Goebel, Kai
Health Index Estimation Through Integration of General Knowledge with Unsupervised Learning
Bajarunas, Kristupas, Baptista, Marcia L., Goebel, Kai, Chao, Manuel A.
Accurately estimating a Health Index (HI) from condition monitoring data (CM) is essential for reliable and interpretable prognostics and health management (PHM) in complex systems. In most scenarios, complex systems operate under varying operating conditions and can exhibit different fault modes, making unsupervised inference of an HI from CM data a significant challenge. Hybrid models combining prior knowledge about degradation with deep learning models have been proposed to overcome this challenge. However, previously suggested hybrid models for HI estimation usually rely heavily on system-specific information, limiting their transferability to other systems. In this work, we propose an unsupervised hybrid method for HI estimation that integrates general knowledge about degradation into the convolutional autoencoder's model architecture and learning algorithm, enhancing its applicability across various systems. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated in two case studies from different domains: turbofan engines and lithium batteries. The results show that the proposed method outperforms other competitive alternatives, including residual-based methods, in terms of HI quality and their utility for Remaining Useful Life (RUL) predictions. The case studies also highlight the comparable performance of our proposed method with a supervised model trained with HI labels.
Real-Time Model Calibration with Deep Reinforcement Learning
Tian, Yuan, Chao, Manuel Arias, Kulkarni, Chetan, Goebel, Kai, Fink, Olga
The dynamic, real-time, and accurate inference of model parameters from empirical data is of great importance in many scientific and engineering disciplines that use computational models (such as a digital twin) for the analysis and prediction of complex physical processes. However, fast and accurate inference for processes with large and high dimensional datasets cannot easily be achieved with state-of-the-art methods under noisy real-world conditions. The primary reason is that the inference of model parameters with traditional techniques based on optimisation or sampling often suffers from computational and statistical challenges, resulting in a trade-off between accuracy and deployment time. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for inference of model parameters based on reinforcement learning. The contribution of the paper is twofold: 1) We reformulate the inference problem as a tracking problem with the objective of learning a policy that forces the response of the physics-based model to follow the observations; 2) We propose the constrained Lyapunov-based actor-critic (CLAC) algorithm to enable the robust and accurate inference of physics-based model parameters in real time under noisy real-world conditions. The proposed methodology is demonstrated and evaluated on two model-based diagnostics test cases utilizing two different physics-based models of turbofan engines. The performance of the methodology is compared to that of two alternative approaches: a state update method (unscented Kalman filter) and a supervised end-to-end mapping with deep neural networks. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed methodology outperforms all other tested methods in terms of speed and robustness, with high inference accuracy.
AAAI Fall Symposium Reports
Ball, Jerry (Air Force Research Laboratory) | Arney, Chris (Army Research Office) | Collins, Samuel G. (Towson University) | Marcus, Mitchell (University of Pennsylvania) | Nirenburg, Sergei (University of Maryland, Baltimore County) | Chella, Antonio (University of Palermo) | Goebel, Kai (NASA Ames Research Center) | Li, Jason H. (Intelligent Automation, Inc.) | Lyell, Margaret (Intelligent Automation, Inc.) | Magerko, Brian (Michigan State University) | Manzotti, Riccardo (IULM University) | Morrison, Clayton T. (University of Southern California) | Oates, Tim (University of Maryland Baltimore County) | Riedl, Mark (University of Southern California) | Trajkovski, Goran P. (South University) | Truszkowski, Walt (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center) | Uckun, Serdar (NASA Ames Research Center)
The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence presented the 2007 Fall Symposium Series on Friday through Sunday, November 9–11, at the Westin Arlington Gateway, Arlington, Virginia. The titles of the seven symposia were (1) AI and Consciousness: Theoretical Foundations and Current Approaches, (2) Artificial Intelligence for Prognostics, (3) Cognitive Approaches to Natural Language Processing, (4) Computational Approaches to Representation Change during Learning and Development, (5) Emergent Agents and Socialities: Social and Organizational Aspects of Intelligence, (6) Intelligent Narrative Technologies, and (7) Regarding the "Intelligence" in Distributed Intelligent Systems.
AAAI Fall Symposium Reports
Ball, Jerry (Air Force Research Laboratory) | Arney, Chris (Army Research Office) | Collins, Samuel G. (Towson University) | Marcus, Mitchell (University of Pennsylvania) | Nirenburg, Sergei (University of Maryland, Baltimore County) | Chella, Antonio (University of Palermo) | Goebel, Kai (NASA Ames Research Center) | Li, Jason H. (Intelligent Automation, Inc.) | Lyell, Margaret (Intelligent Automation, Inc.) | Magerko, Brian (Michigan State University) | Manzotti, Riccardo (IULM University) | Morrison, Clayton T. (University of Southern California) | Oates, Tim (University of Maryland Baltimore County) | Riedl, Mark (University of Southern California) | Trajkovski, Goran P. (South University) | Truszkowski, Walt (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center) | Uckun, Serdar (NASA Ames Research Center)
Is it possible to build a conscious machine? There was an almost generally accepted of AI since its beginnings. The symposium was psychological, philosophical, and the first official place where scholars-- neuroscientific theories of consciousness; coming from different fields as far as (3) it is possible to address consciousness neuroscience and philosophy, psychology not only from neuroscience, and computer science--addressed psychology, and philosophy, the issue of consciousness in a but also from AI; and (4) the role of traditional AI environment. Furthermore, embodiment and situatedness is almost there was a good balance of universally recognized. A recurrent topic was the fact that The participants' talks centered on the topic of the symposium and generated the field of consciousness seems to be lively discussions of their research.
Appliance Call Center: A Successful Mixed-Initiative Case Study
Cheetham, William E., Goebel, Kai
Customer service is defined as the ability of a company to afford the service requestor with the expressed need. Due to the increasing importance of service offerings as a revenue source and increasing competition among service providers, it is important for companies to optimize both the customer experience as well as the associated cost of providing the service. For more complex interactions with higher value, mixed-initiative systems provide an avenue that gives a good balance between the two goals. This article describes a mixed-initiative system that was created to improve customer support for problems customers encountered with their appliances. The tool helped call takers solve customers' problems by suggesting questions aiding the diagnosis of these problems. The mixed-initiative system improved the correctness of the diagnostic process, the speed of the process, and user satisfaction. The tool has been in use since 1999 and has provided more than $50 million in financial benefits by increasing the percentage of questions that could be answered without sending a field service technician to the customers' homes. Another mixed-initiative tool, for answering e-mail from customers, was created in 2000.
The Workshop Program at the Nineteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Muslea, Ion, Dignum, Virginia, Corkill, Daniel, Jonker, Catholijn, Dignum, Frank, Coradeschi, Silvia, Saffiotti, Alessandro, Fu, Dan, Orkin, Jeff, Cheetham, William E., Goebel, Kai, Bonissone, Piero, Soh, Leen-Kiat, Jones, Randolph M., Wray, Robert E., Scheutz, Matthias, Farias, Daniela Pucci de, Mannor, Shie, Theocharou, Georgios, Precup, Doina, Mobasher, Bamshad, Anand, Sarabjot Singh, Berendt, Bettina, Hotho, Andreas, Guesgen, Hans, Rosenstein, Michael T., Ghavamzadeh, Mohammad
AAAI presented the AAAI-04 workshop program on July 25-26, 2004 in San Jose, California. This program included twelve workshops covering a wide range of topics in artificial intelligence. The titles of the workshops were as follows: (1) Adaptive Text Extraction and Mining; (2) Agent Organizations: Theory and Practice; (3) Anchoring Symbols to Sensor Data; (4) Challenges in Game AI; (5) Fielding Applications of Artificial Intelligence; (6) Forming and Maintaining Coalitions in Adaptive Multiagent Systems; (7) Intelligent Agent Architectures: Combining the Strengths of Software Engineering and Cognitive Systems; (8) Learning and Planning in Markov Processes -- Advances and Challenges; (9) Semantic Web Personalization; (10) Sensor Networks; (11) Spatial and Temporal Reasoning; and (12) Supervisory Control of Learning and Adaptive Systems.
The Workshop Program at the Nineteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Muslea, Ion, Dignum, Virginia, Corkill, Daniel, Jonker, Catholijn, Dignum, Frank, Coradeschi, Silvia, Saffiotti, Alessandro, Fu, Dan, Orkin, Jeff, Cheetham, William E., Goebel, Kai, Bonissone, Piero, Soh, Leen-Kiat, Jones, Randolph M., Wray, Robert E., Scheutz, Matthias, Farias, Daniela Pucci de, Mannor, Shie, Theocharou, Georgios, Precup, Doina, Mobasher, Bamshad, Anand, Sarabjot Singh, Berendt, Bettina, Hotho, Andreas, Guesgen, Hans, Rosenstein, Michael T., Ghavamzadeh, Mohammad
AAAI presented the AAAI-04 workshop program on July 25-26, 2004 in San Jose, California. This program included twelve workshops covering a wide range of topics in artificial intelligence. The titles of the workshops were as follows: (1) Adaptive Text Extraction and Mining; (2) Agent Organizations: Theory and Practice; (3) Anchoring Symbols to Sensor Data; (4) Challenges in Game AI; (5) Fielding Applications of Artificial Intelligence; (6) Forming and Maintaining Coalitions in Adaptive Multiagent Systems; (7) Intelligent Agent Architectures: Combining the Strengths of Software Engineering and Cognitive Systems; (8) Learning and Planning in Markov Processes -- Advances and Challenges; (9) Semantic Web Personalization; (10) Sensor Networks; (11) Spatial and Temporal Reasoning; and (12) Supervisory Control of Learning and Adaptive Systems.
The 2002 AAAI Spring Symposium Series
Karlgren, Jussi, Kanerva, Pentti, Gamback, Bjorn, Forbus, Kenneth D., Tumer, Kagan, Stone, Peter, Goebel, Kai, Sukhatme, Gaurav S., Balch, Tucker, Fischer, Bernd, Smith, Doug, Harabagiu, Sanda, Chaudri, Vinay, Barley, Mike, Guesgen, Hans, Stahovich, Thomas, Davis, Randall, Landay, James
The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, in cooperation with Stanford University's Department of Computer Science, presented the 2002 Spring Symposium Series, held Monday through Wednesday, 25 to 27 March 2002, at Stanford University. The nine symposia were entitled (1) Acquiring (and Using) Linguistic (and World) Knowledge for Information Access; (2) Artificial Intelligence and Interactive Entertainment; (3) Collaborative Learning Agents; (4) Information Refinement and Revision for Decision Making: Modeling for Diagnostics, Prognostics, and Prediction; (5) Intelligent Distributed and Embedded Systems; (6) Logic-Based Program Synthesis: State of the Art and Future Trends; (7) Mining Answers from Texts and Knowledge Bases; (8) Safe Learning Agents; and (9) Sketch Understanding.
The 2002 AAAI Spring Symposium Series
Karlgren, Jussi, Kanerva, Pentti, Gamback, Bjorn, Forbus, Kenneth D., Tumer, Kagan, Stone, Peter, Goebel, Kai, Sukhatme, Gaurav S., Balch, Tucker, Fischer, Bernd, Smith, Doug, Harabagiu, Sanda, Chaudri, Vinay, Barley, Mike, Guesgen, Hans, Stahovich, Thomas, Davis, Randall, Landay, James
The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, in cooperation with Stanford University's Department of Computer Science, presented the 2002 Spring Symposium Series, held Monday through Wednesday, 25 to 27 March 2002, at Stanford University. The nine symposia were entitled (1) Acquiring (and Using) Linguistic (and World) Knowledge for Information Access; (2) Artificial Intelligence and Interactive Entertainment; (3) Collaborative Learning Agents; (4) Information Refinement and Revision for Decision Making: Modeling for Diagnostics, Prognostics, and Prediction; (5) Intelligent Distributed and Embedded Systems; (6) Logic-Based Program Synthesis: State of the Art and Future Trends; (7) Mining Answers from Texts and Knowledge Bases; (8) Safe Learning Agents; and (9) Sketch Understanding.
Reports on the AAAI Spring Symposia (March 1999)
Musliner, David, Pell, Barney, Dobson, Wolff, Goebel, Kai, Vanderbilt, Gautam Biswas, McIlraith, Sheila, Gini, Giuseppina, Koenig, Sven, Zilberstein, Shlomo, Zhang, Weixiong
The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, in cooperation, with Stanford University's Department of Com-puter Science, presented the 1999 Spring Symposium Series on 22 to 24 March 1999 at Stanford University. The titles of the seven symposia were (1) Agents with Adjustable Autonomy, (2) Artificial Intelligence and Computer Games, (3) Artificial Intelligence in Equipment Maintenance Service and Support, (4) Hybrid Systems and AI: Modeling, Analysis, and Control of Discrete Continuous Systems, (5) Intelligent Agents in Cyberspace, (6) Predictive Toxicology of Chemicals: Experiences and Impact of AI Tools, and (7) Search Techniques for Problem Solving under Uncertainty and Incomplete Information.