Building energy modeling plays a vital role in optimizing the operation of building energy systems by providing accurate predictions of the building's real-world conditions. In this context, various techniques have been explored, ranging from traditional physics-based models to data-driven models. Recently, researchers are combining physics-based and data-driven models into hybrid approaches. This includes using the physics-based model output as additional data-driven input, learning the residual between physics-based model and real data, learning a surrogate of the physics-based model, or fine-tuning a surrogate model with real data. However, a comprehensive comparison of the inherent advantages of these hybrid approaches is still missing. The primary objective of this work is to evaluate four predominant hybrid approaches in building energy modeling through a real-world case study, with focus on indoor temperature dynamics. To achieve this, we devise three scenarios reflecting common levels of building documentation and sensor availability, assess their performance, and analyse their explainability using hierarchical Shapley values. The real-world study reveals three notable findings. First, greater building documentation and sensor availability lead to higher prediction accuracy for hybrid approaches. Second, the performance of hybrid approaches depend on the type of building room, but the residual approach using a Feedforward Neural Network as data-driven sub-model performs best on average across all rooms. This hybrid approach also demonstrates a superior ability to leverage the physics-based simulation from the physics-based sub-model. Third, hierarchical Shapley values prove to be an effective tool for explaining and improving hybrid models while accounting for input correlations.

Load forecasting is of great significance in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences between load forecasting and traditional time series forecasting. On the one hand, load forecasting aims to minimize the cost of subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, rather than simply pursuing prediction accuracy. On the other hand, the load is largely influenced by many external factors, such as temperature or calendar variables. In addition, the scale of predictions (such as building-level loads and aggregated-level loads) can also significantly impact the predicted results. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive load forecasting archive, which includes load domain-specific feature engineering to help forecasting models better model load data. In addition, different from the traditional loss function which only aims for accuracy, we also provide a method to customize the loss function based on the forecasting error, integrating it into our forecasting framework. Based on this, we conducted extensive experiments on load data at different levels, providing a reference for researchers to compare different load forecasting models.