How To Avoid Another AI Winter

Although there has been great progress in artificial intelligence (AI) over the past few years, many of us remember the AI winter in the 1990s, which resulted from overinflated promises by developers and unnaturally high expectations from end users. Now, industry insiders, such as Facebook head of AI Jerome Pesenti, are predicting that AI will soon hit another wall--this time due to the lack of semantic understanding. "Deep learning and current AI, if you are really honest, has a lot of limitations," said Pesenti. "We are very, very far from human intelligence, and there are some criticisms that are valid: It can propagate human biases, it's not easy to explain, it doesn't have common sense, it's more on the level of pattern matching than robust semantic understanding." Other computer scientists believe that AI is currently facing a "reproducibility crisis" because many complex machine-learning algorithms are a "black box" and cannot be easily reproduced.