Bayesian Networks without Tears.

Charniak, Eugene

AI Magazine 

I give an introduction to Bayesian networks for AI researchers with a limited grounding in probability theory. Indeed, it is probably fair to say that Bayesian networks are to a large segment of the AI-uncertainty community what resolution theorem proving is to the AIlogic community. Nevertheless, despite what seems to be their obvious importance, the ideas and techniques have not spread much beyond the research community responsible for them. I hope to rectify this situation by making Bayesian networks more accessible to the probabilistically unsophisticated.