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Using Social Dynamics to Make Individual Predictions: Variational Inference with a Stochastic Kinetic Model

Neural Information Processing Systems

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the availability of large-scale data from social networks and sensor networks offers an unprecedented opportunity to predict state-changing events at the individual level. Examples of such events include disease transmission, opinion transition in elections, and rumor propagation. Unlike previous research focusing on the collective effects of social systems, this study makes efficient inferences at the individual level. In order to cope with dynamic interactions among a large number of individuals, we introduce the stochastic kinetic model to capture adaptive transition probabilities and propose an efficient variational inference algorithm the complexity of which grows linearly -- rather than exponentially-- with the number of individuals.


Jasmine Crockett shares bizarre song clip calling herself 'leader of the future'

FOX News

Texas Rep. Jasmine Crockett attacked President Donald Trump's West Point address on MSNBC and called it proof of his unfitness as commander in chief. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Texas, appears to be leaning in on her rising political stardom this week, briefly sharing what appeared to be a fan-made song that referred to the Democratic firebrand as the "leader of the future." "Jasmine Crockett, she rises with the dawn. Fighting for justice, her light will never be gone," the song went. Infectious with passion, she'll never bow down.


Apple's triple threat: tariffs, AI troubles and a Fortnite fail

The Guardian

This week in tech: Apple struggles on multiple fronts, OpenAI grows increasingly ambitious, and Trump helps some of his fans lose money on cryptocurrency. Long dominant and unassailable, Apple is showing signs of weakness. The CEO, Tim Cook, can't tame Donald Trump's threats of tariffs that would spike the price of an iPhone; Apple's AI offerings pale against its competitors; and the company can't win a Fortnite match – or a single battle in its legal war with Epic Games – to save its life. On Friday, the president threatened to levy a 25% tariff on any iPhone not made in the US. Trump said in the post: "I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhones that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else. If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the US."


Google's best AI research tool is now on your phone

Popular Science

Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. Amidst the flurry of AI announcements and product reveals from Google in recent months, you might have missed one of the most useful AI-powered apps in the whole collection: NotebookLM (that LM stands for Language Model). Perhaps NotebookLM has gone largely under the radar because it was originally launched as more of an academic research tool when it first appeared back in 2023. Its user interface lacks some of the slickness and accessibility of Google Gemini, and it's not quite as obvious how you're supposed to use it, or what it can do. However, NotebookLM is gradually becoming better known amongst consumers, with official apps for Android and iOS now available, alongside the web app.


Access top AI tools in one spot with this 30 tool

Popular Science

Each AI model has its own strengths, and it can be tough to keep up with their unique advantages. Whether you need to create an image for social media, whip up a blog post, or optimize your business's website, 1min.AI can do it all. This lifetime subscription lets you enjoy all the perks of these platforms at a one-time low price, with no subscription fees required. And aside from saving you money, it saves time since you won't have to switch between different AI services constantly. This Pro Plan gives you 1,000,000 monthly credits, with an unlimited prompt library and storage.


The facial feature that means you're more likely to have a son

Daily Mail - Science & tech

You might think that having a boy or a girl is completely up to chance. But expectant parents might be able to hazard a good guess – depending on what the father's facial features are like. Researchers wanted to find out whether certain traits in parents were linked to the sex of their firstborn. The team, from the University of Michigan, recruited 104 pairs of parents with at least one child. Both were asked to submit facial photographs which were rated for attractiveness, dominance and masculinity or femininity by university students.



Information-theoretic Limits for Community Detection in Network Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We analyze the information-theoretic limits for the recovery of node labels in several network models. This includes the Stochastic Block Model, the Exponential Random Graph Model, the Latent Space Model, the Directed Preferential Attachment Model, and the Directed Small-world Model. For the Stochastic Block Model, the non-recoverability condition depends on the probabilities of having edges inside a community, and between different communities. For the Latent Space Model, the non-recoverability condition depends on the dimension of the latent space, and how far and spread are the communities in the latent space. For the Directed Preferential Attachment Model and the Directed Small-world Model, the non-recoverability condition depends on the ratio between homophily and neighborhood size. We also consider dynamic versions of the Stochastic Block Model and the Latent Space Model.