In political discourse and geopolitical analysis, national leaders words hold profound significance, often serving as harbingers of pivotal historical moments. From impassioned rallying cries to calls for caution, presidential speeches preceding major conflicts encapsulate the multifaceted dynamics of decision-making at the apex of governance. This project aims to use deep learning techniques to decode the subtle nuances and underlying patterns of US presidential rhetoric that may signal US involvement in major wars. While accurate classification is desirable, we seek to take a step further and identify discriminative features between the two classes (i.e. interpretable learning). Through an interdisciplinary fusion of machine learning and historical inquiry, we aspire to unearth insights into the predictive capacity of neural networks in discerning the preparatory rhetoric of US presidents preceding war. Indeed, as the venerable Prussian General and military theorist Carl von Clausewitz admonishes, War is not merely an act of policy but a true political instrument, a continuation of political intercourse carried on with other means (Clausewitz, 1832).

Introduction: Technical burdens and time-intensive review processes limit the practical utility of video capsule endoscopy (VCE). Artificial intelligence (AI) is poised to address these limitations, but the intersection of AI and VCE reveals challenges that must first be overcome. We identified five challenges to address. Challenge #1: VCE data are stochastic and contains significant artifact. Challenge #2: VCE interpretation is cost-intensive. Challenge #3: VCE data are inherently imbalanced. Challenge #4: Existing VCE AIMLT are computationally cumbersome. Challenge #5: Clinicians are hesitant to accept AIMLT that cannot explain their process. Methods: An anatomic landmark detection model was used to test the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to the task of classifying VCE data. We also created a tool that assists in expert annotation of VCE data. We then created more elaborate models using different approaches including a multi-frame approach, a CNN based on graph representation, and a few-shot approach based on meta-learning. Results: When used on full-length VCE footage, CNNs accurately identified anatomic landmarks (99.1%), with gradient weighted-class activation mapping showing the parts of each frame that the CNN used to make its decision. The graph CNN with weakly supervised learning (accuracy 89.9%, sensitivity of 91.1%), the few-shot model (accuracy 90.8%, precision 91.4%, sensitivity 90.9%), and the multi-frame model (accuracy 97.5%, precision 91.5%, sensitivity 94.8%) performed well. Discussion: Each of these five challenges is addressed, in part, by one of our AI-based models. Our goal of producing high performance using lightweight models that aim to improve clinician confidence was achieved.

In this paper, we propose a distributed Generative Adversarial Networks (discGANs) to generate synthetic tabular data specific to the healthcare domain. While using GANs to generate images has been well studied, little to no attention has been given to generation of tabular data. Modeling distributions of discrete and continuous tabular data is a non-trivial task with high utility. We applied discGAN to model non-Gaussian multi-modal healthcare data. We generated 249,000 synthetic records from original 2,027 eICU dataset. We evaluated the performance of the model using machine learning efficacy, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test for continuous variables and chi-squared test for discrete variables. Our results show that discGAN was able to generate data with distributions similar to the real data.

Temporal activity localization in long videos is an important problem. The cost of obtaining frame level label for long Wireless Capsule Endoscopy (WCE) videos is prohibitive. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end temporal abnormality localization for long WCE videos using only weak video level labels. Physicians use Capsule Endoscopy (CE) as a non-surgical and non-invasive method to examine the entire digestive tract in order to diagnose diseases or abnormalities. While CE has revolutionized traditional endoscopy procedures, a single CE examination could last up to 8 hours generating as much as 100,000 frames. Physicians must review the entire video, frame-by-frame, in order to identify the frames capturing relevant abnormality. This, sometimes could be as few as just a single frame. Given this very high level of redundancy, analyzing long CE videos can be very tedious, time consuming and also error prone. This paper presents a novel multi-step method for an end-to-end localization of target frames capturing abnormalities of interest in the long video using only weak video labels. First we developed an automatic temporal segmentation using change point detection technique to temporally segment the video into uniform, homogeneous and identifiable segments. Then we employed Graph Convolutional Neural Network (GCNN) to learn a representation of each video segment. Using weak video segment labels, we trained our GCNN model to recognize each video segment as abnormal if it contains at least a single abnormal frame. Finally, leveraging the parameters of the trained GCNN model, we replaced the final layer of the network with a temporal pool layer to localize the relevant abnormal frames within each abnormal video segment. Our method achieved an accuracy of 89.9\% on the graph classification task and a specificity of 97.5\% on the abnormal frames localization task.

With the decreasing cost of data collection, the space of variables or features that can be used to characterize a particular predictor of interest continues to grow exponentially. Therefore, identifying the most characterizing features that minimizes the variance without jeopardizing the bias of our models is critical to successfully training a machine learning model. In addition, identifying such features is critical for interpretability, prediction accuracy and optimal computation cost. While statistical methods such as subset selection, shrinkage, dimensionality reduction have been applied in selecting the best set of features, some other approaches in literature have approached feature selection task as a search problem where each state in the search space is a possible feature subset. In this paper, we solved the feature selection problem using Reinforcement Learning. Formulating the state space as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), we used Temporal Difference (TD) algorithm to select the best subset of features. Each state was evaluated using a robust and low cost classifier algorithm which could handle any non-linearities in the dataset.

Deep convolutional neural networks(CNNs) have been successful for a wide range of computer vision tasks, including image classification. A specific area of the application lies in digital pathology for pattern recognition in the tissue-based diagnosis of gastrointestinal(GI) diseases. This domain can utilize CNNs to translate histopathological images into precise diagnostics. This is challenging since these complex biopsies are heterogeneous and require multiple levels of assessment. This is mainly due to structural similarities in different parts of the GI tract and shared features among different gut diseases. Addressing this problem with a flat model that assumes all classes (parts of the gut and their diseases) are equally difficult to distinguish leads to an inadequate assessment of each class. Since the hierarchical model restricts classification error to each sub-class, it leads to a more informative model than a flat model. In this paper, we propose to apply the hierarchical classification of biopsy images from different parts of the GI tract and the receptive diseases within each. We embedded a class hierarchy into the plain VGGNet to take advantage of its layers' hierarchical structure. The proposed model was evaluated using an independent set of image patches from 373 whole slide images. The results indicate that the hierarchical model can achieve better results than the flat model for multi-category diagnosis of GI disorders using histopathological images.

Existing simulations designed for cultural and interpersonal skill training rely on pre-defined responses with a menu option selection interface. Using a multiple-choice interface and restricting trainees' responses may limit the trainees' ability to apply the lessons in real life situations. This systems also uses a simplistic evaluation model, where trainees' selected options are marked as either correct or incorrect. This model may not capture sufficient information that could drive an adaptive feedback mechanism to improve trainees' cultural awareness. This paper describes the design of a dialogue-based simulation for cultural awareness training. The simulation, built around a disaster management scenario involving a joint coalition between the US and the Chinese armies. Trainees were able to engage in realistic dialogue with the Chinese agent. Their responses, at different points, get evaluated by different multi-label classification models. Based on training on our dataset, the models score the trainees' responses for cultural awareness in the Chinese culture. Trainees also get feedback that informs the cultural appropriateness of their responses. The result of this work showed the following; i) A feature-based evaluation model improves the design, modeling and computation of dialogue-based training simulation systems; ii) Output from current automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems gave comparable end results compared with the output from manual transcription; iii) A multi-label classification model trained as a cultural expert gave results which were comparable with scores assigned by human annotators.