asymptotic null distribution
Wasserstein F-tests for Fr\'echet regression on Bures-Wasserstein manifolds
This paper considers the problem of regression analysis with random covariance matrix as outcome and Euclidean covariates in the framework of Fr\'echet regression on the Bures-Wasserstein manifold. Such regression problems have many applications in single cell genomics and neuroscience, where we have covariance matrix measured over a large set of samples. Fr\'echet regression on the Bures-Wasserstein manifold is formulated as estimating the conditional Fr\'echet mean given covariates $x$. A non-asymptotic $\sqrt{n}$-rate of convergence (up to $\log n$ factors) is obtained for our estimator $\hat{Q}_n(x)$ uniformly for $\left\|x\right\| \lesssim \sqrt{\log n}$, which is crucial for deriving the asymptotic null distribution and power of our proposed statistical test for the null hypothesis of no association. In addition, a central limit theorem for the point estimate $\hat{Q}_n(x)$ is obtained, giving insights to a test for covariate effects. The null distribution of the test statistic is shown to converge to a weighted sum of independent chi-squares, which implies that the proposed test has the desired significance level asymptotically. Also, the power performance of the test is demonstrated against a sequence of contiguous alternatives. Simulation results show the accuracy of the asymptotic distributions. The proposed methods are applied to a single cell gene expression data set that shows the change of gene co-expression network as people age.
An $\ell^p$-based Kernel Conditional Independence Test
Scetbon, Meyer, Meunier, Laurent, Romano, Yaniv
We propose a new computationally efficient test for conditional independence based on the $L^{p}$ distance between two kernel-based representatives of well suited distributions. By evaluating the difference of these two representatives at a finite set of locations, we derive a finite dimensional approximation of the $L^{p}$ metric, obtain its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of conditional independence and design a simple statistical test from it. The test obtained is consistent and computationally efficient. We conduct a series of experiments showing that the performance of our new tests outperforms state-of-the-art methods both in term of statistical power and type-I error even in the high dimensional setting.
Significance tests of feature relevance for a blackbox learner
Dai, Ben, Shen, Xiaotong, Pan, Wei
An exciting recent development is the uptake of deep learning in many scientific fields, where the objective is seeking novel scientific insights and discoveries. To interpret a learning outcome, researchers perform hypothesis testing for explainable features to advance scientific domain knowledge. In such a situation, testing for a blackbox learner poses a severe challenge because of intractable models, unknown limiting distributions of parameter estimates, and high computational constraints. In this article, we derive two consistent tests for the feature relevance of a blackbox learner. The first one evaluates a loss difference with perturbation on an inference sample, which is independent of an estimation sample used for parameter estimation in model fitting. The second further splits the inference sample into two but does not require data perturbation. Also, we develop their combined versions by aggregating the order statistics of the $p$-values based on repeated sample splitting. To estimate the splitting ratio and the perturbation size, we develop adaptive splitting schemes for suitably controlling the Type \rom{1} error subject to computational constraints. By deflating the \textit{bias-sd-ratio}, we establish asymptotic null distributions of the test statistics and their consistency in terms of statistical power. Our theoretical power analysis and simulations indicate that the one-split test is more powerful than the two-split test, though the latter is easier to apply for large datasets. Moreover, the combined tests are more stable while compensating for a power loss by repeated sample splitting. Numerically, we demonstrate the utility of the proposed tests on two benchmark examples. Accompanying this paper is our Python library {\tt dnn-inference} https://dnn-inference.readthedocs.io/en/latest/ that implements the proposed tests.
Comparing distributions: $\ell_1$ geometry improves kernel two-sample testing
Are two sets of observations drawn from the same distribution? This problem is a two-sample test. Kernel methods lead to many appealing properties. Indeed state-of-the-art approaches use the $L^2$ distance between kernel-based distribution representatives to derive their test statistics. Here, we show that $L^p$ distances (with $p\geq 1$) between these distribution representatives give metrics on the space of distributions that are well-behaved to detect differences between distributions as they metrize the weak convergence. Moreover, for analytic kernels, we show that the $L^1$ geometry gives improved testing power for scalable computational procedures. Specifically, we derive a finite dimensional approximation of the metric given as the $\ell_1$ norm of a vector which captures differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial locations or frequencies (i.e, features). The features can be chosen to maximize the differences of the distributions and give interpretable indications of how they differs. Using an $\ell_1$ norm gives better detection because differences between representatives are dense as we use analytic kernels (non-zero almost everywhere). The tests are consistent, while much faster than state-of-the-art quadratic-time kernel-based tests. Experiments on artificial and real-world problems demonstrate improved power/time tradeoff than the state of the art, based on $\ell_2$ norms, and in some cases, better outright power than even the most expensive quadratic-time tests.
A Higher-Order Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Sadhanala, Veeranjaneyulu, Wang, Yu-Xiang, Ramdas, Aaditya, Tibshirani, Ryan J.
We present an extension of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) two-sample test, which can be more sensitive to differences in the tails. Our test statistic is an integral probability metric (IPM) defined over a higher-order total variation ball, recovering the original KS test as its simplest case. We give an exact representer result for our IPM, which generalizes the fact that the original KS test statistic can be expressed in equivalent variational and CDF forms. For small enough orders ($k \leq 5$), we develop a linear-time algorithm for computing our higher-order KS test statistic; for all others ($k \geq 6$), we give a nearly linear-time approximation. We derive the asymptotic null distribution for our test, and show that our nearly linear-time approximation shares the same asymptotic null. Lastly, we complement our theory with numerical studies.
A Linear-Time Kernel Goodness-of-Fit Test
Jitkrittum, Wittawat, Xu, Wenkai, Szabo, Zoltan, Fukumizu, Kenji, Gretton, Arthur
We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the false negative rate. These features are constructed via Stein's method, meaning that it is not necessary to compute the normalising constant of the model. We analyse the asymptotic Bahadur efficiency of the new test, and prove that under a mean-shift alternative, our test always has greater relative efficiency than a previous linear-time kernel test, regardless of the choice of parameters for that test. In experiments, the performance of our method exceeds that of the earlier linear-time test, and matches or exceeds the power of a quadratic-time kernel test. In high dimensions and where model structure may be exploited, our goodness of fit test performs far better than a quadratic-time two-sample test based on the Maximum Mean Discrepancy, with samples drawn from the model.
Large-Scale Kernel Methods for Independence Testing
Zhang, Qinyi, Filippi, Sarah, Gretton, Arthur, Sejdinovic, Dino
Representations of probability measures in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces provide a flexible framework for fully nonparametric hypothesis tests of independence, which can capture any type of departure from independence, including nonlinear associations and multivariate interactions. However, these approaches come with an at least quadratic computational cost in the number of observations, which can be prohibitive in many applications. Arguably, it is exactly in such large-scale datasets that capturing any type of dependence is of interest, so striking a favourable tradeoff between computational efficiency and test performance for kernel independence tests would have a direct impact on their applicability in practice. In this contribution, we provide an extensive study of the use of large-scale kernel approximations in the context of independence testing, contrasting block-based, Nystrom and random Fourier feature approaches. Through a variety of synthetic data experiments, it is demonstrated that our novel large scale methods give comparable performance with existing methods whilst using significantly less computation time and memory.