Federated learning (FL) is a machine learning paradigm where the clients possess decentralized training data and the central server handles aggregation and scheduling. Typically, FL algorithms involve clients training their local models using stochastic gradient descent (SGD), which carries drawbacks such as slow convergence and being prone to getting stuck in suboptimal solutions. In this work, we propose a message passing based Bayesian federated learning (BFL) framework to avoid these drawbacks.Specifically, we formulate the problem of deep neural network (DNN) learning and compression and as a sparse Bayesian inference problem, in which group sparse prior is employed to achieve structured model compression. Then, we propose an efficient BFL algorithm called EMTDAMP, where expectation maximization (EM) and turbo deep approximate message passing (TDAMP) are combined to achieve distributed learning and compression. The central server aggregates local posterior distributions to update global posterior distributions and update hyperparameters based on EM to accelerate convergence. The clients perform TDAMP to achieve efficient approximate message passing over DNN with joint prior distribution. We detail the application of EMTDAMP to Boston housing price prediction and handwriting recognition, and present extensive numerical results to demonstrate the advantages of EMTDAMP.

Releasing statistics using sensitive data can hurt the privacy of individuals contributing to the data (Narayanan and Shmatikov, 2008; Dick et al., 2023). Differential privacy (Dwork et al., 2006) is now a widely accepted solution for performing statistical analysis while protecting sensitive data. In the years since its release, researchers have made considerable progress in the development of differentially private estimators for a range of statistical problems such as mean estimation, median estimation, logistic regression (Asi and Duchi, 2020; Chaudhuri et al., 2011). However, deriving a conclusion from a single point estimate--whether an empirical mean or a classifier prediction-- without any consideration of uncertainty can lead to faulty, inaccurate decision-making (Gelman and Loken, 2013). To have any hope of making private statistical tools broadly applicable, we must build the requisite inferential tools. Constructing confidence intervals around a give point estimate is the most basic inferential task. We therefore develop tools to do so for a broad class of statistics of interest with differential privacy.

The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities and is extensively used in statistics and machine learning, especially in the field of Bayesian nonparametrics. Despite its widespread use, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent random probabilities. We propose a novel stochastic process called the logistic-beta process, whose logistic transformation yields a stochastic process with common beta marginals. Similar to the Gaussian process, the logistic-beta process can model dependence on both discrete and continuous domains, such as space or time, and has a highly flexible dependence structure through correlation kernels. Moreover, its normal variance-mean mixture representation leads to highly effective posterior inference algorithms. The flexibility and computational benefits of logistic-beta processes are demonstrated through nonparametric binary regression simulation studies. Furthermore, we apply the logistic-beta process in modeling dependent Dirichlet processes, and illustrate its application and benefits through Bayesian density regression problems in a toxicology study.

Markov Games (MG) is an important model for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL). It was long believed that the "curse of multi-agents" (i.e., the algorithmic performance drops exponentially with the number of agents) is unavoidable until several recent works (Daskalakis et al., 2023; Cui et al., 2023; Wang et al., 2023. While these works did resolve the curse of multi-agents, when the state spaces are prohibitively large and (linear) function approximations are deployed, they either had a slower convergence rate of $O(T^{-1/4})$ or brought a polynomial dependency on the number of actions $A_{\max}$ -- which is avoidable in single-agent cases even when the loss functions can arbitrarily vary with time (Dai et al., 2023). This paper first refines the `AVLPR` framework by Wang et al. (2023), with an insight of *data-dependent* (i.e., stochastic) pessimistic estimation of the sub-optimality gap, allowing a broader choice of plug-in algorithms. When specialized to MGs with independent linear function approximations, we propose novel *action-dependent bonuses* to cover occasionally extreme estimation errors. With the help of state-of-the-art techniques from the single-agent RL literature, we give the first algorithm that tackles the curse of multi-agents, attains the optimal $O(T^{-1/2})$ convergence rate, and avoids $\text{poly}(A_{\max})$ dependency simultaneously.

This paper presents the Relevance Feature and Vector Machine (RFVM), a novel model that addresses the challenges of the fat-data problem when dealing with clinical prospective studies. The fat-data problem refers to the limitations of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms when working with databases in which the number of features is much larger than the number of samples (a common scenario in certain medical fields). To overcome such limitations, the RFVM incorporates different characteristics: (1) A Bayesian formulation which enables the model to infer its parameters without overfitting thanks to the Bayesian model averaging. (2) A joint optimisation that overcomes the limitations arising from the fat-data characteristic by simultaneously including the variables that define the primal space (features) and those that define the dual space (observations). (3) An integrated prunning that removes the irrelevant features and samples during the training iterative optimization. Also, this last point turns out crucial when performing medical prospective studies, enabling researchers to exclude unnecessary medical tests, reducing costs and inconvenience for patients, and identifying the critical patients/subjects that characterize the disorder and, subsequently, optimize the patient recruitment process that leads to a balanced cohort. The model capabilities are tested against state-of-the-art models in several medical datasets with fat-data problems. These experimental works show that RFVM is capable of achieving competitive classification accuracies while providing the most compact subset of data (in both terms of features and samples). Moreover, the selected features (medical tests) seem to be aligned with the existing medical literature.

In the field of Multi-Agent Systems (MAS), known for their openness, dynamism, and cooperative nature, the ability to trust the resources and services of other agents is crucial. Trust, in this setting, is the reliance and confidence an agent has in the information, behaviors, intentions, truthfulness, and capabilities of others within the system. Our paper introduces a new graphical approach that utilizes factor graphs to represent the interdependent behaviors and trustworthiness among agents. This includes modeling the behavior of robots as a trajectory of actions using a Gaussian process factor graph, which accounts for smoothness, obstacle avoidance, and trust-related factors. Our method for evaluating trust is decentralized and considers key interdependent sub-factors such as proximity safety, consistency, and cooperation. The overall system comprises a network of factor graphs that interact through trust-related factors and employs a Bayesian inference method to dynamically assess trust-based decisions with informed consent. The effectiveness of this method is validated via simulations and empirical tests with autonomous robots navigating unsignalized intersections.

Humans can learn new concepts from a small number of examples by drawing on their inductive biases. These inductive biases have previously been captured by using Bayesian models defined over symbolic hypothesis spaces. Is it possible to create a neural network that displays the same inductive biases? We show that inductive biases that enable rapid concept learning can be instantiated in artificial neural networks by distilling a prior distribution from a symbolic Bayesian model via meta-learning, an approach for extracting the common structure from a set of tasks. By generating the set of tasks used in meta-learning from the prior distribution of a Bayesian model, we are able to transfer that prior into a neural network. We use this approach to create a neural network with an inductive bias towards concepts expressed as short logical formulas. Analyzing results from previous behavioral experiments in which people learned logical concepts from a few examples, we find that our meta-trained models are highly aligned with human performance.

The speech-to-song illusion is a robust psychological phenomenon whereby a spoken sentence sounds increasingly more musical as it is repeated. Despite decades of research, a complete formal account of this transformation is still lacking, and some of its nuanced characteristics, namely, that certain phrases appear to transform while others do not, is not well understood. Here we provide a formal account of this phenomenon, by recasting it as a statistical inference whereby a rational agent attempts to decide whether a sequence of utterances is more likely to have been produced in a song or speech. Using this approach and analyzing song and speech corpora, we further introduce a novel prose-to-lyrics illusion that is purely text-based. In this illusion, simply duplicating written sentences makes them appear more like song lyrics. We provide robust evidence for this new illusion in both human participants and large language models.

We present an algorithmic solution to the problem of incremental belief updating in the context of Monte Carlo inference in Bayesian statistical models represented by probabilistic programs. Given a model and a sample-approximated posterior, our solution constructs a set of weighted observations to condition the model such that inference would result in the same posterior. This problem arises e.g. in multi-level modelling, incremental inference, inference in presence of privacy constraints. First, a set of virtual observations is selected, then, observation weights are found through a computationally efficient optimization procedure such that the reconstructed posterior coincides with or closely approximates the original posterior. We implement and apply the solution to a number of didactic examples and case studies, showing efficiency and robustness of our approach. The provided reference implementation is agnostic to the probabilistic programming language or the inference algorithm, and can be applied to most mainstream probabilistic programming environments.

In the past few decades, the rapid development of information and internet technologies has spawned massive amounts of data and information. The information explosion drives many enterprises or individuals to seek to rent cloud computing infrastructure to put their applications in the cloud. However, the agreements reached between cloud computing providers and clients are often not efficient. Many factors affect the efficiency, such as the idleness of the providers' cloud computing infrastructure, and the additional cost to the clients. One possible solution is to introduce a comprehensive, bargaining game (a type of negotiation), and schedule resources according to the negotiation results. We propose an agent-based auto-negotiation system for resource scheduling based on fuzzy logic. The proposed method can complete a one-to-one auto-negotiation process and generate optimal offers for the provider and client. We compare the impact of different member functions, fuzzy rule sets, and negotiation scenario cases on the offers to optimize the system. It can be concluded that our proposed method can utilize resources more efficiently and is interpretable, highly flexible, and customizable. We successfully train machine learning models to replace the fuzzy negotiation system to improve processing speed. The article also highlights possible future improvements to the proposed system and machine learning models. All the codes and data are available in the open-source repository.