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On Causality Inference in Time Series

AAAI Conferences

Causality discovery has been one of the core tasks in scientific research since the beginning of human scientific history. In the age of data tsunami, the causality discovery task involves identification of causality among millions of variables which cannot be done manually by humans. However, the identification of causality relationships using artificial intelligence and statistical techniques in non-experimental settings faces several challenges. In this work, we address three of the challenges regarding Granger causality, one of the most popular causality inference techniques. First, we analyze the consistency of two most popular Granger causality techniques and show that the significance test is not consistent in high dimensions. Second, we review our nonparametric generalization of the Lasso-Granger technique called Generalized Lasso Granger (GLG) to uncover Granger causality relationships among irregularly sampled time series. Finally, we describe two techniques to uncover the casual dependence in non-linear datasets. Extensive experiments are provided to show the significant advantages of the proposed algorithms over their state-of-the-art counterparts.


Japanese Puns Are Not Necessarily Jokes

AAAI Conferences

In English, โ€œpunsโ€ are usually perceived as a subclass of โ€œjokesโ€. In Japanese, however, this is not necessarily true. In this paper we investigate whether Japanese native speakers perceive dajare (puns) as jooku (jokes). We first summarize existing research in the field of computational humor, both in English and Japanese, focusing on the usage of these two terms. This shows that in works of Japanese native speakers, puns are not commonly treated as jokes. Next we present some dictionary definitions of dajare and jooku, which show that they may actually be used in a similar manner to English. In order to study this issue, we conducted a survey, in which we asked Japanese participants three questions: whether they like jokes (jooku), whether they like puns (dajare) and whether dajare are jooku. The results showed that there is no common agreement regarding dajare being a genre of jokes. We analyze the outcome of this experiment and discuss them from different points of view.


Estimating Diversity among Forecaster Models

AAAI Conferences

There is strong theoretical evidence that aggregation of human judgments should not simply average multiple forecasts together (the unweighted linear opinion pool, or ULinOP), but weight them in such a way as to insure representation of a maximally diverse set of models among the experts from whom they are elicited. Explicitly eliciting these models places a major burden on the experts. We report on a variety of approaches to estimating these models, or at least the diversity among them, with minimal explicit input from the experts.


A Little Metatheory: Thought on What aTheory of Computational Humor Should Look Like

AAAI Conferences

This exercise in metatheory presents what any theory consists of and what properties it should have. It, then, adjust the general recipe to a theory of humor and computational humor. In this light, it reviews the state of the art in computational humor and suggests the main lines of development.


Smart Home, The Next Generation: Closing the Gap between Users and Technology

AAAI Conferences

In this paper we discuss the gap that exists between the caregivers of older adults attempting to age-in-place and sophisticated โ€smart-homeโ€ systems that can sense the environment and provide assistance when needed. We argue that smart-home systems need to be customizable by end-users, and we present a general-purpose model for cognitive assistive technology that can be adapted to suit many different tasks, users and environments. Al- though we can provide mechanisms for engineers and designers to build and adapt smart-home systems based on this general-purpose model, these mechanisms are not easily understood by or sufficiently user-friendly for actual end users such as older adults and their care- givers. Our goal is therefore to study how to bridge the gap between the end-users and this technology. In this paper, we discuss our work on this problem from both sides: developing technology that is customizable and general-purpose, and studying userโ€™s abilities and needs when it comes to building smart-home systems to help with activities of daily living. We show how a large gap still exists, and propose ideas for how to bridge the gap.


The Evolution of Heterogeneous Naming Conventions

AAAI Conferences

In the real world we observe a proliferation of regional dialects and jargons. Most of the research on naming conventions focuses on how to explain the process that allows a single naming convention to establish itself. This paper presents a different approach that aims to investigate why different conventions may emerge and coexist for a certain amount of time. The naming game is an abstraction of lexical acquisition dynamics, in which n agents try to find an agreement on the names to give to objects. To understand how different heterogeneous conventions emerge, I discuss a naming game model that takes into account experimental data on human and animal learning.


Preliminary Meta-Analyses of Experimental Design with Examples from HIV Vaccine Protection Studies

AAAI Conferences

Knowledge engineering from experimental design (KEfED) is a novel approach based on the dependency relationships that occur between the variables of a scientific study. We used this approach to curate the experimental designs of ten scientific papers from a well-established database of HIV vaccine trials in non-human primates. The KEfED models provide a characteristic, data-oriented signature for each measurement made in the study. We present preliminary analysis of these manually-curated, detailed representations using our own open-source curation tools and show the multi-variate statistical analyses on the resultant models of experimental design. The analyses produced a visualization of the similarities between studies and an account of the dependency relationships across studies. We describe our approach in the context of a knowledge engineering strategy based on creating large-scale domain-independent repositories of experimental observatio


Novel Interaction Strategies for Learning from Teleoperation

AAAI Conferences

The field of robot Learning from Demonstration (LfD) makes use of several input modalities for demonstrations (teleoperation, kinesthetic teaching, marker- and vision-based motion tracking). In this paper we present two experiments aimed at identifying and overcoming challenges associated with using teleoperation as an input modality for LfD. Our first experiment compares kinesthetic teaching and teleoperation and highlights some inherent problems associated with teleoperation; specifically uncomfortable user interactions and inaccurate robot demonstrations. Our second experiment is focused on overcoming these problems and designing the teleoperation interaction to be more suitable for LfD. In previous work we have proposed a novel demonstration strategy using the concept of keyframes, where demonstrations are in the form of a discrete set of robot configurations. Keyframes can be naturally combined with continuous trajectory demonstrations to generate a hybrid strategy. We perform user studies to evaluate each of these demonstration strategies individually and show that keyframes are intuitive to the users and are particularly useful in providing noise-free demonstrations. We find that users prefer the hybrid strategy best for demonstrating tasks to a robot by teleoperation.


Subgraph Matching-Based Literature Mining for Biomedical Relations and Events

AAAI Conferences

Extracting important relations between biological components and semantic events involving genes or proteins from literature has become a focus for the biomedical text mining community. In this paper, we review a subgraph matching-based approach proposed in our previous work for mining relations and events in the biomedical literature. Our subgraph matching algorithm is formally presented, along with a detailed analysis of its complexity. We present three different relation/event extraction tasks in which our approach has been successfully applied. Our approach is of considerable value in extracting highly precise, binary relations when appropriate training data is available.


Organizing Committee and Preface

AAAI Conferences

Thee symposium focused on combining human and machine inference. For unique events and data-poor problem, there is no substitute for human judgment. Even for data-rich problems, human input is needed to account for contextual factors. However, human are notorious for underestimating the uncertainty in their forecasts and even the most expert judgments exhibit well-known cognitive biases. The challenge is therefore to aggregate expert judgment such that it compensates for the human deficiencies. We hope that bringing researchers in this venue will provide meaningful discussions and further inspire interesting research in this direction.