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Learning to Emulate Chaos: Adversarial Optimal Transport Regularization

Melo, Gabriel, Santiago, Leonardo, Lu, Peter Y.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial conditions makes exact long-term forecasts theoretically infeasible, meaning that traditional squared-error losses often fail when trained on noisy data. Recent work has focused on training emulators to match the statistical properties of chaotic attractors by introducing regularization based on handcrafted local features and summary statistics, as well as learned statistics extracted from a diverse dataset of trajectories. In this work, we propose a family of adversarial optimal transport objectives that jointly learn high-quality summary statistics and a physically consistent emulator. We theoretically analyze and experimentally validate a Sinkhorn divergence formulation (2-Wasserstein) and a WGAN-style dual formulation (1-Wasserstein). Our experiments across a variety of chaotic systems, including systems with high-dimensional chaotic attractors, show that emulators trained with our approach exhibit significantly improved long-term statistical fidelity.


Generalization at the Edge of Stability

Tuci, Mario, Korkmaz, Caner, Şimşekli, Umut, Birdal, Tolga

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Training modern neural networks often relies on large learning rates, operating at the edge of stability, where the optimization dynamics exhibit oscillatory and chaotic behavior. Empirically, this regime often yields improved generalization performance, yet the underlying mechanism remains poorly understood. In this work, we represent stochastic optimizers as random dynamical systems, which often converge to a fractal attractor set (rather than a point) with a smaller intrinsic dimension. Building on this connection and inspired by Lyapunov dimension theory, we introduce a novel notion of dimension, coined the `sharpness dimension', and prove a generalization bound based on this dimension. Our results show that generalization in the chaotic regime depends on the complete Hessian spectrum and the structure of its partial determinants, highlighting a complexity that cannot be captured by the trace or spectral norm considered in prior work. Experiments across various MLPs and transformers validate our theory while also providing new insights into the recently observed phenomenon of grokking.


Topological Detection of Hopf Bifurcations via Persistent Homology: A Functional Criterion from Time Series

Barrios, Jhonathan, Echávez, Yásser, Álvarez, Carlos F.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a topological framework for the detection of Hopf bifurcations directly from time series, based on persistent homology applied to phase space reconstructions via Takens embedding within the framework of Topological Data Analysis. The central idea is that changes in the dynamical regime are reflected in the emergence or disappearance of a dominant one-dimensional homological features in the reconstructed attractor. To quantify this behavior, we introduce a simple and interpretable scalar topological functional defined as the maximum persistence of homology classes in dimension one. This functional is used to construct a computable criterion for identifying critical parameters in families of dynamical systems without requiring knowledge of the underlying equations. The proposed approach is validated on representative systems of increasing complexity, showing consistent detection of the bifurcation point. The results support the interpretation of dynamical transitions as topological phase transitions and demonstrate the potential of topological data analysis as a model-free tool for the quantitative analysis of nonlinear time series.





d921c3c762b1522c475ac8fc0811bb0f-AuthorFeedback.pdf

Neural Information Processing Systems

We wish to thank all of the reviewers for their time and thorough reading of our paper! We appreciate the reviewer's suggestions regarding clarity. We have added the suggested summary sentence "the key We started with binary sentiment classification, but are actively working on more tasks. RNN hidden states onto the top two PCs for two different input sequences that differ only by two tokens (replacing ' The trajectories start out the same as the initial tokens are identical. We have added a footnote noting this in the main text.




Training neural operators to preserve invariant measures of chaotic attractors

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this setting, neural operators trained to minimize squared error losses, while capable of accurate short-term forecasts, often fail to reproduce statistical or structural properties of the dynamics over longer time horizons and can yield degenerate results.