This work investigates how explicit human feedback can enhance CB performance. Building on successful integrations In recent years, preference-based human feedback of human guidance in reinforcement learning (Christiano mechanisms have become essential for enhancing et al., 2017; MacGlashan et al., 2017) and conversational model performance across diverse applications, AI (Achiam et al., 2023), we distinguish two primary feedback including conversational AI systems such as Chat-paradigms: (1) action-based feedback, where experts GPT. However, existing approaches often neglect directly prescribe optimal actions for specific contexts (Osa critical aspects, such as model uncertainty and et al., 2018; Li et al., 2023), and (2) preference-based feedback, the variability in feedback quality. To address where humans compare pairs of learner-generated actions these challenges, we introduce an entropy-based to express relative preferences (Christiano et al., 2017; human feedback framework for contextual bandits, Saha et al., 2023). While action-based methods require precise which dynamically balances exploration and expert knowledge, we focus on preference feedback for exploitation by soliciting expert feedback only its practical advantages in scalable data collection, notably when model entropy exceeds a predefined threshold.

Target-directed agents utilize self-generated targets, to guide their behaviors for better generalization. These agents are prone to blindly chasing problematic targets, resulting in worse generalization and safety catastrophes. We show that these behaviors can be results of delusions, stemming from improper designs around training: the agent may naturally come to hold false beliefs about certain targets. We identify delusions via intuitive examples in controlled environments, and investigate their causes and mitigations. With the insights, we demonstrate how we can make agents address delusions preemptively and autonomously. We validate empirically the effectiveness of the proposed strategies in correcting delusional behaviors and improving out-of-distribution generalization.

Time series~(TS) modeling is essential in dynamic systems like weather prediction and anomaly detection. Recent studies utilize Large Language Models (LLMs) for TS modeling, leveraging their powerful pattern recognition capabilities. These methods primarily position LLMs as the predictive backbone, often omitting the mathematical modeling within traditional TS models, such as periodicity. However, disregarding the potential of LLMs also overlooks their pattern recognition capabilities. To address this gap, we introduce \textit{LLM-TS Integrator}, a novel framework that effectively integrates the capabilities of LLMs into traditional TS modeling. Central to this integration is our \textit{mutual information} module. The core of this \textit{mutual information} module is a traditional TS model enhanced with LLM-derived insights for improved predictive abilities. This enhancement is achieved by maximizing the mutual information between traditional model's TS representations and LLM's textual representation counterparts, bridging the two modalities. Moreover, we recognize that samples vary in importance for two losses: traditional prediction and mutual information maximization. To address this variability, we introduce the \textit{sample reweighting} module to improve information utilization. This module assigns dual weights to each sample: one for prediction loss and another for mutual information loss, dynamically optimizing these weights via bi-level optimization. Our method achieves state-of-the-art or comparable performance across five mainstream TS tasks, including short-term and long-term forecasting, imputation, classification, and anomaly detection.

This paper introduces the Orthogonal Polynomials Quadrature Algorithm for Survival Analysis (OPSurv), a new method providing time-continuous functional outputs for both single and competing risks scenarios in survival analysis. OPSurv utilizes the initial zero condition of the Cumulative Incidence function and a unique decomposition of probability densities using orthogonal polynomials, allowing it to learn functional approximation coefficients for each risk event and construct Cumulative Incidence Function estimates via Gauss--Legendre quadrature. This approach effectively counters overfitting, particularly in competing risks scenarios, enhancing model expressiveness and control. The paper further details empirical validations and theoretical justifications of OPSurv, highlighting its robust performance as an advancement in survival analysis with competing risks.

Machine-based prediction of real-world events is garnering attention due to its potential for informed decision-making. Whereas traditional forecasting predominantly hinges on structured data like time-series, recent breakthroughs in language models enable predictions using unstructured text. In particular, (Zou et al., 2022) unveils AutoCast, a new benchmark that employs news articles for answering forecasting queries. Nevertheless, existing methods still trail behind human performance. The cornerstone of accurate forecasting, we argue, lies in identifying a concise, yet rich subset of news snippets from a vast corpus. With this motivation, we introduce AutoCast++, a zero-shot ranking-based context retrieval system, tailored to sift through expansive news document collections for event forecasting. Our approach first re-ranks articles based on zero-shot question-passage relevance, honing in on semantically pertinent news. Following this, the chosen articles are subjected to zero-shot summarization to attain succinct context. Leveraging a pre-trained language model, we conduct both the relevance evaluation and article summarization without needing domain-specific training. Notably, recent articles can sometimes be at odds with preceding ones due to new facts or unanticipated incidents, leading to fluctuating temporal dynamics. To tackle this, our re-ranking mechanism gives preference to more recent articles, and we further regularize the multi-passage representation learning to align with human forecaster responses made on different dates. Empirical results underscore marked improvements across multiple metrics, improving the performance for multiple-choice questions (MCQ) by 48% and true/false (TF) questions by up to 8%.

In recent years, the introduction of self-supervised contrastive learning (SSCL) has demonstrated remarkable improvements in representation learning across various domains, including natural language processing and computer vision. By leveraging the inherent benefits of self-supervision, SSCL enables the pre-training of representation models using vast amounts of unlabeled data. Despite these advances, there remains a significant gap in understanding the impact of different SSCL strategies on time series forecasting performance, as well as the specific benefits that SSCL can bring. This paper aims to address these gaps by conducting a comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of various training variables, including different SSCL algorithms, learning strategies, model architectures, and their interplay. Additionally, to gain deeper insights into the improvements brought about by SSCL in the context of time-series forecasting, a qualitative analysis of the empirical receptive field is performed. Through our experiments, we demonstrate that the end-to-end training of a Transformer model using the Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss and SSCL emerges as the most effective approach in time series forecasting. Notably, the incorporation of the contrastive objective enables the model to prioritize more pertinent information for forecasting, such as scale and periodic relationships. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the benefits of SSCL in time series forecasting and provide valuable insights for future research in this area. Our codes are available at https://github.com/chiyuzhang94/contrastive_learning_time-series_e2e.

Attention-based sequential recommendation methods have demonstrated promising results by accurately capturing users' dynamic interests from historical interactions. In addition to generating superior user representations, recent studies have begun integrating reinforcement learning (RL) into these models. Framing sequential recommendation as an RL problem with reward signals, unlocks developing recommender systems (RS) that consider a vital aspect-incorporating direct user feedback in the form of rewards to deliver a more personalized experience. Nonetheless, employing RL algorithms presents challenges, including off-policy training, expansive combinatorial action spaces, and the scarcity of datasets with sufficient reward signals. Contemporary approaches have attempted to combine RL and sequential modeling, incorporating contrastive-based objectives and negative sampling strategies for training the RL component. In this study, we further emphasize the efficacy of contrastive-based objectives paired with augmentation to address datasets with extended horizons. Additionally, we recognize the potential instability issues that may arise during the application of negative sampling. These challenges primarily stem from the data imbalance prevalent in real-world datasets, which is a common issue in offline RL contexts. While our established baselines attempt to mitigate this through various techniques, instability remains an issue. Therefore, we introduce an enhanced methodology aimed at providing a more effective solution to these challenges.

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time series forecasting models (FEDformer, Autoformer, etc.). By iteratively refining a forecasted time series at multiple scales with shared weights, introducing architecture adaptations, and a specially-designed normalization scheme, we are able to achieve significant performance improvements, from 5.5% to 38.5% across datasets and transformer architectures, with minimal additional computational overhead. Via detailed ablation studies, we demonstrate the effectiveness of each of our contributions across the architecture and methodology. Furthermore, our experiments on various public datasets demonstrate that the proposed improvements outperform their corresponding baseline counterparts. The essential Figure 1: Intermediate forecasts by our model cross-scale feature relationships are often learnt implicitly, at different time scales. Iterative refinement and are not encouraged by architectural priors of a time series forecast is a strong structural of any kind beyond the stacked attention blocks that prior that benefits time series forecasting. Autoformer (Xu et al., 2021) and Fedformer (Zhou et al., 2022b) introduced some emphasis on scale-awareness by enforcing different computational paths for the trend and seasonal components of the input time series; however, this structural prior only focused on two scales: low-and high-frequency components. Given their importance to forecasting, can we make transformers more scale-aware? We enable this scale-awareness with Scaleformer. In our proposed approach, showcased in Figure 1, time series forecasts are iteratively refined at successive time-steps, allowing the model to better capture the inter-dependencies and specificities of each scale. However, scale itself is not sufficient.

Recent neuroimaging studies that focus on predicting brain disorders via modern machine learning approaches commonly include a single modality and rely on supervised over-parameterized models.However, a single modality provides only a limited view of the highly complex brain. Critically, supervised models in clinical settings lack accurate diagnostic labels for training. Coarse labels do not capture the long-tailed spectrum of brain disorder phenotypes, which leads to a loss of generalizability of the model that makes them less useful in diagnostic settings. This work presents a novel multi-scale coordinated framework for learning multiple representations from multimodal neuroimaging data. We propose a general taxonomy of informative inductive biases to capture unique and joint information in multimodal self-supervised fusion. The taxonomy forms a family of decoder-free models with reduced computational complexity and a propensity to capture multi-scale relationships between local and global representations of the multimodal inputs. We conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the taxonomy using functional and structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data across a spectrum of Alzheimer's disease phenotypes and show that self-supervised models reveal disorder-relevant brain regions and multimodal links without access to the labels during pre-training. The proposed multimodal self-supervised learning yields representations with improved classification performance for both modalities. The concomitant rich and flexible unsupervised deep learning framework captures complex multimodal relationships and provides predictive performance that meets or exceeds that of a more narrow supervised classification analysis. We present elaborate quantitative evidence of how this framework can significantly advance our search for missing links in complex brain disorders.

In hospitals, data are siloed to specific information systems that make the same information available under different modalities such as the different medical imaging exams the patient undergoes (CT scans, MRI, PET, Ultrasound, etc.) and their associated radiology reports. This offers unique opportunities to obtain and use at train-time those multiple views of the same information that might not always be available at test-time. In this paper, we propose an innovative framework that makes the most of available data by learning good representations of a multi-modal input that are resilient to modality dropping at test-time, using recent advances in mutual information maximization. By maximizing cross-modal information at train time, we are able to outperform several state-of-the-art baselines in two different settings, medical image classification, and segmentation. In particular, our method is shown to have a strong impact on the inference-time performance of weaker modalities.