Large-scale high spatial resolution aboveground biomass (AGB) maps play a crucial role in determining forest carbon stocks and how they are changing, which is instrumental in understanding the global carbon cycle, and implementing policy to mitigate climate change. The advent of the new space-borne LiDAR sensor, NASA's GEDI instrument, provides unparalleled possibilities for the accurate and unbiased estimation of forest AGB at high resolution, particularly in dense and tall forests, where Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and passive optical data exhibit saturation. However, GEDI is a sampling instrument, collecting dispersed footprints, and its data must be combined with that from other continuous cover satellites to create high-resolution maps, using local machine learning methods. In this study, we developed local models to estimate forest AGB from GEDI L2A data, as the models used to create GEDI L4 AGB data incorporated minimal field data from China. We then applied LightGBM and random forest regression to generate wall-to-wall AGB maps at 25 m resolution, using extensive GEDI footprints as well as Sentinel-1 data, ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 and Sentinel-2 optical data. Through a 5-fold cross-validation, LightGBM demonstrated a slightly better performance than Random Forest across two contrasting regions. However, in both regions, the computation speed of LightGBM is substantially faster than that of the random forest model, requiring roughly one-third of the time to compute on the same hardware. Through the validation against field data, the 25 m resolution AGB maps generated using the local models developed in this study exhibited higher accuracy compared to the GEDI L4B AGB data. We found in both regions an increase in error as slope increased. The trained models were tested on nearby but different regions and exhibited good performance.

The United States national forest inventory (NFI) serves as the foundation for forest aboveground biomass (AGB) and carbon accounting across the nation. These data enable design-based estimates of forest carbon stocks and stock-changes at state and regional levels, but also serve as inputs to model-based approaches for characterizing forest carbon stocks and stock-changes at finer resolutions. Although NFI tree and plot-level data are often treated as truth in these models, they are in fact estimates based on regional species-group models known collectively as the Component Ratio Method (CRM). In late 2023 the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program introduced a new National Scale Volume and Biomass Estimators (NSVB) system to replace CRM nationwide and offer more precise and accurate representations of forest AGB and carbon. Given the prevalence of model-based AGB studies relying on FIA, there is concern about the transferability of methods from CRM to NSVB models, as well as the comparability of existing CRM AGB products (e.g. maps) to new and forthcoming NSVB AGB products. To begin addressing these concerns we compared previously published CRM AGB maps to new maps produced using identical methods with NSVB AGB reference data. Our results suggest that models relying on passive satellite imagery (e.g. Landsat) provide acceptable estimates of point-in-time NSVB AGB and carbon stocks, but fail to accurately quantify growth in mature closed-canopy forests. We highlight that existing estimates, models, and maps based on FIA reference data are no longer compatible with NSVB, and recommend new methods as well as updated models and maps for accommodating this step-change. Our collective ability to adopt NSVB in our modeling and mapping workflows will help us provide the most accurate spatial forest carbon data possible in order to better inform local management and decision making.

Mapping forest resources and carbon is important for improving forest management and meeting the objectives of storing carbon and preserving the environment. Spaceborne remote sensing approaches have considerable potential to support forest height monitoring by providing repeated observations at high spatial resolution over large areas. This study uses a machine learning approach that was previously developed to produce local maps of forest parameters (basal area, height, diameter, etc.). The aim of this paper is to present the extension of the approach to much larger scales such as the French national coverage. We used the GEDI Lidar mission as reference height data, and the satellite images from Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2 and ALOS-2 PALSA-2 to estimate forest height and produce a map of France for the year 2020. The height map is then derived into volume and aboveground biomass (AGB) using allometric equations. The validation of the height map with local maps from ALS data shows an accuracy close to the state of the art, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.3 m. Validation on inventory plots representative of French forests shows an MAE of 3.7 m for the height. Estimates are slightly better for coniferous than for broadleaved forests. Volume and AGB maps derived from height shows MAEs of 75 tons/ha and 93 m${}^3$/ha respectively. The results aggregated by sylvo-ecoregion and forest types (owner and species) are further improved, with MAEs of 23 tons/ha and 30 m${}^3$/ha. The precision of these maps allows to monitor forests locally, as well as helping to analyze forest resources and carbon on a territorial scale or on specific types of forests by combining the maps with geolocated information (administrative area, species, type of owner, protected areas, environmental conditions, etc.). Height, volume and AGB maps produced in this study are made freely available.

Accurate quantification of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is critical for understanding carbon accounting in the context of climate change. In this study, we presented a novel attention-based deep learning approach for forest AGB estimation, primarily utilizing openly accessible EO data, including: GEDI LiDAR data, C-band Sentinel-1 SAR data, ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 data, and Sentinel-2 multispectral data. The attention UNet (AU) model achieved markedly higher accuracy for biomass estimation compared to the conventional RF algorithm. Specifically, the AU model attained an R2 of 0.66, RMSE of 43.66 Mg ha-1, and bias of 0.14 Mg ha-1, while RF resulted in lower scores of R2 0.62, RMSE 45.87 Mg ha-1, and bias 1.09 Mg ha-1. However, the superiority of the deep learning approach was not uniformly observed across all tested models. ResNet101 only achieved an R2 of 0.50, an RMSE of 52.93 Mg ha-1, and a bias of 0.99 Mg ha-1, while the UNet reported an R2 of 0.65, an RMSE of 44.28 Mg ha-1, and a substantial bias of 1.84 Mg ha-1. Moreover, to explore the performance of AU in the absence of spatial information, fully connected (FC) layers were employed to eliminate spatial information from the remote sensing data. AU-FC achieved intermediate R2 of 0.64, RMSE of 44.92 Mgha-1, and bias of -0.56 Mg ha-1, outperforming RF but underperforming AU model using spatial information. We also generated 10m forest AGB maps across Guangdong for the year 2019 using AU and compared it with that produced by RF. The AGB distributions from both models showed strong agreement with similar mean values; the mean forest AGB estimated by AU was 102.18 Mg ha-1 while that of RF was 104.84 Mg ha-1. Additionally, it was observed that the AGB map generated by AU provided superior spatial information. Overall, this research substantiates the feasibility of employing deep learning for biomass estimation based on satellite data.

Understanding historical forest dynamics, specifically changes in forest biomass and carbon stocks, has become critical for assessing current forest climate benefits and projecting future benefits under various policy, regulatory, and stewardship scenarios. Carbon accounting frameworks based exclusively on national forest inventories are limited to broad-scale estimates, but model-based approaches that combine these inventories with remotely sensed data can yield contiguous fine-resolution maps of forest biomass and carbon stocks across landscapes over time. Here we describe a fundamental step in building a map-based stock-change framework: mapping historical forest biomass at fine temporal and spatial resolution (annual, 30m) across all of New York State (USA) from 1990 to 2019, using freely available data and open-source tools. Using Landsat imagery, US Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data, and off-the-shelf LiDAR collections we developed three modeling approaches for mapping historical forest aboveground biomass (AGB): training on FIA plot-level AGB estimates (direct), training on LiDAR-derived AGB maps (indirect), and an ensemble averaging predictions from the direct and indirect models. Model prediction surfaces (maps) were tested against FIA estimates at multiple scales. All three approaches produced viable outputs, yet tradeoffs were evident in terms of model complexity, map accuracy, saturation, and fine-scale pattern representation. The resulting map products can help identify where, when, and how forest carbon stocks are changing as a result of both anthropogenic and natural drivers alike. These products can thus serve as inputs to a wide range of applications including stock-change assessments, monitoring reporting and verification frameworks, and prioritizing parcels for protection or enrollment in improved management programs.

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's accelerated descent to design a new algorithm, which we call AGB (for Accelerated Gradient Boosting). Substantial numerical evidence is provided on both synthetic and real-life data sets to assess the excellent performance of the method in a large variety of prediction problems. It is empirically shown that AGB is much less sensitive to the shrinkage parameter and outputs predictors that are considerably more sparse in the number of trees, while retaining the exceptional performance of gradient boosting.