As large-scale AI models expand, training becomes costlier and sustaining progress grows harder. Classical scaling laws (e.g., Kaplan et al. (2020), Hoffmann et al. (2022)) predict training loss from a static compute budget yet neglect time and efficiency, prompting the question: how can we balance ballooning GPU fleets with rapidly improving hardware and algorithms? We introduce the relative-loss equation, a time- and efficiency-aware framework that extends classical AI scaling laws. Our model shows that, without ongoing efficiency gains, advanced performance could demand millennia of training or unrealistically large GPU fleets. However, near-exponential progress remains achievable if the "efficiency-doubling rate" parallels Moore's Law. By formalizing this race to efficiency, we offer a quantitative roadmap for balancing front-loaded GPU investments with incremental improvements across the AI stack. Empirical trends suggest that sustained efficiency gains can push AI scaling well into the coming decade, providing a new perspective on the diminishing returns inherent in classical scaling.

A fundamental open problem in computer vision-determining pose and correspondence between two sets of points in spaceis solvedwith a novel, robust and easily implementable algorithm. The technique works on noisy point sets that may be of unequal sizes and may differ by nonrigid transformations. A 2D variation calculatesthe pose between point sets related by an affine transformation-translation, rotation, scale and shear. A 3D to 3D variation calculates translation and rotation. An objective describing theproblem is derived from Mean field theory. The objective is minimized with clocked (EMlike) dynamics. Experiments with both handwritten and synthetic data provide empirical evidence for the method. 1 Introduction

A fundamental open problem in computer vision-determining pose and correspondence between two sets of points in spaceis solved with a novel, robust and easily implementable algorithm. The technique works on noisy point sets that may be of unequal sizes and may differ by nonrigid transformations. A 2D variation calculates the pose between point sets related by an affine transformation-translation, rotation, scale and shear. A 3D to 3D variation calculates translation and rotation. An objective describing the problem is derived from Mean field theory. The objective is minimized with clocked (EMlike) dynamics. Experiments with both handwritten and synthetic data provide empirical evidence for the method. 1 Introduction

Two tightly coupled subproblems need to be solved for locating and recognizing the model: the correspondence problem (how are scene features put into correspondence with model features?),

Chien-Ping Lu and Eric Mjolsness Department of Computer Science Yale University New Haven, CT 06520-8285 Abstract We present a Mean Field Theory method for locating twodimensional objectsthat have undergone rigid transformations. The resulting algorithm is a form of coarse-to-fine correlation matching. We first consider problems of matching synthetic point data, and derive a point matching objective function. A tractable line segment matching objective function is derived by considering each line segment as a dense collection of points, and approximating itby a sum of Gaussians. The algorithm is tested on real images from which line segments are extracted and matched. 1 Introduction Assume that an object in a scene can be viewed as an instance of the model placed in space by some spatial transformation, and object recognition is achieved by discovering aninstance of the model in the scene.