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Collaborating Authors

 Mustafaraj, Eni


Task-specific Language Modeling for Selecting Peer-written Explanations

AAAI Conferences

Students who are learning to program, often write "buggy" code, especially when they are solving problems on paper. Such bugs can be used as a pedagogical device to engage students in reading and debugging tasks. One can take this a step further and require students to explain in writing how the bugs affect the code. Such written explanations can indicate students' current level of computational thinking, and concurrently be used in intelligent systems that leverage "learnersourcing", the process of generating course material for other learners. In this paper, we discuss how to combine learning analytics techniques and artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to help an intelligent system distinguish between strong and weak textual explanations.


Limits of Electoral Predictions Using Twitter

AAAI Conferences

Using social media for political discourse is becoming common practice, especially around election time. One interesting aspect of this trend is the possibility of pulsing the public’s opinion about the elections, and that has attracted the interest of many researchers and the press. Allegedly, predicting electoral outcomes from social media data can be feasible and even simple. Positive results have been reported, but without an analysis on what principle enables them. Our work puts to test the purported predictive power of socialmedia metrics against the 2010 US congressional elections. Here, we applied techniques that had reportedly led to positive election predictions in the past, on the Twitter data collected from the 2010 US congressional elections. Unfortunately, we find no correlation between the analysis results and the electoral outcomes, contradicting previous reports. Observing that 80 years of polling research would support our findings, we argue that one should not be accepting predictions about events using social media data as a black box. Instead, scholarly research should be accompanied by a model explaining the predictive power of social media, when there is one.