askem
U.S. military funds AI tools to speed modeling of viral outbreaks
As SARS-CoV-2 radiated across the planet in 2020, epidemiologists scrambled to predict its spread--and its deadly consequences. Often, they turned to models that not only simulate viral transmission and hospitalization rates, but can also predict the effect of interventions: masks, vaccines, or travel bans. But in addition to being computationally intensive, models in epidemiology and other disciplines can be black boxes: millions of lines of legacy code subject to finicky tunings by operators at research organizations scattered around the world. They don't always provide clear guidance. "The models that are used are often kind of brittle and nonexplainable," says Erica Briscoe, who was a program manager for the Automating Scientific Knowledge Extraction and Modeling (ASKEM) project at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
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