(PDF) Research on attack cases via topic-model analysis and selection of vulnerability candidates from large-scale vulnerability database

Predicting software vulnerability discovery trends can help improve secure deployment of software applications and facilitate backup provisioning, disaster recovery, diversity planning, and maintenance scheduling. Vulnerability discovery models (VDMs) have been studied in the literature as a means to capture the underlying stochastic process. Based on the VDMs, a few vulnerability prediction ... [Show full abstract] schemes have been proposed. Unfortunately, all these schemes suffer from the same weaknesses: they require a large amount of historical vulnerability data from a database (hence they are not applicable to a newly released software application), their precision depends on the amount of training data, and they have significant amount of error in their estimates. In this work, we propose vulnerability scrying, a new paradigm for vulnerability discovery prediction based on code properties.