Progress in AI seems like it's accelerating, but here's why it could be plateauing

I'm standing in what is soon to be the center of the world, or is perhaps just a very large room on the seventh floor of a gleaming tower in downtown Toronto. Showing me around is Jordan Jacobs, who cofounded this place: the nascent Vector Institute, which opens its doors this fall and which is aiming to become the global epicenter of artificial intelligence. We're in Toronto because Geoffrey Hinton is in Toronto, and Geoffrey Hinton is the father of "deep learning," the technique behind the current excitement about AI. "In 30 years we're going to look back and say Geoff is Einstein--of AI, deep learning, the thing that we're calling AI," Jacobs says. Of the researchers at the top of the field of deep learning, Hinton has more citations than the next three combined. His students and postdocs have gone on to run the AI labs at Apple, Facebook, and OpenAI; Hinton himself is a lead scientist on the Google Brain AI team.