Utilizing administrative data to predict outcomes is an important application area of machine learning, particularly in healthcare. Most administrative data records are timestamped and the pattern of records over time is a key input for machine learning models. This paper explores how best to divide the observation window of a machine learning model into time segments or "bins". A computationally efficient process is presented that identifies which data features benefit most from smaller, higher resolution time segments. Results generated on healthcare and housing/homelessness administrative data demonstrate that optimizing the time bin size of these high priority features while using a single time bin for the other features achieves machine learning models that are simpler and quicker to train. This approach also achieves similar and sometimes better performance than more complex models that default to representing all data features with the same time resolution.

This paper uses rule search techniques for the early identification of emergency homeless shelter clients who are at risk of becoming long term or chronic shelter users. Using a data set from a major North American shelter containing 12 years of service interactions with over 40,000 individuals, the optimized pruning for unordered search (OPUS) algorithm is used to develop rules that are both intuitive and effective. The rules are evaluated within a framework compatible with the real-time delivery of a housing program meant to transition high risk clients to supportive housing. Results demonstrate that the median time to identification of clients at risk of chronic shelter use drops from 297 days to 162 days when the methods in this paper are applied.