C2FAR generates a hierarchical, coarse-to-fine discretization of a variable autoregressively; progressively finer intervals of support are generated from a sequence of binned distributions, where each distribution is conditioned on previously-generated coarser intervals. Unlike prior (flat) binned distributions, C2FAR can represent values with exponentially higher precision, for only a linear increase in complexity. We use C2FAR for probabilistic forecasting via a recurrent neural network, thus modeling time series autoregressively in both space and time. C2FAR is the first method to simultaneously handle discrete and continuous series of arbitrary scale and distribution shape. This flexibility enables a variety of time series use cases, including anomaly detection, interpolation, and compression. C2FAR achieves improvements over the state-of-the-art on several benchmark forecasting datasets.

Consider a supervised dataset $D=[A\mid \textbf{b}]$, where $\textbf{b}$ is the outcome column, rows of $D$ correspond to observations, and columns of $A$ are the features of the dataset. A central problem in machine learning and pattern recognition is to select the most important features from $D$ to be able to predict the outcome. In this paper, we provide a new feature selection method where we use perturbation theory to detect correlations between features. We solve $AX=\textbf{b}$ using the method of least squares and singular value decomposition of $A$. In practical applications, such as in bioinformatics, the number of rows of $A$ (observations) are much less than the number of columns of $A$ (features). So we are dealing with singular matrices with big condition numbers. Although it is known that the solutions of least square problems in singular case are very sensitive to perturbations in $A$, our novel approach in this paper is to prove that the correlations between features can be detected by applying perturbations to $A$. The effectiveness of our method is verified by performing a series of comparisons with conventional and novel feature selection methods in the literature. It is demonstrated that in most situations, our method chooses considerably less number of features while attaining or exceeding the accuracy of the other methods.

Feature selection and attribute reduction are crucial problems, and widely used techniques in the field of machine learning, data mining and pattern recognition to overcome the well-known phenomenon of the Curse of Dimensionality, by either selecting a subset of features or removing unrelated ones. This paper presents a new feature selection method that efficiently carries out attribute reduction, thereby selecting the most informative features of a dataset. It consists of two components: 1) a measure for feature subset evaluation, and 2) a search strategy. For the evaluation measure, we have employed the fuzzy-rough dependency degree (FRFDD) in the lower approximation-based fuzzy-rough feature selection (L-FRFS) due to its effectiveness in feature selection. As for the search strategy, a new version of a binary shuffled frog leaping algorithm is proposed (B-SFLA). The new feature selection method is obtained by hybridizing the B-SFLA with the FRDD. Non-parametric statistical tests are conducted to compare the proposed approach with several existing methods over twenty two datasets, including nine high dimensional and large ones, from the UCI repository. The experimental results demonstrate that the B-SFLA approach significantly outperforms other metaheuristic methods in terms of the number of selected features and the classification accuracy.