionality with physics and forecasts the event with high credibility. Specifically, for dimensionality reduction, machine learning arranges physical information from different dimensions, resulting inefficient information extraction. For event forecasting, the supervised learning model fuses the results of different models to increase the confidence. Finally, comprehensive experiments demonstrate the high accuracy, efficiency, and reliability as compared to other state-of-the-art machine learning methods.

This paper reviews and proposes concerns in adopting, fielding, and maintaining artificial intelligence (AI) systems. While the AI community has made rapid progress, there are challenges in certifying AI systems. Using procedures from design and operational test and evaluation, there are opportunities towards determining performance bounds to manage expectations of intended use. A notional use case is presented with image data fusion to support AI object recognition certifiability considering precision versus distance.

The paper describes a Multisource AI Scorecard Table (MAST) that provides the developer and user of an artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) system with a standard checklist focused on the principles of good analysis adopted by the intelligence community (IC) to help promote the development of more understandable systems and engender trust in AI outputs. Such a scorecard enables a transparent, consistent, and meaningful understanding of AI tools applied for commercial and government use. A standard is built on compliance and agreement through policy, which requires buy-in from the stakeholders. While consistency for testing might only exist across a standard data set, the community requires discussion on verification and validation approaches which can lead to interpretability, explainability, and proper use. The paper explores how the analytic tradecraft standards outlined in Intelligence Community Directive (ICD) 203 can provide a framework for assessing the performance of an AI system supporting various operational needs. These include sourcing, uncertainty, consistency, accuracy, and visualization. Three use cases are presented as notional examples that support security for comparative analysis.