Learning Time-Intensity Profiles of Human Activity using Non-Parametric Bayesian Models

Data sets that characterize human activity over time through collections of timestamped eventsor counts are of increasing interest in application areas as humancomputer interaction,video surveillance, and Web data analysis. We propose a nonparametric Bayesian framework for modeling collections of such data. In particular, we use a Dirichlet process framework for learning a set of intensity functions corresponding to different categories, which form a basis set for representing individualtime-periods (e.g., several days) depending on which categories the time-periods are assigned to. This allows the model to learn in a data-driven fashion what "factors" are generating the observations on a particular day, including (forexample) weekday versus weekend effects or day-specific effects corresponding tounique (single-day) occurrences of unusual behavior, sharing information where appropriate to obtain improved estimates of the behavior associated with each category. Applications to real-world data sets of count data involving both vehicles and people are used to illustrate the technique.