autocorrelation
Predicting Functional Brain Connectivity with Context-Aware Deep Neural Networks
Spatial location and molecular interactions have long been linked to the connectivity patterns of neural circuits. Yet, at the macroscale of human brain networks, the interplay between spatial position, gene expression, and connectivity remains incompletely understood. Recent efforts to map the human transcriptome and connectome have yielded spatially resolved brain atlases, however modeling the relationship between high-dimensional transcriptomic data and connectivity while accounting for inherent spatial confounds presents a significant challenge. In this paper, we present the first deep learning approaches for predicting whole-brain functional connectivity from gene expression and regional spatial coordinates, including our proposed Spatiomolecular Transformer (SMT). SMT explicitly models biological context by tokenizing genes based on their transcription start site (TSS) order to capture multi-scale genomic organization, and incorporating regional 3D spatial location via a dedicated context [CLS] token within its multi-head self-attention mechanism. We rigorously benchmark context-aware neural networks, including SMT and a single-gene resolution Multilayer-Perceptron (MLP), to established rules-based and bilinear methods. Crucially, to ensure that learned relationships in any model are not mere artifacts of spatial proximity, we introduce novel spatiomolecular null maps preserving key transcriptomic autocorrelation structure. Context-aware neural networks outperform linear methods, significantly exceed our stringent null map estimates, and generalize across diverse connectomic datasets and parcellation resolutions. Together, these findings demonstrate a strong, predictable link between the spatial distributions of gene expression and functional brain network architecture, and establish a rigorously validated deep learning framework for decoding this relationship.
Amortized Neural Clustering of Time Series based on Statistical Features
Lรณpez-Oriona, รngel, Sun, Ying
This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed framework reduces reliance on conventional clustering methods, such as $K$-means, $K$-medoids, or hierarchical clustering, and their associated objective functions and heuristics. Leveraging statistical features, such as autocorrelations and quantile autocorrelations, the approach learns a data-driven affinity structure from which clustering partitions can be recovered, without requiring explicit prior specification of cluster shapes or structures. In addition, one version of the method can automatically determine the number of clusters, avoiding ad-hoc selection procedures. Comprehensive empirical studies show that the proposed framework achieves competitive or superior clustering accuracy relative to traditional methods, even in challenging scenarios where competing techniques are provided with the true number of clusters. An application to financial time series of stock returns illustrates its practical utility. By reducing the need for algorithm selection and calibration, the proposed framework opens new possibilities for automated, adaptive, and data-driven clustering of temporal data across scientific and industrial domains.
Deep Autocorrelation Modeling for Time-Series Forecasting: Progress and Prospects
Wang, Hao, Pan, Licheng, Wen, Qingsong, Yu, Jialin, Chen, Zhichao, Zheng, Chunyuan, Li, Xiaoxi, Chu, Zhixuan, Xu, Chao, Gong, Mingming, Li, Haoxuan, Lu, Yuan, Lin, Zhouchen, Torr, Philip, Liu, Yan
Autocorrelation is a defining characteristic of time-series data, where each observation is statistically dependent on its predecessors. In the context of deep time-series forecasting, autocorrelation arises in both the input history and the label sequences, presenting two central research challenges: (1) designing neural architectures that model autocorrelation in history sequences, and (2) devising learning objectives that model autocorrelation in label sequences. Recent studies have made strides in tackling these challenges, but a systematic survey examining both aspects remains lacking. To bridge this gap, this paper provides a comprehensive review of deep time-series forecasting from the perspective of autocorrelation modeling. In contrast to existing surveys, this work makes two distinctive contributions. First, it proposes a novel taxonomy that encompasses recent literature on both model architectures and learning objectives -- whereas prior surveys neglect or inadequately discuss the latter aspect. Second, it offers a thorough analysis of the motivations, insights, and progression of the surveyed literature from a unified, autocorrelation-centric perspective, providing a holistic overview of the evolution of deep time-series forecasting. The full list of papers and resources is available at https://github.com/Master-PLC/Awesome-TSF-Papers.
Mental Sampling in Multimodal Representations
Both resources in the natural environment and concepts in a semantic space are distributed patchily, with large gaps in between the patches. To describe people's internal and external foraging behavior, various random walk models have been proposed. In particular, internal foraging has been modeled as sampling: in order to gather relevant information for making a decision, people draw samples from a mental representation using random-walk algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, two common empirical observations argue against people using simple sampling algorithms such as MCMC for internal foraging. First, the distance between samples is often best described by a Levy flight distribution: the probability of the distance between two successive locations follows a power-law on the distances.