Lewis, Bryan
Models for COVID-19 Pandemic: A Comparative Analysis
Adiga, Aniruddha, Dubhashi, Devdatt, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Vullikanti, Anil
COVID-19 pandemic represents an unprecedented global health crisis in the last 100 years. Its economic, social and health impact continues to grow and is likely to end up as one of the worst global disasters since the 1918 pandemic and the World Wars. Mathematical models have played an important role in the ongoing crisis; they have been used to inform public policies and have been instrumental in many of the social distancing measures that were instituted worldwide. In this article we review some of the important mathematical models used to support the ongoing planning and response efforts. These models differ in their use, their mathematical form and their scope.
Scatter Matrix Concordance: A Diagnostic for Regressions on Subsets of Data
Kane, Michael J., Lewis, Bryan, Tatikonda, Sekhar, Urbanek, Simon
Linear regression models depend directly on the design matrix and its properties. Techniques that efficiently estimate model coefficients by partitioning rows of the design matrix are increasingly popular for large-scale problems because they fit well with modern parallel computing architectures. We propose a simple measure of {\em concordance} between a design matrix and a subset of its rows that estimates how well a subset captures the variance-covariance structure of a larger data set. We illustrate the use of this measure in a heuristic method for selecting row partition sizes that balance statistical and computational efficiency goals in real-world problems.