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Algorithms with Logarithmic or Sublinear Regret for Constrained Contextual Bandits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study contextual bandits with budget and time constraints, referred to as constrained contextual bandits.The time and budget constraints significantly complicate the exploration and exploitation tradeoff because they introduce complex coupling among contexts over time.Such coupling effects make it difficult to obtain oracle solutions that assume known statistics of bandits. To gain insight, we first study unit-cost systems with known context distribution. When the expected rewards are known, we develop an approximation of the oracle, referred to Adaptive-Linear-Programming (ALP), which achieves near-optimality and only requires the ordering of expected rewards. With these highly desirable features, we then combine ALP with the upper-confidence-bound (UCB) method in the general case where the expected rewards are unknown {\it a priori}. We show that the proposed UCB-ALP algorithm achieves logarithmic regret except for certain boundary cases. Further, we design algorithms and obtain similar regret analysis results for more general systems with unknown context distribution and heterogeneous costs. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that shows how to achieve logarithmic regret in constrained contextual bandits. Moreover, this work also sheds light on the study of computationally efficient algorithms for general constrained contextual bandits.


Estimating Posterior Ratio for Classification: Transfer Learning from Probabilistic Perspective

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Transfer learning assumes classifiers of similar tasks share certain parameter structures. Unfortunately, modern classifiers uses sophisticated feature representations with huge parameter spaces which lead to costly transfer. Under the impression that changes from one classifier to another should be ``simple'', an efficient transfer learning criteria that only learns the ``differences'' is proposed in this paper. We train a \emph{posterior ratio} which turns out to minimizes the upper-bound of the target learning risk. The model of posterior ratio does not have to share the same parameter space with the source classifier at all so it can be easily modelled and efficiently trained. The resulting classifier therefore is obtained by simply multiplying the existing probabilistic-classifier with the learned posterior ratio.


Optimization for Gaussian Processes via Chaining

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we consider the problem of stochastic optimization under a bandit feedback model. We generalize the GP-UCB algorithm [Srinivas and al., 2012] to arbitrary kernels and search spaces. To do so, we use a notion of localized chaining to control the supremum of a Gaussian process, and provide a novel optimization scheme based on the computation of covering numbers. The theoretical bounds we obtain on the cumulative regret are more generic and present the same convergence rates as the GP-UCB algorithm. Finally, the algorithm is shown to be empirically more efficient than its natural competitors on simple and complex input spaces.


Confidence Sets for the Source of a Diffusion in Regular Trees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of identifying the source of a diffusion spreading over a regular tree. When the degree of each node is at least three, we show that it is possible to construct confidence sets for the diffusion source with size independent of the number of infected nodes. Our estimators are motivated by analogous results in the literature concerning identification of the root node in preferential attachment and uniform attachment trees. At the core of our proofs is a probabilistic analysis of P\'{o}lya urns corresponding to the number of uninfected neighbors in specific subtrees of the infection tree. We also provide an example illustrating the shortcomings of source estimation techniques in settings where the underlying graph is asymmetric.


Piecewise-Linear Approximation for Feature Subset Selection in a Sequential Logit Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper concerns a method of selecting a subset of features for a sequential logit model. Tanaka and Nakagawa (2014) proposed a mixed integer quadratic optimization formulation for solving the problem based on a quadratic approximation of the logistic loss function. However, since there is a significant gap between the logistic loss function and its quadratic approximation, their formulation may fail to find a good subset of features. To overcome this drawback, we apply a piecewise-linear approximation to the logistic loss function. Accordingly, we frame the feature subset selection problem of minimizing an information criterion as a mixed integer linear optimization problem. The computational results demonstrate that our piecewise-linear approximation approach found a better subset of features than the quadratic approximation approach.


Clustering Noisy Signals with Structured Sparsity Using Time-Frequency Representation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a simple and efficient time-series clustering framework particularly suited for low Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR), by simultaneous smoothing and dimensionality reduction aimed at preserving clustering information. We extend the sparse K-means algorithm by incorporating structured sparsity, and use it to exploit the multi-scale property of wavelets and group structure in multivariate signals. Finally, we extract features invariant to translation and scaling with the scattering transform, which corresponds to a convolutional network with filters given by a wavelet operator, and use the network's structure in sparse clustering. By promoting sparsity, this transform can yield a low-dimensional representation of signals that gives improved clustering results on several real datasets.


Clustering is Easy When ....What?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

It is well known that most of the common clustering objectives are NP-hard to optimize. In practice, however, clustering is being routinely carried out. One approach for providing theoretical understanding of this seeming discrepancy is to come up with notions of clusterability that distinguish realistically interesting input data from worst-case data sets. The hope is that there will be clustering algorithms that are provably efficient on such "clusterable" instances. This paper addresses the thesis that the computational hardness of clustering tasks goes away for inputs that one really cares about. In other words, that "Clustering is difficult only when it does not matter" (the \emph{CDNM thesis} for short). I wish to present a a critical bird's eye overview of the results published on this issue so far and to call attention to the gap between available and desirable results on this issue. A longer, more detailed version of this note is available as arXiv:1507.05307. I discuss which requirements should be met in order to provide formal support to the the CDNM thesis and then examine existing results in view of these requirements and list some significant unsolved research challenges in that direction.


An optimal randomized incremental gradient method

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we consider a class of finite-sum convex optimization problems whose objective function is given by the summation of $m$ ($\ge 1$) smooth components together with some other relatively simple terms. We first introduce a deterministic primal-dual gradient (PDG) method that can achieve the optimal black-box iteration complexity for solving these composite optimization problems using a primal-dual termination criterion. Our major contribution is to develop a randomized primal-dual gradient (RPDG) method, which needs to compute the gradient of only one randomly selected smooth component at each iteration, but can possibly achieve better complexity than PDG in terms of the total number of gradient evaluations. More specifically, we show that the total number of gradient evaluations performed by RPDG can be ${\cal O} (\sqrt{m})$ times smaller, both in expectation and with high probability, than those performed by deterministic optimal first-order methods under favorable situations. We also show that the complexity of the RPDG method is not improvable by developing a new lower complexity bound for a general class of randomized methods for solving large-scale finite-sum convex optimization problems. Moreover, through the development of PDG and RPDG, we introduce a novel game-theoretic interpretation for these optimal methods for convex optimization.


Robust Non-linear Wiener-Granger Causality For Large High-dimensional Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Wiener-Granger causality is a widely used framework of causal analysis for temporally resolved events. We introduce a new measure of Wiener-Granger causality based on kernelization of partial canonical correlation analysis with specific advantages in the context of large high-dimensional data. The introduced measure is able to detect non-linear and non-monotonous signals, is designed to be immune to noise, and offers tunability in terms of computational complexity in its estimations. Furthermore, we show that, under specified conditions, the introduced measure can be regarded as an estimate of conditional mutual information (transfer entropy). The functionality of this measure is assessed using comparative simulations where it outperforms other existing methods. The paper is concluded with an application to climatological data.


A Historical Analysis of the Field of OR/MS using Topic Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This study investigates the content of the published scientific literature in the fields of operations research and management science (OR/MS) since the early 1950s. Our study is based on 80,757 published journal abstracts from 37 of the leading OR/MS journals. We have developed a topic model, using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), and extend this analysis to reveal the temporal dynamics of the field, journals, and topics. Our analysis shows the generality or specificity of each of the journals, and we identify groups of journals with similar content, which are both consistent and inconsistent with intuition. We also show how journals have become more or less unique in their scope. A more detailed analysis of each journals' topics over time shows significant temporal dynamics, especially for journals with niche content. This study presents an observational, yet objective, view of the published literature from OR/MS that would be of interest to authors, editors, journals, and publishers. Furthermore, this work can be used by new entrants to the fields of OR/MS to understand the content landscape, as a starting point for discussions and inquiry of the field at large, or as a model for other fields to perform similar analyses.