belomestny
Weighted mesh algorithms for general Markov decision processes: Convergence and tractability
Belomestny, Denis, Schoenmakers, John
We introduce a mesh-type approach for tackling discrete-time, finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) characterized by state and action spaces that are general, encompassing both finite and infinite (yet suitably regular) subsets of Euclidean space. In particular, for bounded state and action spaces, our algorithm achieves a computational complexity that is tractable in the sense of Novak and Wozniakowski, and is polynomial in the time horizon. For unbounded state space the algorithm is "semi-tractable" in the sense that the complexity is proportional to $\epsilon^{-c}$ with some dimension independent $c\geq2$, for achieving an accuracy $\epsilon$, and polynomial in the time horizon with degree linear in the underlying dimension. As such the proposed approach has some flavor of the randomization method by Rust which deals with infinite horizon MDPs and uniform sampling in compact state space. However, the present approach is essentially different due to the finite horizon and a simulation procedure due to general transition distributions, and more general in the sense that it encompasses unbounded state space. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm, we provide illustrations based on Linear-Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) control problems.
Ex$^2$MCMC: Sampling through Exploration Exploitation
Lagutin, Evgeny, Selikhanovych, Daniil, Thin, Achille, Samsonov, Sergey, Naumov, Alexey, Belomestny, Denis, Panov, Maxim, Moulines, Eric
We develop an Explore-Exploit Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm ($\operatorname{Ex^2MCMC}$) that combines multiple global proposals and local moves. The proposed method is massively parallelizable and extremely computationally efficient. We prove $V$-uniform geometric ergodicity of $\operatorname{Ex^2MCMC}$ under realistic conditions and compute explicit bounds on the mixing rate showing the improvement brought by the multiple global moves. We show that $\operatorname{Ex^2MCMC}$ allows fine-tuning of exploitation (local moves) and exploration (global moves) via a novel approach to proposing dependent global moves. Finally, we develop an adaptive scheme, $\operatorname{FlEx^2MCMC}$, that learns the distribution of global moves using normalizing flows. We illustrate the efficiency of $\operatorname{Ex^2MCMC}$ and its adaptive versions on many classical sampling benchmarks. We also show that these algorithms improve the quality of sampling GANs as energy-based models.
Rates of convergence for density estimation with GANs
Belomestny, Denis, Moulines, Eric, Naumov, Alexey, Puchkin, Nikita, Samsonov, Sergey
We undertake a precise study of the non-asymptotic properties of vanilla generative adversarial networks (GANs) and derive theoretical guarantees in the problem of estimating an unknown $d$-dimensional density $p^*$ under a proper choice of the class of generators and discriminators. We prove that the resulting density estimate converges to $p^*$ in terms of Jensen-Shannon (JS) divergence at the rate $(\log n/n)^{2\beta/(2\beta+d)}$ where $n$ is the sample size and $\beta$ determines the smoothness of $p^*.$ This is the first result in the literature on density estimation using vanilla GANs with JS rates faster than $n^{-1/2}$ in the regime $\beta>d/2.$
Reinforced optimal control
Bayer, Christian, Belomestny, Denis, Hager, Paul, Pigato, Paolo, Schoenmakers, John, Spokoiny, Vladimir
Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by linear least squares regression. Hence, the choice of basis functions is crucial for the accuracy of the method. Earlier work by some of us [Belomestny, Schoenmakers, Spokoiny, Zharkynbay. Commun.~Math.~Sci., 18(1):109-121, 2020] proposes to \emph{reinforce} the basis functions in the case of optimal stopping problems by already computed value functions for later times, thereby considerably improving the accuracy with limited additional computational cost. We extend the reinforced regression method to a general class of stochastic control problems, while considerably improving the method's efficiency, as demonstrated by substantial numerical examples as well as theoretical analysis.