2025_NeurIPS_Final_Camera_Ready_Generating_Importance_Samples_for_Risk_Averse_Downstream_Tasks_final__Copy_

Heasung Kim

Neural Information Processing Systems 

Risk-averse modeling is critical in safety-sensitive and high-stakes applications. Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) quantifies such risk by measuring the expected loss in the tail of the loss distribution, and minimizing it provides a principled framework for training robust models. However, direct CVaR minimization remains challenging due to the difficulty of accurately estimating rare, high-loss events--particularly at extreme quantiles. In this work, we propose a novel training framework that synthesizes informative samples for CVaR optimization using score-based generative models. Specifically, we guide a diffusion-based generative model to sample from a reweighted distribution that emphasizes inputs likely to incur high loss under a pretrained reference model. These samples are then incorporated via a loss-weighted importance sampling scheme to reduce noise in stochastic optimization. We establish convergence guarantees and show that the synthesized, high-loss-emphasized dataset substantially contributes to the noise reduction. Empirically, we validate the effectiveness of our approach across multiple settings, including a real-world wireless channel compression task, where our method achieves significant improvements over standard risk minimization strategies.

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