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Database Querying under Changing Preferences

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present here a formal foundation for an iterative and incremental approach to constructing and evaluating preference queries. Our main focus is on query modification: a query transformation approach which works by revising the preference relation in the query. We provide a detailed analysis of the cases where the order-theoretic properties of the preference relation are preserved by the revision. We consider a number of different revision operators: union, prioritized and Pareto composition. We also formulate algebraic laws that enable incremental evaluation of preference queries. Finally, we consider two variations of the basic framework: finite restrictions of preference relations and weak-order extensions of strict partial order preference relations.


Belief Conditioning Rules (BCRs)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper we propose a new family of Belief Conditioning Rules (BCRs) for belief revision. These rules are not directly related with the fusion of several sources of evidence but with the revision of a belief assignment available at a given time according to the new truth (i.e. conditioning constraint) one has about the space of solutions of the problem.


May We Have Your Attention: Analysis of a Selective Attention Task

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper we present a deeper analysis than has previously been carried out of a selective attention problem, and the evolution of continuous-time recurrent neural networks to solve it. We show that the task has a rich structure, and agents must solve a variety of subproblems to perform well. We consider the relationship between the complexity of an agent and the ease with which it can evolve behavior that generalizes well across subproblems, and demonstrate a shaping protocol that improves generalization.


Lexical Adaptation of Link Grammar to the Biomedical Sublanguage: a Comparative Evaluation of Three Approaches

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the adaptation of Link Grammar Parser to the biomedical sublanguage with a focus on domain terms not found in a general parser lexicon. Using two biomedical corpora, we implement and evaluate three approaches to addressing unknown words: automatic lexicon expansion, the use of morphological clues, and disambiguation using a part-of-speech tagger. We evaluate each approach separately for its effect on parsing performance and consider combinations of these approaches. In addition to a 45% increase in parsing efficiency, we find that the best approach, incorporating information from a domain part-of-speech tagger, offers a statistically significant 10% relative decrease in error. The adapted parser is available under an open-source license at http://www.it.utu.fi/biolg .


Evaluating Variable Length Markov Chain Models for Analysis of User Web Navigation Sessions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Markov models have been widely used to represent and analyse user web navigation data. In previous work we have proposed a method to dynamically extend the order of a Markov chain model and a complimentary method for assessing the predictive power of such a variable length Markov chain. Herein, we review these two methods and propose a novel method for measuring the ability of a variable length Markov model to summarise user web navigation sessions up to a given length. While the summarisation ability of a model is important to enable the identification of user navigation patterns, the ability to make predictions is important in order to foresee the next link choice of a user after following a given trail so as, for example, to personalise a web site. We present an extensive experimental evaluation providing strong evidence that prediction accuracy increases linearly with summarisation ability.


Building a resource for studying translation shifts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper describes an interdisciplinary approach which brings together the fields of corpus linguistics and translation studies. It presents ongoing work on the creation of a corpus resource in which translation shifts are explicitly annotated. Translation shifts denote departures from formal correspondence between source and target text, i.e. deviations that have occurred during the translation process. A resource in which such shifts are annotated in a systematic way will make it possible to study those phenomena that need to be addressed if machine translation output is to resemble human translation. The resource described in this paper contains English source texts (parliamentary proceedings) and their German translations. The shift annotation is based on predicate-argument structures and proceeds in two steps: first, predicates and their arguments are annotated monolingually in a straightforward manner. Then, the corresponding English and German predicates and arguments are aligned with each other. Whenever a shift - mainly grammatical or semantic -has occurred, the alignment is tagged accordingly.


Predictions as statements and decisions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper is based on my invited talk at the 19th Annual Conference on Learning Theory (Pittsburgh, PA, June 24, 2006). In recent years COL T invited talks have tended to aim at establishing connections between the traditio nal concerns of the learning community and the work done by other communities (s uch as game theory, statistics, information theory, and optimization). F ollowing this tradition, I will argue that some ideas from the foundations of prob ability can be fruitfully applied in competitive on-line learning. In this paper I will use the following informal taxonomy of predictions (reminiscent of Shafer's [36], Figure 2, taxonomy of probabilities): D-predictions are mere Decisions. They can never be true or false but can be good or bad.


New Millennium AI and the Convergence of History

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has recently become a real formal science: the new millennium brought the first mathematically sound, asymptotically optimal, universal problem solvers, providing a new, rigorous foundation for the previously largely heuristic field of General AI and embedded agents. At the same time there has been rapid progress in practical methods for learning true sequence-processing programs, as opposed to traditional methods limited to stationary pattern association. Here we will briefly review some of the new results, and speculate about future developments, pointing out that the time intervals between the most notable events in over 40,000 years or 2^9 lifetimes of human history have sped up exponentially, apparently converging to zero within the next few decades. Or is this impression just a by-product of the way humans allocate memory space to past events?


Is there an Elegant Universal Theory of Prediction?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Could there exist an elegant and universal theory of sequence pre diction? Solomonoff's model of induction rapidly learns to make optimal predict ions for any computable sequence, including probabilistic ones [13, 14]. In deed the problem of sequence prediction could well be considered solved [9, 8], if it were not for the fact that Solomonoff's theoretical model is incomputab le. Among computable theories there exist powerful general predict ors, such as the Lempel-Ziv algorithm [5] and Context Tree Weighting [18], that can learn to predict some complex sequences, but not others. Some prediction methods, such as the Minimum Description Length principle [12] and the Minimum Messa ge Length principle [17], can even be viewed as computable approximation s to Solomonoff induction [10]. However in practice their power and genera lity are limited by the power of compression and coding methods employed, as well as having a significantly reduced data efficiency as compared to Solom onoff induction [11]. This work was supported by SNF grant 200020-107616.


The Cumulative Rule for Belief Fusion

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The problem of combining beliefs in the Dempster-Shafer belief theory has attracted considerable attention over the last two decades. The classical Dempster's Rule has often been criticised, and many alternative rules for belief combination have been proposed in the literature. The consensus operator for combining beliefs has nice properties and produces more intuitive results than Dempster's rule, but has the limitation that it can only be applied to belief distribution functions on binary state spaces. In this paper we present a generalisation of the consensus operator that can be applied to Dirichlet belief functions on state spaces of arbitrary size. This rule, called the cumulative rule of belief combination, can be derived from classical statistical theory, and corresponds well with human intuition.