Bertschinger, Nils
Bayesian Quantile Matching Estimation
Nirwan, Rajbir-Singh, Bertschinger, Nils
Due to data protection laws sensitive personal data cannot be released or shared among businesses as well as scientific institutions. While anonymization techniques are becoming increasingly popular, they often raise security concerns and have been re-identified in some cases Narayanan and Shmatikov (2010). To be on the safe side, big data collecting organisation such as Eurostat (statistical office of the European Union) or the World Bank only release aggregated summaries of their data. E.g.: Instead of individual salary data only selected quantiles of the population distribution are available. Thus, for exploratory analysis as well as statistical modeling, the need for methods which work on aggregated data is there.
Rotation Invariant Householder Parameterization for Bayesian PCA
Nirwan, Rajbir S., Bertschinger, Nils
We consider probabilistic PCA and related factor models from a Bayesian perspective. These models are in general not identifiable as the likelihood has a rotational symmetry. This gives rise to complicated posterior distributions with continuous subspaces of equal density and thus hinders efficiency of inference as well as interpretation of obtained parameters. In particular, posterior averages over factor loadings become meaningless and only model predictions are unambiguous. Here, we propose a parameterization based on Householder transformations, which remove the rotational symmetry of the posterior. Furthermore, by relying on results from random matrix theory, we establish the parameter distribution which leaves the model unchanged compared to the original rotationally symmetric formulation. In particular, we avoid the need to compute the Jacobian determinant of the parameter transformation. This allows us to efficiently implement probabilistic PCA in a rotation invariant fashion in any state of the art toolbox. Here, we implemented our model in the probabilistic programming language Stan and illustrate it on several examples.
At the Edge of Chaos: Real-time Computations and Self-Organized Criticality in Recurrent Neural Networks
Bertschinger, Nils, Natschläger, Thomas, Legenstein, Robert A.
In this paper we analyze the relationship between the computational capabilities ofrandomly connected networks of threshold gates in the timeseries domain and their dynamical properties. In particular we propose a complexity measure which we find to assume its highest values near the edge of chaos, i.e. the transition from ordered to chaotic dynamics. Furthermore we show that the proposed complexity measure predicts the computational capabilities very well: only near the edge of chaos are such networks able to perform complex computations on time series. Additionally asimple synaptic scaling rule for self-organized criticality is presented and analyzed.