Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment products. The proposed algorithm constructs a portfolio that contains a pair of negatively correlated assets. A deep neural network, which outputs the allocation weight of each asset at a time interval, is trained to maximize the Sharpe ratio. A novel loss term is proposed to regulate the network's bias towards a specific asset, thus enforcing the network to learn an allocation strategy that is close to a minimum variance strategy. Extensive experiments were conducted using data collected from Binance spanning 19 months to evaluate the effectiveness of our approach. The backtest results show that the proposed algorithm can produce neural networks that are able to make profits in different market situations.

Abstract--Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty estimation in neural networks which, instead of considering a distribution over weights, samples outputs of each layer from a corresponding Gaussian distribution, parametrized by the predictions of mean and variance sub-layers. In uncertainty quality estimation experiments, we show that the proposed method achieves better uncertainty quality than other singlebin Bayesian Model Averaging methods, such as Monte Carlo Dropout or Bayes By Backpropagation methods. BNNs consider a distribution do so, one needs the neural network to accompany its output P (w) over weights and sample different weights during each with a measurement of its corresponding uncertainty for each inference. VNNs consider a constant set of weights and use input it processes.

Forecasting based on financial time-series is a challenging task since most real-world data exhibits nonstationary property and nonlinear dependencies. In addition, different data modalities often embed different nonlinear relationships which are difficult to capture by human-designed models. To tackle the supervised learning task in financial time-series prediction, we propose the application of a recently formulated algorithm that adaptively learns a mapping function, realized by a heterogeneous neural architecture composing of Generalized Operational Perceptron, given a set of labeled data. With a modified objective function, the proposed algorithm can accommodate the frequently observed imbalanced data distribution problem. Experiments on a large-scale Limit Order Book dataset demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms related algorithms, including tensor-based methods which have access to a broader set of input information.

The excellent performance of deep neural networks has enabled us to solve several automatization problems, opening an era of autonomous devices. However, current deep net architectures are heavy with millions of parameters and require billions of floating point operations. Several works have been developed to compress a pre-trained deep network to reduce memory footprint and, possibly, computation. Instead of compressing a pre-trained network, in this work, we propose a generic neural network layer structure employing multilinear projection as the primary feature extractor. The proposed architecture requires several times less memory as compared to the traditional Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), while inherits the similar design principles of a CNN. In addition, the proposed architecture is equipped with two computation schemes that enable computation reduction or scalability. Experimental results show the effectiveness of our compact projection that outperforms traditional CNN, while requiring far fewer parameters.