Why futurists are (almost) always wrong ZDNet

What is AI? Everything you need to know about Artificial Intelligence Professionals are familiar with economies of scale and learning curves. These concepts were codified in the 1940s. But the scale changes we're talking about are exponential, not linear. Humans are poor at estimating the effect of exponential growth. Scale changes on the order of 10x are exponential and therefore, fall into the human cognitive abyss.