Technology
Social Dynamics of Digg
Hogg, Tad (Independent Researcher) | Lerman, Kristina (USC Information Sciences Institute)
Online social media often highlight content that is highly rated by neighbors in a social network. For the news aggregator Digg, we use a stochastic model to distinguish the effect of the increased visibility from the network from how interesting content is to users. We find a wide range of interest, and distinguish stories primarily of interest to users in the network from those of more general interest to the user community. This distinction helps predict a story's eventual popularity from users' early reactions to the story.
Socio-Legal Analysis of Criminal Sentences: A Preliminary Study
Giura, Giuseppe (University of Catani) | Giuffrida, Giovanni (University of Catani) | Pennisi, Carlo (University of Catani) | Zarba, Calogero (Neodata Intelligence)
This paper discusses a research based on analyzing criminal sentences on criminal trials on organized crime activity in Sicily pronounced from 2000 through 2006. Large criminal sentences related dataset collection activity in Italy is severely constrained for various reasons such as difficulty of data collection at the courthouses, unavailability of data in digital format, and classification criteria used in the public archives. Thus, in general, judicial statistics suffer from lack of reliability and informativeness. The objective of this research is to analyze the text of criminal sentences in a revisable and verifiable way, so that information is extracted on the trial leading to the sentence, the socio-economic environment in which the relevant events occurred, and the differences between the various districts conducting the trials. The purpose is to elaborate a tool of automated analysis of the text of the sentences that is generalizable to other areas of jurisprudence, and, outside of jurisprudence, to other temporal and geographical contexts. The 726 criminal sentences that have been converted into text files have been pronounced at all judicial levels in the four Sicilian districts for mafia-related crimes. This research is relevant because, for the first time in Italy, we aim to empirically describe the juridical response to the phenomenon of organized crime, by using a large and extendable database of criminal sentences that can be analyzed with data mining techniques, rather than deriving general conclusions from a focused small set of sentences.
The Perceived Credibility of Online Encyclopedias Among Children
Flanagin, Andrew J. (University of California, Santa Barbara) | Metzger, Miriam J. (University of California, Santa Barbara)
This study examined young peopleโs trust of Wikipedia as an information resource. A large-scale probability-based survey with embedded quasi-experiments was conducted with 2,747 children in the U.S. ranging from 11 to 18 years old. Results show that young people find Wikipedia to be fairly credible, but also exhibit an awareness of potential problems with non-expert, user-generated content in anonymous environments. Children tend to evaluate the credibility of online encyclopedia information with this in mind, at times with what appears to be an unwarranted devaluation of this information.
Empirical Analysis of User Participation in Online Communities: the Case of Wikipedia
Ciampaglia, Giovanni Luca (Universitร della Svizzera Italiana) | Vancheri, Alberto (Universitร della Svizzera Italiana)
We study the distribution of the activity period of users in five of the largest localized versions of the free, on- line encyclopedia Wikipedia. We find it to be consis- tent with a mixture of two truncated log-normal distri- butions. Using this model, the temporal evolution of these systems can be analyzed, showing that the statis- tical description is consistent over time.
Voices of Vlogging
Biel, Joan-Isaac (Idiap Research Institute) | Gatica-Perez, Daniel (Idiap Research Institute)
Vlogs have rapidly evolved from the โchat from your bedroomโ format to a highly creative form of expression and communication. However, despite the high popularity of vlogging, automatic analysis of conversational vlogs have not been attempted in the literature. In this paper, we present a novel analysis of conversational vlogs based on the characterization of vloggersโ nonverbal behavior. We investigate the use of four nonverbal cues extracted automatically from the audio channel to measure the behavior of vloggers and explore the relation to their degree of popularity and that of their videos. Our study is validated on over 2200 videos and 150 hours of data, and shows that one nonverbal cue (speaking time) is correlated with levels of popularity with a medium size effect.
โHow Incredibly Awesome!โ โ Click Here to Read More
Ahn, Hyung-il (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Geyer, Werner (IBM) | Dugan, Casey (IBM) | Millen, David R. (IBM)
We investigate the impact of a discussion snippet's overall sentiment on a user's willingness to read more of a discussion. Using sentiment analysis, we constructed positive, neutral, and negative discussion snippets using the discussion topic and a sample comment from discussions taking place around content on an enterprise social networking site. We computed personalized snippet recommendations for a subset of users and conducted a survey to test how these recommendations were perceived. Our experimental results show that snippets with high sentiments are better discussion "teasers."
To Be a Star Is Not Only Metaphoric: From Popularity to Social Linkage
Stoica, Alina Mihaela (Orange Labs and LIAFA, University Paris 7) | Couronne, Thomas (Orange Labs) | Beuscart, Jean - Samuel (Orange Labs)
The emergence of online platforms allowing to mix self publishing activities and social networking offers new possibilities for building online reputation and visibility. In this paper we present a method to analyze the online popularity that takes into consideration both the success of the published content and the social network topology. First, we adapt the Kohonen self organizing maps in order to cluster the users of online platforms depending on their audience and authority characteristics. Then, we perform a detailed analysis of the manner nodes are organized in the social network. Finally, we study the relationship between the network local structure around each node and the corresponding userโs popularity. We apply this method to the MySpace music social network. We observe that the most popular artists are centers of star shaped social structures and that it exists a fraction of artists who are involved in community and social activity dynamics independently of their popularity. This method based on a learning algorithm and on network analysis appears to be a robust and intuitive technique for a rich description of the online behavior.
Star Quality: Aggregating Reviews to Rank Products and Merchants
McGlohon, Mary (Carnegie Mellon University, Google, Inc.) | Glance, Natalie (Google, Inc.) | Reiter, Zach (Google, Inc.)
Given a set of reviews of products or merchants from a wide range of authors and several reviews websites, how can we measure the true quality of the product or merchant?ย How do we remove the bias of individual authors or sources?ย How do we compare reviews obtained from different websites, where ratings may be on different scales (1-5 stars, A/B/C, etc.)?ย How do we filter out unreliable reviews to use only the ones with ``star quality''?ย Taking into account these considerations, we analyze data sets from a variety of different reviews sites (the first paper, to our knowledge, to do this). These data sets include 8 million product reviews and 1.5 million merchant reviews. We explore statistic- and heuristic- based models for estimating the true quality of a product or merchant, and compare the performance of these estimators on the task of ranking pairs of objects.ย We also apply the same models to the task of using Netflix ratings data to rank pairs of movies, and discover that the performance of the different models is surprisingly similar on this data set.
Toward Social Causality: An Analysis of Interpersonal Relationships in Online Blogs and Forums
Girju, Roxana (University of Illinois)
In this paper we present encouraging preliminary results into the problem of social causality (causal reasoning used by intelligent agents in a social environment) in online social interactions based on a model of reciprocity. At every level, social relationships are guided by the shared understanding that most actions call for appropriate reactions, and that inappropriate reactions require management. Thus, we present an analysis of interpersonal relationships in English reciprocal contexts. Specifically, we rely here on a large and recently built database of 10,882 reciprocal relation instances in online media. The resource is analyzed along a set of novel and important dimensions: symmetry, affective value, gender}, and {\em intentionality of action which are highly interconnected. At a larger level, we automatically generate {\em chains of causal relations} between verbs indicating interpersonal relationships. Statistics along these dimensions give insights into people's behavior, judgments, and thus their social interactions.
Widespread Worry and the Stock Market
Gilbert, Eric (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) | Karahalios, Karrie (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Our emotional state influences our choices. Research on how it happens usually comes from the lab. We know relatively little about how real world emotions affect real world settings, like financial markets. Here, we demonstrate that estimating emotions from weblogs provides novel information about future stock market prices. That is, it provides information not already apparent from market data. Specifically, we estimate anxiety, worry and fear from a dataset of over 20 million posts made on the site LiveJournal. Using a Granger-causal framework, we find that increases in expressions of anxiety, evidenced by computationally-identified linguistic features, predict downward pressure on the S&P 500 index. We also present a confirmation of this result via Monte Carlo simulation. The findings show how the mood of millions in a large online community, even one that primarily discusses daily life, can anticipate changes in a seemingly unrelated system. Beyond this, the results suggest new ways to gauge public opinion and predict its impact.