Global Cognition
The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting
Warnaar, Dirk B. (Applied Research Associates) | Merkle, Edgar C. (University of Missouri) | Steyvers, Mark (University of California, Irvine) | Wallsten, Thomas S. (University of Maryland) | Stone, Eric R. (Wake Forest University) | Budescu, David V. (Fordham University) | Yates, J. Frank (University of Michigan) | Sieck, Winston R. (Global Cognition) | Arkes, Hal R. (The Ohio State University) | Argenta, Chris F. (Applied Research Associates) | Shin, Youngwon (Applied Research Associates) | Carter, Jennifer N. (Applied Research Associates)
For any given forecasting problem, contributors The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System (ACES; receive information about the crowd's beliefs immediately see http://www.forecastingace.com) is a project funded by after providing their own forecast.