Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation, at the heart of counterfactual reasoning, is a crucial challenge for causal modeling both theoretically and applicatively, in domains such as healthcare, sociology, or advertising. Borrowing domain adaptation principles, a popular design maps the sample representation to a latent space that balances control and treated populations while enabling the prediction of the potential outcomes. This paper presents a new CATE estimation approach based on the asymmetrical search for two latent spaces called Asymmetrical Latent Representation for Individual Treatment Effect (ALRITE), where the two latent spaces are respectively intended to optimize the counterfactual prediction accuracy on the control and the treated samples. Under moderate assumptions, ALRITE admits an upper bound on the precision of the estimation of heterogeneous effects (PEHE), and the approach is empirically successfully validated compared to the state-of-the-art

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental yet highly complex problem when the number of variables is large. In this paper, we start from linear structural equation models (SEMs) and investigate ways of learning causal structures from the inverse covariance matrix. The proposed method, called $\mathcal{O}$-ICID (for {\it Independence-preserving} Decomposition from Oracle Inverse Covariance matrix), is based on continuous optimization of a type of matrix decomposition that preserves the nonzero patterns of the inverse covariance matrix. We show that $\mathcal{O}$-ICID provides an efficient way for identifying the true directed acyclic graph (DAG) under the knowledge of noise variances. With weaker prior information, the proposed method gives directed graph solutions that are useful for making more refined causal discovery. The proposed method enjoys a low complexity when the true DAG has bounded node degrees, as reflected by its time efficiency in experiments in comparison with state-of-the-art algorithms.

Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is long known a critical challenge at the core of probabilistic and causal modeling. The NoTears approach of (Zheng et al., 2018), through a differentiable function involving the matrix exponential trace $\mathrm{tr}(\exp(\cdot))$, opens up a way to learning DAGs via continuous optimization, though with a $O(d^3)$ complexity in the number $d$ of nodes. This paper presents a low-complexity model, called LoRAM for Low-Rank Additive Model, which combines low-rank matrix factorization with a sparsification mechanism for the continuous optimization of DAGs. The main contribution of the approach lies in an efficient gradient approximation method leveraging the low-rank property of the model, and its straightforward application to the computation of projections from graph matrices onto the DAG matrix space. The proposed method achieves a reduction from a cubic complexity to quadratic complexity while handling the same DAG characteristic function as NoTears, and scales easily up to thousands of nodes for the projection problem. The experiments show that the LoRAM achieves efficiency gains of orders of magnitude compared to the state-of-the-art at the expense of a very moderate accuracy loss in the considered range of sparse matrices, and with a low sensitivity to the rank choice of the model's low-rank component.

Recent advances in deep learning from probability distributions successfully achieve classification or regression from distribution samples, thus invariant under permutation of the samples. The first contribution of the paper is to extend these neural architectures to achieve invariance under permutation of the features, too. The proposed architecture, called Dida, inherits the NN properties of universal approximation, and its robustness w.r.t. Lipschitz-bounded transformations of the input distribution is established. The second contribution is to empirically and comparatively demonstrate the merits of the approach on two tasks defined at the dataset level. On both tasks, Dida learns meta-features supporting the characterization of a (labelled) dataset. The first task consists of predicting whether two dataset patches are extracted from the same initial dataset. The second task consists of predicting whether the learning performance achieved by a hyper-parameter configuration under a fixed algorithm (ranging in k-NN, SVM, logistic regression and linear classifier with SGD) dominates that of another configuration, for a dataset extracted from the OpenML benchmarking suite. On both tasks, Dida outperforms the state of the art: DSS (Maron et al., 2020) and Dataset2Vec (Jomaa et al., 2019) architectures, as well as the models based on the hand-crafted meta-features of the literature.

The AutoML task consists of selecting the proper algorithm in a machine learning portfolio, and its hyperparameter values, in order to deliver the best performance on the dataset at hand. Mosaic, a Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) based approach, is presented to handle the AutoML hybrid structural and parametric expensive black-box optimization problem. Extensive empirical studies are conducted to independently assess and compare: i) the optimization processes based on Bayesian optimization or MCTS; ii) its warm-start initialization; iii) the ensembling of the solutions gathered along the search. Mosaic is assessed on the OpenML 100 benchmark and the Scikit-learn portfolio, with statistically significant gains over Auto-Sklearn, winner of former international AutoML challenges.

Generative Adversarial Networks (Goodfellow et al., 2014), a major breakthrough in the field of generative modeling, learn a discriminator to estimate some distance between the target and the candidate distributions. This paper examines mathematical issues regarding the way the gradients for the generative model are computed in this context, and notably how to take into account how the discriminator itself depends on the generator parameters. A unifying methodology is presented to define mathematically sound training objectives for generative models taking this dependency into account in a robust way, covering both GAN, VAE and some GAN variants as particular cases.

We present the Structural Agnostic Model (SAM), a framework to estimate end-to-end non-acyclic causal graphs from observational data. In a nutshell, SAM implements an adversarial game in which a separate model generates each variable, given real values from all others. In tandem, a discriminator attempts to distinguish between the joint distributions of real and generated samples. Finally, a sparsity penalty forces each generator to consider only a small subset of the variables, yielding a sparse causal graph. SAM scales easily to hundreds variables. Our experiments show the state-of-the-art performance of SAM on discovering causal structures and modeling interventions, in both acyclic and non-acyclic graphs.

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a differentiable generative model of the data by using backpropagation. Extensive experiments show their good performances comparatively to the state of the art in observational causal discovery on both simulated and real data, with respect to cause-effect inference, v-structure identification, and multivariate causal discovery.

We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data. The approach, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN), leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the observed variables, by minimizing the Maximum Mean Discrepancy between generated and observed data. An approximate learning criterion is proposed to scale the computational cost of the approach to linear complexity in the number of observations. The performance of CGNN is studied throughout three experiments. First, we apply CGNN to the problem of cause-effect inference, where two CGNNs model $P(Y|X,\textrm{noise})$ and $P(X|Y,\textrm{noise})$ identify the best causal hypothesis out of $X\rightarrow Y$ and $Y\rightarrow X$. Second, CGNN is applied to the problem of identifying v-structures and conditional independences. Third, we apply CGNN to problem of multivariate functional causal modeling: given a skeleton describing the dependences in a set of random variables $\{X_1, \ldots, X_d\}$, CGNN orients the edges in the skeleton to uncover the directed acyclic causal graph describing the causal structure of the random variables. On all three tasks, CGNN is extensively assessed on both artificial and real-world data, comparing favorably to the state-of-the-art. Finally, we extend CGNN to handle the case of confounders, where latent variables are involved in the overall causal model.

When applied to training deep neural networks, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) often incurs steady progression phases, interrupted by catastrophic episodes in which loss and gradient norm explode. A possible mitigation of such events is to slow down the learning process. This paper presents a novel approach to control the SGD learning rate, that uses two statistical tests. The first one, aimed at fast learning, compares the momentum of the normalized gradient vectors to that of random unit vectors and accordingly gracefully increases or decreases the learning rate. The second one is a change point detection test, aimed at the detection of catastrophic learning episodes; upon its triggering the learning rate is instantly halved. Both abilities of speeding up and slowing down the learning rate allows the proposed approach, called SALeRA, to learn as fast as possible but not faster. Experiments on standard benchmarks show that SALeRA performs well in practice, and compares favorably to the state of the art.