Daniluk, Michał
Temporal graph models fail to capture global temporal dynamics
Daniluk, Michał, Dąbrowski, Jacek
A recently released Temporal Graph Benchmark is analyzed in the context of Dynamic Link Property Prediction. We outline our observations and propose a trivial optimization-free baseline of "recently popular nodes" outperforming other methods on medium and large-size datasets in the Temporal Graph Benchmark. We propose two measures based on Wasserstein distance which can quantify the strength of short-term and long-term global dynamics of datasets. By analyzing our unexpectedly strong baseline, we show how standard negative sampling evaluation can be unsuitable for datasets with strong temporal dynamics. We also show how simple negative-sampling can lead to model degeneration during training, resulting in impossible to rank, fully saturated predictions of temporal graph networks. We propose improved negative sampling schemes for both training and evaluation and prove their usefulness. We conduct a comparison with a model trained non-contrastively without negative sampling. Our results provide a challenging baseline and indicate that temporal graph network architectures need deep rethinking for usage in problems with significant global dynamics, such as social media, cryptocurrency markets or e-commerce. We open-source the code for baselines, measures and proposed negative sampling schemes.
Modeling Multi-Destination Trips with Sketch-Based Model
Daniluk, Michał, Rychalska, Barbara, Gołuchowski, Konrad, Dąbrowski, Jacek
The recently proposed EMDE (Efficient Manifold Density Estimator) model achieves state of-the-art results in session-based recommendation. In this work we explore its application to Booking Data Challenge competition. The aim of the challenge is to make the best recommendation for the next destination of a user trip, based on dataset with millions of real anonymized accommodation reservations. We achieve 2nd place in this competition. First, we use Cleora - our graph embedding method - to represent cities as a directed graph and learn their vector representation. Next, we apply EMDE to predict the next user destination based on previously visited cities and some features associated with each trip. We release the source code at: https://github.com/Synerise/booking-challenge.
An efficient manifold density estimator for all recommendation systems
Dąbrowski, Jacek, Rychalska, Barbara, Daniluk, Michał, Basaj, Dominika, Gołuchowski, Konrad, Babel, Piotr, Michałowski, Andrzej
Many unsupervised representation learning methods belong to the class of similarity learning models. While various modality-specific approaches exist for different types of data, a core property of many methods is that representations of similar inputs are close under some similarity function. We propose EMDE (Efficient Manifold Density Estimator) - a framework utilizing arbitrary vector representations with the property of local similarity to succinctly represent smooth probability densities on Riemannian manifolds. Our approximate representation has the desirable properties of being fixed-size and having simple additive compositionality, thus being especially amenable to treatment with neural networks - both as input and output format, producing efficient conditional estimators. We generalize and reformulate the problem of multi-modal recommendations as conditional, weighted density estimation on manifolds. Our approach allows for trivial inclusion of multiple interaction types, modalities of data as well as interaction strengths for any recommendation setting. Applying EMDE to both top-k and session-based recommendation settings, we establish new state-of-the-art results on multiple open datasets in both uni-modal and multi-modal settings. We release the source code and our own real-world dataset of e-commerce product purchases, with special focus on modeling of the item cold-start problem.