Machine Learning Algorithms Utilizing Functional Respiratory Imaging May Predict COPD Exacerbations

A total of 11 baseline FRI parameters could significantly distinguish ( p 0.05) the development of AECOPD from a stable period. In contrast, no baseline clinical or pulmonary function test parameters allowed significant classification. Furthermore, using Support Vector Machines, an accuracy of 80.65% and positive predictive value of 82.35% could be obtained by combining baseline FRI features such as total specific image-based airway volume and total specific image-based airway resistance, measured at functional residual capacity. Patients who developed an AECOPD, showed significantly smaller airway volumes and (hence) significantly higher airway resistances at baseline.