Constructing Heterogeneous Committees Using Input Feature Grouping: Application to Economic Forecasting

Yuansong Liao and John Moody Department of Computer Science, Oregon Graduate Institute, P.O.Box 91000, Portland, OR 97291-1000 Abstract The committee approach has been proposed for reducing model uncertainty and improving generalization performance. The advantage of committees depends on (1) the performance of individual members and (2) the correlational structure of errors between members. This paper presents an input grouping technique for designing a heterogeneous committee. With this technique, all input variables are first grouped based on their mutual information. Statistically similar variables are assigned to the same group.